SWC75
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I’ll continue doing a statistical analysis of games this year with some of the off-beat numbers I like to look at. I’ll post them after each game, probably the next day.
The first thing I’ll look at is “NET POINTS”. The idea is that each statistic in the box score is arguably worth a point, (that is, somewhere between 0.5 and 1.5 points). A point is a point. Teams score an average of a point per possession so anything that gets you possession is a point. A missed shot will more often than not wind up in the possession of the other team. Most baskets are for two points so if the passer who set up the shot is given half credit, that’s worth a point. One half of the blocked shots will likely have gone in and they are almost always two pointers, so that’s a point. If you add up the “positives”, (points, + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) and subtract the “negatives”, (missed field goals, missed free throws, turnovers and fouls), you have a number that summarizes a player’s statistical contributions to a game. Then, by averaging the net points per 40 minutes of play, you factor out differences in playing time and have a look at the player’s rate of production. Both are important. The game is won based on what you actually did, not the rate at which you did it. But the rate is a better measure of the skills you can bring to the game.
Of course, there are things player do both on and off the court that contribute to victory. Leadership, hard work, keeping the team loose, scrambling for loose balls, (that could be a statistic: when neither team is in control of the ball, who winds up with it?), sneaker-sneaker defense, keeping the ball moving on offense, etc. etc. My experience is that with rare exceptions, the players who are the most statistically productive are the ones who grade highest in the things not measured by statistics, as well.
Here are the NET POINTS of our scholarship player in the most recent game and their averages per 40 minutes of play for the season, (exhibitions games not included):
C. J. Fair………………. 17NP in 35 minutes season: 47NP in 102minutes per 40: 18.4
Michael Gbinije …. 10NP in 18 minutes season: 24NP in 49 minutes per 40: 19.6
Rakeem Christmas 9NP in 15 minutes season: 30NP in 60 minutes per 40: 20.0
Tyler Ennis………….. 8NP in 21 minutes season: 38NP in 80 minutes per 40: 19.0
Baye Moussa Keita 6NP in 19 minutes season: 20NP in 48 minutes per 40: 16.7
Jerami Grant……….. 6NP in 24 minutes season: 22NP in 51 minutes per 40: 17.3
Trevor Cooney…… 6NP in 31 minutes season: 36NP in 79 minutes per 40: 18.2
Ron Patterson…….. 1NP in 8 minutes season: 4NP in 22 minutes per 40: 7.3
Tyler Roberson……. 1NP in 10 minutes season: 8NP in 36 minutes per 40: 8.9
DaJuan Coleman…. 1NP in 15 minutes season: 13NP in 45 minutes per 40: 11.6
B. J. Johnson……….. -1NP in 4 minutes season: -1NP in 25 minutes per 40: -1.6
Comment: The numbers are settling down to something more meaningful at this point. The younger players, Roberson, Patterson and especially Johnson are not making good cases for extended playing time against better opponents.
CJ Fair, Trevor Cooney and Tyler Ennis have each led the team in net points once in games this year.
Possession:
Before you can score you’ve got to get the rock. Syracuse had 26 offensive and 26 defensive rebounds. They had 7 offensive and 27 defensive rebounds. When we missed we got the ball 26 of 53 times, (49.1%). When they missed, they got the ball 7 of 33 times (21.2%). Syracuse has won all three rebounding battles this season, averaging 46.5% to 22.3%.
Of our 10 turnovers, 4 were their steals and 6 were our own miscues. Of their 21 turnovers, 12 were Syracuse steals and 9 were their fault. Syracuse has had fewer turnovers in all games, (35-57) but more unforced errors, (21-18).
If you add our 52 rebounds to their 21 turnovers, we had 73 “manufactured possessions”. They had 34 + 10 = 44, so we were +29. We’ve won that battle three times this season, with an average margin of +24.
Shooting:
It’s still what the game is all about. We were 18 for 44, (.406), inside the arc, 7 for 24, (.292), outside it and 12 for 28 (.429) from the Line. They were 6/19, (.316), 11/28 (.393) and 5 for 10, (.500). Syracuse is shooting .504/.317/.602, the opposition .452/.368/.667. We have attempted 129 two pointers and 60 treys while our opposition is 62 and 87.
