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[QUOTE="Fly Rodder, post: 4919522, member: 2133"]
I get triggered by people complaining about things that they don't understand and refuse to take the time to understand them. It's just using numbers to try and answer two questions:
[LIST]
[*]How do you make a prediction for a game?
[*]Do matchups matter in predicting a game?
[/LIST]
[INDENT]1) Don't think of the rankings as 61 is better than 62 or even 80. Think of them as tiers or groups of teams separated by minor fluctuations, the rank is just whether 9.64 is greater than 9.62, but it's not by itself very meaningful. [/INDENT]
[INDENT]2) There's no one twiddling the numbers behind the scenes to make SU look bad. That's silly. Ken Pomeroy doesn't care who ranks where in the system.[/INDENT]

It's based on 100 possessions. Not scoring say 75 points and holding the opposition to 65 points. Getting crushed by UVA in a low possession game was [B]not[/B] good and it was recent enough that it is still heavily affecting any metrics. And these differences are mostly minuscule: For example, Michigan has a very efficient offense, they score a lot of points per 100 possessions, but the difference between their 24th offense (115.3 AdjO) and the 104th ranked offense (K-State at 107.5 AdjO) is only 7.8 points per 100 possessions. And very few, if any, teams average even close to a 100 possessions per game, so it's really closer to 6 actual points - two 3 point shots during an entire game.
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