SWC75
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I’ll continue doing a statistical analysis of games this year with some of the off-beat numbers I like to look at. I’ll post them after each game, probably the next day.
The first thing I’ll look at is “NET POINTS”. The idea is that each statistic in the box score is arguably worth a point, (that is, somewhere between 0.5 and 1.5 points). A point is a point. Teams score an average of a point per possession so anything that gets you possession is a point. A missed shot will more often than not wind up in the possession of the other team. Most baskets are for two points so if the passer who set up the shot is given half credit, that’s worth a point. One half of the blocked shots will likely have gone in and they are almost always two pointers, so that’s a point. If you add up the “positives”, (points, + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) and subtract the “negatives”, (missed field goals, missed free throws, turnovers and fouls), you have a number that summarizes a player’s statistical contributions to a game. Then, by averaging the net points per 40 minutes of play, you factor out differences in playing time and have a look at the player’s rate of production. Both are important. The game is won based on what you actually did, not the rate at which you did it. But the rate is a better measure of the skills you can bring to the game.
Of course, there are things player do both on and off the court that contribute to victory. Leadership, hard work, keeping the team loose, scrambling for loose balls, (that could be a statistic: when neither team is in control of the ball, who winds up with it?), sneaker-sneaker defense, keeping the ball moving on offense, etc. etc. My experience is that with rare exceptions, the players who are the most statistically productive are the ones who grade highest in the things not measured by statistics, as well.
Here are the NET POINTS of our scholarship player in the most recent game and their averages per 40 minutes of play for the season, (exhibitions games not included):
Tyler Ennis………….. 21NP in 39 minutes season: 142NP in 318 minutes per 40: 17.9
Jerami Grant……….. 14NP in 34 minutes season: 114NP in 245 minutes per 40: 18.6
Rakeem Christmas 10NP in 10 minutes season: 63NP in 197 minutes per 40: 9.4
C. J. Fair………………. 10NP in 36 minutes season: 126NP in 355 minutes per 40: 14.2
Michael Gbinije …. 3NP in 15 minutes season: 43NP in 152 minutes per 40: 11.3
Baye Moussa Keita 2NP in 19 minutes season: 26NP in 149 minutes per 40: 7.0
DaJuan Coleman…. 1NP in 10 minutes season: 66NP in 147 minutes per 40: 18.0
Trevor Cooney…… -1NP in 27 minutes season: 125NP in 290 minutes per 40: 17.2
Ron Patterson…….. 0NP in 0 minutes season: 11NP in 38 minutes per 40: 11.6
Tyler Roberson……. 0NP in 0 minutes season: 12NP in 51 minutes per 40: 11.6
B. J. Johnson……….. 0NP in 0 minutes season: 0NP in 40 minutes per 40: -5.0
Comment: Tyler Ennis had a bad game vs. a bad opponent, (Binghamton) and then a good game vs. a good opponent, (St. Johns). It’s better than the other way around. We’ll see if it’s a trend. It’s disturbing how easily St. John’s took Trevor Cooney out of the game, and the result, (1 three pointer for the team). It won’t be the last time someone tries to do that.
Tyler Ennis has led in net points 5 times, no mean feat for a guard. CJ Fair has now led 3 times and Trevor Cooney twice, (once tied with Ennis. DaJuan Coleman has led the team in net points once in games this year.
Possession:
Before you can score you’ve got to get the rock. Syracuse had 5 offensive and 28 defensive rebounds. They had 11 offensive and 22 defensive rebounds. When we missed we got the ball only 5 of 27 times, (18.5%). When they missed, they got the ball 11 of 39 times (28.2%). We’ve averaged getting 40.6% of our misses and our opposition has gotten 325% of theirs. We have won the rebounding battle by this measure 6 times in 10 games (but only 1 of the last 5 games).
Of our 11 turnovers, 5 were their steals and 6 were our own miscues. Of their 9 turnovers, 6 were Syracuse steals and 3 were their fault. Syracuse has had fewer turnovers in all but this game, (99-165) and are also ahead in unforced errors, (54-63). That’s very impressive for a team with a young backcourt.
If you add our 33 rebounds to their 9 turnovers, we had 42 “manufactured possessions”. They had 33 + 11 = 44, so we were -2. We’ve won that battle every time this season, except this game, with an average margin of +11.4, It’s the main reason we are 10-0.
Shooting:
It’s still what the game is all about. We were 23 for 36, (.639), inside the arc, 1 for 8, (.125), outside it and 19 for 28 (.679) from the line. They were 20/41, (.488), 1/15 (.067) and 20 for 26, (.769). On the season, Syracuse is shooting .510/.352/.685, the opposition .495/.338/.703. Here are our two point percentages for every year of this decade: 2009-10: .571-.462 (+109), 2010-11: .562-.444 (+118), 2011-12: .519-.425 (+94), 2012-13: .485-.425 (+60). So far this year: .510-.495 = +15.
We had 68 points, 38 in the paint, 3 from the arc and 19 from the line so we scored 8 points from what I’ll call the “Twilight Zone”: that area between the paint and the arc that is the land of the pull-up jump shot, a lost art but a great weapon. They had 63-34-3-20 =6 points in the Twilight Zone. Overall, we had 11 POP: Points Outside the Paint to 9 for them. So far this year Syracuse is averaging 25 POP, 8 from the TZ, the opposition 26/5.
12 of our 24 baskets were assisted (.500) and 10 of their 21 (.476). For the year we are assisting on 52.2% of our baskets to 60.0% for the opposition, who have had more assists and a higher percentage in 7 of 10 games, all of which we’ve won. .
