SWC75
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I’ll continue doing a statistical analysis of games this year with some of the off-beat numbers I like to look at. I’ll post them after each game, probably the next day.
The first thing I’ll look at is “NET POINTS”. The idea is that each statistic in the box score is arguably worth a point, (that is, somewhere between 0.5 and 1.5 points). A point is a point. Teams score an average of a point per possession so anything that gets you possession is a point. A missed shot will more often than not wind up in the possession of the other team. Most baskets are for two points so if the passer who set up the shot is given half credit, that’s worth a point. One half of the blocked shots will likely have gone in and they are almost always two pointers, so that’s a point. If you add up the “positives”, (points, + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) and subtract the “negatives”, (missed field goals, missed free throws, turnovers and fouls), you have a number that summarizes a player’s statistical contributions to a game. Then, by averaging the net points per 40 minutes of play, you factor out differences in playing time and have a look at the player’s rate of production. Both are important. The game is won based on what you actually did, not the rate at which you did it. But the rate is a better measure of the skills you can bring to the game.
Of course, there are things player do both on and off the court that contribute to victory. Leadership, hard work, keeping the team loose, scrambling for loose balls, (that could be a statistic: when neither team is in control of the ball, who winds up with it?), sneaker-sneaker defense, keeping the ball moving on offense, etc. etc. My experience is that with rare exceptions, the players who are the most statistically productive are the ones who grade highest in the things not measured by statistics, as well.
Here are the NET POINTS of our scholarship player in the most recent game and their averages per 40 minutes of play for the season, (exhibitions games not included):
Tyler Ennis………….. 18NP in 29 minutes season: 160NP in 347 minutes per 40: 18.4
Trevor Cooney…… 16NP in 30 minutes season: 141NP in 320 minutes per 40: 17.6
C. J. Fair………………. 15NP in 35 minutes season: 141NP in 390 minutes per 40: 14.5
Baye Moussa Keita 12NP in 19 minutes season: 38NP in 168 minutes per 40: 9.0
Michael Gbinije …. 10NP in 17 minutes season: 53NP in 169 minutes per 40: 12.5
Jerami Grant……….. 10NP in 17 minutes season: 124NP in 262 minutes per 40: 18.9
Rakeem Christmas 8NP in 20 minutes season: 71NP in 227 minutes per 40: 12.5
B. J. Johnson……….. 4NP in 4 minutes season: -1NP in 44 minutes per 40: -0.9
Ron Patterson…….. -1NP in 5 minutes season: 10NP in 43 minutes per 40: 9.3
Tyler Roberson……. -2NP in 11 minutes season: 10NP in 62 minutes per 40: 6.5
DaJuan Coleman…. -6NP in 13 minutes season: 60NP in 160 minutes per 40: 15.0
Comment: Another game where the “Three Sons” might have made a case to be part of the rotation in the conference season is by the boards. There’s one more. DaJuan Coileman didn’t help his case any, either. The good news was a strong comeback game by Baye Moussa Keita who may have heard the criticism of his lack of production in recent games. He certainly played like he had something to prove. Trevor Cooney was again guards every where he went but he was able to get off 7 shots and make 6 of them.
Tyler Ennis has led in net points 6 times, no mean feat for a guard. CJ Fair has now led 3 times and Trevor Cooney twice, (once tied with Ennis. DaJuan Coleman has led the team in net points once in games this year.
Possession:
Before you can score you’ve got to get the rock. Syracuse had 11 offensive and 19 defensive rebounds. They had 8 offensive and 17 defensive rebounds. When we missed we got the ball 11 of 28 times, (39.3%). When they missed, they got the ball 8 of 27 times (29.7%). We’ve averaged getting 40.5% of our misses and our opposition has gotten 32.2% of theirs. We have won the rebounding battle by this measure 7 times in 11 games (but only 2 of the last 6 games).
Of our 10 turnovers, 5 were their steals and 6 were our own miscues. Of their 19 turnovers, 12 were Syracuse steals and 7 were their fault. Syracuse has had fewer turnovers in all but one game, (109-184) and are also ahead in unforced errors, (59-70). That’s very impressive for a team with a young backcourt.
If you add our 30 rebounds to their 19 turnovers, we had 49 “manufactured possessions”. They had 25 + 10 = 35, so we were +14. We’ve won that battle every time this season, except this game, with an average margin of +11.6, It’s the main reason we are 11-0.
Shooting:
It’s still what the game is all about. We were 22 for 41, (.537) inside the arc, 7 for 13, (.538), outside it and 10 for 18 (.556) from the line. They were 13/28, (.464), 8/20 (.400) and 4/4 (1.000). On the season, Syracuse is shooting .512/.366/.676, the opposition .492/.343/.709. Here are our two point percentages for every year of this decade: 2009-10: .571-.462 (+109), 2010-11: .562-.444 (+118), 2011-12: .519-.425 (+94), 2012-13: .485-.425 (+60). So far this year: .512-.492 = +20.