We had 69 points, 30 in the paint, 21 from the arc and 12 from the line so we scored 6 points from what I’ll call the “Twilight Zone”: that area between the paint and the arc that is the land of the pull-up jump shot, a lost art but a great weapon. They had 50-10-33-5 =2 points in the Twilight Zone. Overall, we had 27 POP: Points Outside the Paint to 35 for them. So far this year Syracuse is averaging 28 POP, 9 from the TZ, the opposition 35/3.
10 of our 25 baskets were assists (.400) and 11 of their 17 (.647). For the year we are assisting on 48.8% of our baskets to 60.0% for the opposition.
You compute “Offensive Efficiency” by taking field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted and dividing that into the number of points. We were 68 FGA -26 OREBS + 10 + (.475 x 28) = 65.3 possessions. They were 47 – 7 + 21 + (.475 x 10) = 65.75 possessions. Since possessions shouldn’t be more than one off, I’ll count that as 65 possessions in which we scored 69 points, (1.062) and 66 possessions in which they scored 74 points, (0.758). For the year we are 1.165 vs. 0.885.
Every other level of basketball plays quarters. To check the consistency of our performance, I look at what the score was at the 10 minute mark of each half to see what the quarterly scores would be. At a minimum, I think we want to score at least 15 points in each quarter and try to hold the opposition to less than that. The quarterly breakdown for this game: 15-13, 21-13, 15-14, 18-10. The average for the season is: 16-12, 22-16, 24-17, 18-16. We’ve won 8 quarters, lost 3. We’ve scored at least 15 in every quarter and held the opposition under that 8 times.
Hubert Davis once told us to “Get an offensive dude”. I decided to name an “Offensive Dude Of the Game, or an O-Dog. I decided to use the hockey concept of points + assists. In this game, CJ Fair had 20 points, with 1assist to earn the “O-Dog” distinction, which he no doubt will many times this year. So far he’s done it twice and Trevor Cooney has done it once.
I also like to keep track who sits us down in each half. Besides being fun it gives an indication of who Coach B likes to design plays for since opening possessions are more likely to be scripted that those alter in the game, (although sometimes we don’t score until later in the game. CJ Fair sat us down in boths halves with a jumper 20 seconds in. He’s done it three times, Tyler Ennis twice and DaJuan Coleman has done it once.
The first thing I’ll look at is “NET POINTS”. The idea is that each statistic in the box score is arguably worth a point, (that is, somewhere between 0.5 and 1.5 points). A point is a point. Teams score an average of a point per possession so anything that gets you possession is a point. A missed shot will more often than not wind up in the possession of the other team. Most baskets are for two points so if the passer who set up the shot is given half credit, that’s worth a point. One half of the blocked shots will likely have gone in and they are almost always two pointers, so that’s a point. If you add up the “positives”, (points, + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) and subtract the “negatives”, (missed field goals, missed free throws, turnovers and fouls), you have a number that summarizes a player’s statistical contributions to a game. Then, by averaging the net points per 40 minutes of play, you factor out differences in playing time and have a look at the player’s rate of production. Both are important. The game is won based on what you actually did, not the rate at which you did it. But the rate is a better measure of the skills you can bring to the game.
Of course, there are things player do both on and off the court that contribute to victory. Leadership, hard work, keeping the team loose, scrambling for loose balls, (that could be a statistic: when neither team is in control of the ball, who winds up with it?), sneaker-sneaker defense, keeping the ball moving on offense, etc. etc. My experience is that with rare exceptions, the players who are the most statistically productive are the ones who grade highest in the things not measured by statistics, as well.
Here are the NET POINTS of our scholarship player in the most recent game and their averages per 40 minutes of play for the season, (exhibitions games not included):
C. J. Fair………………. 17NP in 35 minutes season: 47NP in 102minutes per 40: 18.4
Michael Gbinije …. 10NP in 18 minutes season: 24NP in 49 minutes per 40: 19.6
Rakeem Christmas 9NP in 15 minutes season: 30NP in 60 minutes per 40: 20.0
Tyler Ennis………….. 8NP in 21 minutes season: 38NP in 80 minutes per 40: 19.0
Baye Moussa Keita 6NP in 19 minutes season: 20NP in 48 minutes per 40: 16.7
Jerami Grant……….. 6NP in 24 minutes season: 22NP in 51 minutes per 40: 17.3
Trevor Cooney…… 6NP in 31 minutes season: 36NP in 79 minutes per 40: 18.2
Ron Patterson…….. 1NP in 8 minutes season: 4NP in 22 minutes per 40: 7.3
Tyler Roberson……. 1NP in 10 minutes season: 8NP in 36 minutes per 40: 8.9
DaJuan Coleman…. 1NP in 15 minutes season: 13NP in 45 minutes per 40: 11.6
B. J. Johnson……….. -1NP in 4 minutes season: -1NP in 25 minutes per 40: -1.6
Comment: The numbers are settling down to something more meaningful at this point. The younger players, Roberson, Patterson and especially Johnson are not making good cases for extended playing time against better opponents.
