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NET and KenPom Tracker 23-24 (SU = 84 3/9/24)
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[QUOTE="Fly Rodder, post: 4919861, member: 2133"] From the [URL='https://www.reddit.com/r/CollegeBasketball/comments/18vc0xy/net_calculations_update/']college basketball subreddit [/URL]on NET: The author of the above is a [URL='https://www.backingthepack.com/nc-state-basketball/2023/10/24/23928786/casting-a-wide-net-finding-the-basketball-rankings']contributor to the NC State SB Nation page and he has a solid write up of NET and how it works (and what it is used for).[/URL] "Should teams run up the score? Yeah, probably. Well, let’s just say that [B]it’s always a good time for a good possession.[/B] For the NET, it’s the same thing to win by 24 points in 60 possessions as it is to win by 32 points in 80 possessions. So you don’t have to go at a fast pace. But if you beat Green Bay by 10 and others are beating Green Bay by 40, you’re probably going to look bad to the NET." In other words, don't take plays off. And a good comment from that reddit thread: [I]"It's a lot harder than people think to run up the score on inferior teams, especially as those margins are adjusted relative to how much other teams run up the score on the same teams." [/I] He developed his version NET and[URL='https://github.com/bchare/ncaabball/blob/main/README.md'] posted the guts to Github[/URL]. Go build your own ranking system. Here are his Overall NET scatterplots and the ACC one (do note that the y-axis is [B]log scale[/B], which means that the teams in the mushy middle haven't done much to separate themselves). "The EFFICIENCY is the difference in the score per 100 possessions. The remaining component is the “Team Value Index” which only considers wins, opponents, and location." He explains that the efficiency and value are NOT weighted 50-50, they're more like "Efficiency ranking at 80% and the Value ranking at 20%." Which means [I]how[/I] you beat teams [B]relative [/B]to how other teams have played those teams is more important in predicting future outcomes. [IMG width="673px"]https://github.com/bchare/ncaabball/raw/main/netscatter/NET%20Scatter%20Top%20100.png[/IMG] [IMG width="674px"]https://github.com/bchare/ncaabball/raw/main/netscatter/NET%20Scatter%20ACC.png[/IMG] Looking at the graph, SU is one of the better teams in the ACC by team value, but they're not very efficient with their possessions. [/QUOTE]
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NET and KenPom Tracker 23-24 (SU = 84 3/9/24)
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