We had 75 points, 38 in the paint, 21 from the arc and 10 from the line so we scored 6 points from what I’ll call the “Twilight Zone”: that area between the paint and the arc that is the land of the pull-up jump shot, a lost art but a great weapon. They had 54-18-24-4 =8 points in the Twilight Zone. Overall, we had 27 POP: Points Outside the Paint to 32 for them. So far this year Syracuse is averaging 25 POP, 8 from the TZ, the opposition 27/5.
15 of our 29 baskets were assisted (.517) and 15 of their 21 (.714). For the year we are assisting on 52.2% of our baskets to 61.0% for the opposition, who have had more assists and a higher percentage in 8 of 11 games, all of which we’ve won.
You compute “Offensive Efficiency” by taking field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted and dividing that into the number of points. We were 54 FGA -11 OREBs + 10TOs + (.475 x 18) = 61.55 possessions. They were 48 – 8 + 19 + (.475 x 4) = 60.9 possessions. Since possessions shouldn’t be more than one off, I’ll count that as 62 possessions in which we scored 75 points, (1.210) and 61 possessions in which they scored 54 points, (0.885). For the year we are 1.184 vs. 0.962. We’ve been more efficient than our opposition in every game so far, which is also why we are 11-0.
Every other level of basketball plays quarters. To check the consistency of our performance, I look at what the score was at the 10 minute mark of each half to see what the quarterly scores would be. At a minimum, I think we want to score at least 15 points in each quarter and try to hold the opposition to less than that. The quarterly breakdown for this game: 19-14, 18-20, 18-9, 20-11. The average for the season is: 18-13, 21-17, 19-15, 19-16. We’ve won 27 quarters, lost 11 and tied 2. We’ve scored at least 15 in 37 of 44 quarters and held the opposition under that 20 times.
Hubert Davis once told us to “Get an offensive dude”. I decided to name an “Offensive Dude Of the Game, or an O-Dog. and use the hockey concept of points + assists. In this game, Tyler Ennis scored 10 points and had 9 assists for 19 “hockey points” to lead the team. So far Ennis and C.J. Fair have done it 5 times, Trevor Cooney twice and Jerami Grant has done it once.
I also like to keep track who sits us down in each half. Besides being fun it gives an indication of who Coach B likes to design plays for since opening possessions are more likely to be scripted that those later in the game, (although sometimes we don’t score until later in the game). CJ Fair sat us down with jumpers in both halves, 10 seconds into the first and 22 seconds into the second CJ has now sat us down 8 times, DaJuan Coleman 5 times Trevor Cooney, Tyler Ennis 4 times each and Christmas this one time.
The first thing I’ll look at is “NET POINTS”. The idea is that each statistic in the box score is arguably worth a point, (that is, somewhere between 0.5 and 1.5 points). A point is a point. Teams score an average of a point per possession so anything that gets you possession is a point. A missed shot will more often than not wind up in the possession of the other team. Most baskets are for two points so if the passer who set up the shot is given half credit, that’s worth a point. One half of the blocked shots will likely have gone in and they are almost always two pointers, so that’s a point. If you add up the “positives”, (points, + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) and subtract the “negatives”, (missed field goals, missed free throws, turnovers and fouls), you have a number that summarizes a player’s statistical contributions to a game. Then, by averaging the net points per 40 minutes of play, you factor out differences in playing time and have a look at the player’s rate of production. Both are important. The game is won based on what you actually did, not the rate at which you did it. But the rate is a better measure of the skills you can bring to the game.
Of course, there are things player do both on and off the court that contribute to victory. Leadership, hard work, keeping the team loose, scrambling for loose balls, (that could be a statistic: when neither team is in control of the ball, who winds up with it?), sneaker-sneaker defense, keeping the ball moving on offense, etc. etc. My experience is that with rare exceptions, the players who are the most statistically productive are the ones who grade highest in the things not measured by statistics, as well.
Here are the NET POINTS of our scholarship player in the most recent game and their averages per 40 minutes of play for the season, (exhibitions games not included):
Tyler Ennis………….. 18NP in 29 minutes season: 160NP in 347 minutes per 40: 18.4
Trevor Cooney…… 16NP in 30 minutes season: 141NP in 320 minutes per 40: 17.6
C. J. Fair………………. 15NP in 35 minutes season: 141NP in 390 minutes per 40: 14.5
Baye Moussa Keita 12NP in 19 minutes season: 38NP in 168 minutes per 40: 9.0
Michael Gbinije …. 10NP in 17 minutes season: 53NP in 169 minutes per 40: 12.5
Jerami Grant……….. 10NP in 17 minutes season: 124NP in 262 minutes per 40: 18.9
Rakeem Christmas 8NP in 20 minutes season: 71NP in 227 minutes per 40: 12.5
B. J. Johnson……….. 4NP in 4 minutes season: -1NP in 44 minutes per 40: -0.9
Ron Patterson…….. -1NP in 5 minutes season: 10NP in 43 minutes per 40: 9.3
Tyler Roberson……. -2NP in 11 minutes season: 10NP in 62 minutes per 40: 6.5
DaJuan Coleman…. -6NP in 13 minutes season: 60NP in 160 minutes per 40: 15.0
Comment: Another game where the “Three Sons” might have made a case to be part of the rotation in the conference season is by the boards. There’s one more. DaJuan Coileman didn’t help his case any, either. The good news was a strong comeback game by Baye Moussa Keita who may have heard the criticism of his lack of production in recent games. He certainly played like he had something to prove. Trevor Cooney was again guards every where he went but he was able to get off 7 shots and make 6 of them.
