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[QUOTE="SWC75, post: 1731900, member: 289"]
Team Stats:

POSSESSION

[I]Rebounding[/I]
(Add each team’s offensive rebounds to their opponent’s defensive rebounds. Then figure the offensive rebounds as a percentage of that)
                 Syracuse                 Opponents
Pre-Conf:  159 of 478 = .333  164 of 452 = .363
Conference:  205 of 633 = .324  219 of 632 = .347
Post-Season:    78 of 209 = .373  77 of 214 = .360
TOTAL:  442 of 1320 = .335  460 of 1298 = .354
Syracuse has won the rebounding battle in 19 of 37 games, (with 1 even) and we are 15-4 in those games.

Comment: Rebounding was an issue all season but a great problem in only a handful of games. Our opposition out-rebounded us by at last 10% in 8 of 37 games. We were 2-6 in those games. We lost one in overtime, (Wisconsin) and another by 5 points on the road, (North Carolina).

[I]Effective Offensive Rebounding[/I]
(Divide second chance points by the offensive rebounds)
                     Syracuse                 Opponents
Pre-Conf:  153 from 160 = 0.956  168 from 181 = 0.928
Conference:  198 from 205 = 0.966  208 from 218 = 0.954
Post-Season:    75 from  72 = 1.042    62 from  76 = 0.816
TOTAL:  426 from  437 = 0.975  438 from 475 = 0.922
Syracuse has exploited offensive rebounds better in 24 of 37 games, (with 1 even), and we are 17-7 in those games.

Comment: Tis and Points per Turnover are two stats I started keeping track of in mid-season and they both seemed to be pretty good predictors of who is going to win. I think it has to do with the difference between being satisfied to have possession and seeing possession as a chance for a quick score with the defense is unsettled. Note how much better we were in this stat in the post-season run.

[I]Turnovers[/I]
(Total turnovers – steals = unforced turnovers)
                             Syracuse                 Opponents
Pre-Conf: (11.6)  151-78 = 73 (5.6)  (14.3) 186-121 = 65 (5.0)
Conference: (12.4) 224- 121 = 103 (5.7)  (13.2) 237 –131 = 106 (5.9)
Post-Season: (10.8 ) 65 – 33 = 32 (5.3)  (12.0) 72 – 49 = 23 (3.8)
TOTAL:    (11.9) 440 -232 = 208 (5.7)  (13.4) 495 -301 = 194 (5.2)
Syracuse has had fewer turnovers in 19 of 37 games, (with 3 even) and we are 11-8 in those games.
Syracuse had has fewer unforced turnovers in 13 of 37 games, (with 4 even) and we are 9-4 in those games.

Comment: It’s better to have fewer turnovers and fewer of them unforced but it’s not as strong an indicator of victory as you might think.

[I]Points per Turnover[/I]
(Points off turnovers divided by the number of turnovers the other team had)
                      Syracuse                 Opponents
Pre-Conf:   209 from 186 =  1.124  147 from 151 =0.974
Conference:   266 from 237 =  1.122  234 from 224 = 1.045
Post-Season:    66 from  72 = 0.917    62 from  68 = 0.912
TOTAL:      541 from 495 = 1.093  443 from 443 = 1.000
We have taken greater advantage of turnovers in 17 of 37 games, (with 1 even), and we are 15-2 in those games.

Comment: I was surprised that our post season number sin this stat weren’t better. Against Virginia we had 15 points from 13 turnovers: the Hoos had 2 from 8. But look at that won-lost record for this stat: 15-2.

[I]Manufactured Possessions[/I]
(One teams rebounds + the other team’s turnovers)
                         Syracuse                 Opponents
Pre-Conf:   487 + 186 = 673 (51.8)  500 + 151 = 651 (50.1)
Conference:  616 + 237 = 853 (47.4)  638 + 229 = 867 (48.2)
Post-Season:  216 +  72 = 298 (49.7)  207 +  64 = 271 (45.2)
TOTAL:  1319 + 495 = 1824 (49.3)  1345 + 444 = 1789 (48.4)
Syracuse had manufactured more possessions in 19 of 37 games (with 1 even) and we are 18-1 in those games.

Comment: Possession is 9/10 of the law and about the same for basketball. We can’t rebound as well from the zone as we could from a man-to-man but we tend to get an edge in turnovers that make up the difference so when we stay within range on the boards, we’re OK. If we don’t, we aren’t.
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