CJ Fair, Trevor Cooney and Tyler Ennis have each led the team in net points once in games this year.
Possession:
Before you can score you’ve got to get the rock. Syracuse had 26 offensive and 26 defensive rebounds. They had 7 offensive and 27 defensive rebounds. When we missed we got the ball 26 of 53 times, (49.1%). When they missed, they got the ball 7 of 33 times (21.2%). Syracuse has won all three rebounding battles this season, averaging 46.5% to 22.3%.
Of our 10 turnovers, 4 were their steals and 6 were our own miscues. Of their 21 turnovers, 12 were Syracuse steals and 9 were their fault. Syracuse has had fewer turnovers in all games, (35-57) but more unforced errors, (21-18).
If you add our 52 rebounds to their 21 turnovers, we had 73 “manufactured possessions”. They had 34 + 10 = 44, so we were +29. We’ve won that battle three times this season, with an average margin of +24.
Shooting:
It’s still what the game is all about. We were 18 for 44, (.406), inside the arc, 7 for 24, (.292), outside it and 12 for 28 (.429) from the Line. They were 6/19, (.316), 11/28 (.393) and 5 for 10, (.500). Syracuse is shooting .504/.317/.602, the opposition .452/.368/.667. We have attempted 129 two pointers and 60 treys while our opposition is 62 and 87.
We had 69 points, 30 in the paint, 21 from the arc and 12 from the line so we scored 6 points from what I’ll call the “Twilight Zone”: that area between the paint and the arc that is the land of the pull-up jump shot, a lost art but a great weapon. They had 50-10-33-5 =2 points in the Twilight Zone. Overall, we had 27 POP: Points Outside the Paint to 35 for them. So far this year Syracuse is averaging 28 POP, 9 from the TZ, the opposition 35/3.
10 of our 25 baskets were assists (.400) and 11 of their 17 (.647). For the year we are assisting on 48.8% of our baskets to 60.0% for the opposition.
You compute “Offensive Efficiency” by taking field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted and dividing that into the number of points. We were 68 FGA -26 OREBS + 10 + (.475 x 28) = 65.3 possessions. They were 47 – 7 + 21 + (.475 x 10) = 65.75 possessions. Since possessions shouldn’t be more than one off, I’ll count that as 65 possessions in which we scored 69 points, (1.062) and 66 possessions in which they scored 74 points, (0.758). For the year we are 1.165 vs. 0.885.
Every other level of basketball plays quarters. To check the consistency of our performance, I look at what the score was at the 10 minute mark of each half to see what the quarterly scores would be. At a minimum, I think we want to score at least 15 points in each quarter and try to hold the opposition to less than that. The quarterly breakdown for this game: 15-13, 21-13, 15-14, 18-10. The average for the season is: 16-12, 22-16, 24-17, 18-16. We’ve won 8 quarters, lost 3. We’ve scored at least 15 in every quarter and held the opposition under that 8 times.
Hubert Davis once told us to “Get an offensive dude”. I decided to name an “Offensive Dude Of the Game, or an O-Dog. I decided to use the hockey concept of points + assists. In this game, CJ Fair had 20 points, with 1assist to earn the “O-Dog” distinction, which he no doubt will many times this year. So far he’s done it twice and Trevor Cooney has done it once.
I also like to keep track who sits us down in each half. Besides being fun it gives an indication of who Coach B likes to design plays for since opening possessions are more likely to be scripted that those alter in the game, (although sometimes we don’t score until later in the game. CJ Fair sat us down in boths halves with a jumper 20 seconds in. He’s done it three times, Tyler Ennis twice and DaJuan Coleman has done it once.