Tyler Ennis has led in net points 6 times, no mean feat for a guard. CJ Fair has now led 3 times and Trevor Cooney twice, (once tied with Ennis. DaJuan Coleman has led the team in net points once in games this year.
Possession:
Before you can score you’ve got to get the rock. Syracuse had 11 offensive and 19 defensive rebounds. They had 8 offensive and 17 defensive rebounds. When we missed we got the ball 11 of 28 times, (39.3%). When they missed, they got the ball 8 of 27 times (29.7%). We’ve averaged getting 40.5% of our misses and our opposition has gotten 32.2% of theirs. We have won the rebounding battle by this measure 7 times in 11 games (but only 2 of the last 6 games).
Of our 10 turnovers, 5 were their steals and 6 were our own miscues. Of their 19 turnovers, 12 were Syracuse steals and 7 were their fault. Syracuse has had fewer turnovers in all but one game, (109-184) and are also ahead in unforced errors, (59-70). That’s very impressive for a team with a young backcourt.
If you add our 30 rebounds to their 19 turnovers, we had 49 “manufactured possessions”. They had 25 + 10 = 35, so we were +14. We’ve won that battle every time this season, except this game, with an average margin of +11.6, It’s the main reason we are 11-0.
Shooting:
It’s still what the game is all about. We were 22 for 41, (.537) inside the arc, 7 for 13, (.538), outside it and 10 for 18 (.556) from the line. They were 13/28, (.464), 8/20 (.400) and 4/4 (1.000). On the season, Syracuse is shooting .512/.366/.676, the opposition .492/.343/.709. Here are our two point percentages for every year of this decade: 2009-10: .571-.462 (+109), 2010-11: .562-.444 (+118), 2011-12: .519-.425 (+94), 2012-13: .485-.425 (+60). So far this year: .512-.492 = +20.
We had 75 points, 38 in the paint, 21 from the arc and 10 from the line so we scored 6 points from what I’ll call the “Twilight Zone”: that area between the paint and the arc that is the land of the pull-up jump shot, a lost art but a great weapon. They had 54-18-24-4 =8 points in the Twilight Zone. Overall, we had 27 POP: Points Outside the Paint to 32 for them. So far this year Syracuse is averaging 25 POP, 8 from the TZ, the opposition 27/5.
15 of our 29 baskets were assisted (.517) and 15 of their 21 (.714). For the year we are assisting on 52.2% of our baskets to 61.0% for the opposition, who have had more assists and a higher percentage in 8 of 11 games, all of which we’ve won.
You compute “Offensive Efficiency” by taking field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted and dividing that into the number of points. We were 54 FGA -11 OREBs + 10TOs + (.475 x 18) = 61.55 possessions. They were 48 – 8 + 19 + (.475 x 4) = 60.9 possessions. Since possessions shouldn’t be more than one off, I’ll count that as 62 possessions in which we scored 75 points, (1.210) and 61 possessions in which they scored 54 points, (0.885). For the year we are 1.184 vs. 0.962. We’ve been more efficient than our opposition in every game so far, which is also why we are 11-0.
Every other level of basketball plays quarters. To check the consistency of our performance, I look at what the score was at the 10 minute mark of each half to see what the quarterly scores would be. At a minimum, I think we want to score at least 15 points in each quarter and try to hold the opposition to less than that. The quarterly breakdown for this game: 19-14, 18-20, 18-9, 20-11. The average for the season is: 18-13, 21-17, 19-15, 19-16. We’ve won 27 quarters, lost 11 and tied 2. We’ve scored at least 15 in 37 of 44 quarters and held the opposition under that 20 times.
Hubert Davis once told us to “Get an offensive dude”. I decided to name an “Offensive Dude Of the Game, or an O-Dog. and use the hockey concept of points + assists. In this game, Tyler Ennis scored 10 points and had 9 assists for 19 “hockey points” to lead the team. So far Ennis and C.J. Fair have done it 5 times, Trevor Cooney twice and Jerami Grant has done it once.
I also like to keep track who sits us down in each half. Besides being fun it gives an indication of who Coach B likes to design plays for since opening possessions are more likely to be scripted that those later in the game, (although sometimes we don’t score until later in the game). CJ Fair sat us down with jumpers in both halves, 10 seconds into the first and 22 seconds into the second CJ has now sat us down 8 times, DaJuan Coleman 5 times Trevor Cooney, Tyler Ennis 4 times each and Christmas this one time.
