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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 4943697, member: 1969"] That's not correct. The luck factor at least by this point of the season has nothing to do with our preseason ranking. It is driven by not having proportional levels of blowouts, or winning or losing an abnormal amount of close games. We can see that in our results. At this point of the season the opening KP is probably irrelevant in his system (which we started around #100) Around Christmas, his system has drawn down the "preseason weight" to around 20% of his score based on his prior comments. So at that point we were probably weighed down by 5-7 spots. I would imagine by January 20 his preseason weights are either worth 0% or very close to it. [/QUOTE]