OrangeXtreme
The Mayor of Dewitt
- Joined
- Aug 15, 2011
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#32 in Katz’ power 36
If we win tomorrow we can expect a lot of national hype for Saturday.Wow. Thats a huge step up.
* Avoid all Q3 loss (4 wins)
Nice analysis. I will just add to your one point from above. We need teams that we have losses against already, to maintain their status.
Notably Notre Dame (72) who has to stay below 75. Notre Dame falls below 75, we lose a Q1 win, and get a Q3 loss.
But others to watch although at much lower risk:
Virginia (59) who is sliding. They have to stabilize, although they have some room below the 75 line. But if they did fall below 75, it would be the same impact as above.
Oklahoma St (76) who is currently at 0-6 in the BIG 12, needs to start winning, at least a few games, to stay below 100.
Georgia Tech getting hot and making that road win a Q1 notch would be appreciated
* 3-1 in Q1 away games
* Worst loss is still only a Q2
Here’s what we need:
* Avoid all Q3 loss (4 wins)
* Hope all current losses don’t get worse (namely OK State)
* Go 1-2 in remaining Q1 games (1 wins)
* Go 2-2 in remaining Q2 games (2 wins)
That gives us 20 wins and I believe a tourney bid. We can go 0-3 in Q1 but then 3-1 is needed in Q2. We have enough road wins that if we just win at home the rest of the way we’ll be good.
We absolutely need to get to 19 wins, or 20 if we lose to Duke/Ville/FSU
Noticed that. Would give us 4 Q1 wins. Isn't that what we ENDED with last year? And thought we had 1 Q3 loss last week. Somebody else move up?
We did -- Notre Dame keeps moving around on both sides of 75 in the NET, which swings the loss between Q2/Q3 and the win between Q1/Q2.
Think UNC is a big risk in Q3 if they get Anthony back as expected.
He’s coming back.Hopefully there is little reason for him to come back and instead he is focused on preparing for the draft.