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[QUOTE="Knicks411, post: 4910086, member: 767"]
Sure I get that is the case for some teams in some cases.

On the whole, scoring margin is generally a good predictor moving forward as to quality of teams, so it seems to make sense consider that when trying to evaluate the quality of the team.  It's not a one size fits all type deal, but when you're trying to rank 350 teams or whatever, I think it does a decent enough job.  Do some teams consistently outperform their "luck" number?  Or is it relatively random from year to year?  (Hopefully someone has done the research).

For whatever this is worth (probably nothing) I took a look at the 5 "luckiest" teams per this number in 2023.  Here is how they ranked the season prior

1) UNC Asheville (luckiest in 23, 260th in 22)
2) Morehead State- 126th in 22
3) UNC Wilmington- 3rd
4) Alcorn State- 4th
5) Kennesaw State- 353rd

So we saw 2 teams that were "lucky" in back to back years (Then i had to go back and check 21, Alcorn state dropped to 241st in 21 and Wilmington 350th) but the other 3 teams were all over the place the year prior.  Which says to me, based of course on this impossibly small sample, is that there isn't much correlation from year to year with this kind of thing so it probably isn't very predictive.  (That said UNC Wilmington is top 5 in luck this year again, so maybe thats actually a thing?  Alcon state is 248th)
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