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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 4944662, member: 1969"] The NET works in mysterious or dubious ways. I think i will have to take back my comment about margin - at least for road games. [B] Its seems the NET rewards blowing out cupcakes on the road, more than anything else right now (see the data below). It does clearly reward road wins and good wins, but apparently not as much as purely mutilating awful teams on the road. The Gonzaga, Drake, and Providence jumps in NET this week are baffling. (see below) As crazy as a claim this might be, I think they might be applying their NET formula wrong. and have a sign going in the wrong way in their algo. They state they are trying to diminish the impact of blowouts, and in fact the data is showing the opposite. Blowout wins on the road (possibly not at home) appear to be getting the greatest reward under this system.[/B] Biggest improvements in NET this week (for teams 70 or above), as pulled from Warren Nolan (NET Delta column). Some real strange movements - great to see we jumped so that is the biggest positive here. But the Gonzaga, Drake [URL='https://www.warrennolan.com/basketball/2024/net']NET Ranking - Men's College Basketball | WarrenNolan.com[/URL] Gonzaga +20 (2 Q4 Road Wins by 67 points) Drake +20 (2 Q4 Wins, one on the road, won by 70 points) Virginia +16 (2 Q2 Wins, one road, won by 17 points) Colorado +14 (Q2 Win + Q4 Win, both home, won by 49 points) Syracuse +12 (Q1+Q2 Win, one road, won by 14 points) Providence +11 (Q4 Road Win, won by 38 points) New Mexico +11 (Q1 Win + Q4 Road Win, won by 32 points) St. Mary's +10 (Q1 Road Win at San Fran) We can certainly see why all these teams improved in NET - they deserved to. [B]But the two things that immediately jump out is the fact that Drake and Gonzaga had the biggest climb this week. Gonzaga did the equivalent of going on the road to Louisville twice this week and winning by 67 points total. Impressive, sure, most teams are not going to win by that much but reason to jump your NET from 50 to 30? [/B] Drake basically did the exact same thing as Gonzaga, destroying 2 cupcakes by impressive margins, and moved from 64 to 44. [B]Providence played one game at #309 Depaul, They destroyed them by 38, OK that's nice, but should your NET increase from 68 to 57 because of that? Heck they improved by as much as we did, and our week was much more impressive in terms of what matters for selecting NCAA teams.[/B] The moves of Virginia, Syracuse, New Mexico, St Mary's all make sense. They reward teams for quality wins, especially if its on the road. But yet they are still rewarded less than a Providence blowout win at Depaul. Thoughts? [/QUOTE]

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