You compute “Offensive Efficiency” by taking field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted and dividing that into the number of points. We were 44 FGA -5 OREBs + 11TOs + (.475 x 28) = 63.3 possessions. They were 56 – 11 + 9 + (.475 x 26) = 66.35 possessions. Since possessions shouldn’t be more than one off, I’ll count that as 64 possessions in which we scored 68 points, (1.063) and 65 possessions in which they scored 63 points, (0.969). For the year we are 1.182 vs. 0.969. We’ve been more efficient than our opposition in every game so far, which is also why we are 10-0.
Every other level of basketball plays quarters. To check the consistency of our performance, I look at what the score was at the 10 minute mark of each half to see what the quarterly scores would be. At a minimum, I think we want to score at least 15 points in each quarter and try to hold the opposition to less than that. The quarterly breakdown for this game: 17-13, 22-14, 14-23, 15-13. The average for the season is: 17-13, 21-17, 19-16, 19-17, (it takes a while for both teams to get warmed up, apparently). We’ve won 27 quarters, lost 11 and tied 2. We’ve scored at least 15 in 34 of 40 quarters and held the opposition under that 17 times.
Hubert Davis once told us to “Get an offensive dude”. I decided to name an “Offensive Dude Of the Game, or an O-Dog. and use the hockey concept of points + assists. In this game, Tyler Ennis scored 21 points and had 6 assists for 27 “hockey points” to lead the team. So far C.J. Fair’s done it 5 times, Tyler Ennis 4 times, Trevor Cooney twice and Jerami Grant has done it once.
I also like to keep track who sits us down in each half. Besides being fun it gives an indication of who Coach B likes to design plays for since opening possessions are more likely to be scripted that those later in the game, (although sometimes we don’t score until later in the game). DaJuan Coleman sat us down in the first half with a lay-up 41 seconds in. Rakeem Christmas did it with a dunk 2:10 into the second half. CJ Fair has now sat us down 6 times, Coleman 5 times Trevor Cooney, Tyler Ennis 4 times each and Christmas this one time.
The first thing I’ll look at is “NET POINTS”. The idea is that each statistic in the box score is arguably worth a point, (that is, somewhere between 0.5 and 1.5 points). A point is a point. Teams score an average of a point per possession so anything that gets you possession is a point. A missed shot will more often than not wind up in the possession of the other team. Most baskets are for two points so if the passer who set up the shot is given half credit, that’s worth a point. One half of the blocked shots will likely have gone in and they are almost always two pointers, so that’s a point. If you add up the “positives”, (points, + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) and subtract the “negatives”, (missed field goals, missed free throws, turnovers and fouls), you have a number that summarizes a player’s statistical contributions to a game. Then, by averaging the net points per 40 minutes of play, you factor out differences in playing time and have a look at the player’s rate of production. Both are important. The game is won based on what you actually did, not the rate at which you did it. But the rate is a better measure of the skills you can bring to the game.
Of course, there are things player do both on and off the court that contribute to victory. Leadership, hard work, keeping the team loose, scrambling for loose balls, (that could be a statistic: when neither team is in control of the ball, who winds up with it?), sneaker-sneaker defense, keeping the ball moving on offense, etc. etc. My experience is that with rare exceptions, the players who are the most statistically productive are the ones who grade highest in the things not measured by statistics, as well.
Here are the NET POINTS of our scholarship player in the most recent game and their averages per 40 minutes of play for the season, (exhibitions games not included):
Tyler Ennis………….. 21NP in 39 minutes season: 142NP in 318 minutes per 40: 17.9
Jerami Grant……….. 14NP in 34 minutes season: 114NP in 245 minutes per 40: 18.6
Rakeem Christmas 10NP in 10 minutes season: 63NP in 197 minutes per 40: 9.4
C. J. Fair………………. 10NP in 36 minutes season: 126NP in 355 minutes per 40: 14.2
Michael Gbinije …. 3NP in 15 minutes season: 43NP in 152 minutes per 40: 11.3
Baye Moussa Keita 2NP in 19 minutes season: 26NP in 149 minutes per 40: 7.0
DaJuan Coleman…. 1NP in 10 minutes season: 66NP in 147 minutes per 40: 18.0
Trevor Cooney…… -1NP in 27 minutes season: 125NP in 290 minutes per 40: 17.2
Ron Patterson…….. 0NP in 0 minutes season: 11NP in 38 minutes per 40: 11.6
Tyler Roberson……. 0NP in 0 minutes season: 12NP in 51 minutes per 40: 11.6
B. J. Johnson……….. 0NP in 0 minutes season: 0NP in 40 minutes per 40: -5.0
Comment: Tyler Ennis had a bad game vs. a bad opponent, (Binghamton) and then a good game vs. a good opponent, (St. Johns). It’s better than the other way around. We’ll see if it’s a trend. It’s disturbing how easily St. John’s took Trevor Cooney out of the game, and the result, (1 three pointer for the team). It won’t be the last time someone tries to do that.
Tyler Ennis has led in net points 5 times, no mean feat for a guard. CJ Fair has now led 3 times and Trevor Cooney twice, (once tied with Ennis. DaJuan Coleman has led the team in net points once in games this year.
Possession:
Before you can score you’ve got to get the rock. Syracuse had 5 offensive and 28 defensive rebounds. They had 11 offensive and 22 defensive rebounds. When we missed we got the ball only 5 of 27 times, (18.5%). When they missed, they got the ball 11 of 39 times (28.2%). We’ve averaged getting 40.6% of our misses and our opposition has gotten 325% of theirs. We have won the rebounding battle by this measure 6 times in 10 games (but only 1 of the last 5 games).
Of our 11 turnovers, 5 were their steals and 6 were our own miscues. Of their 9 turnovers, 6 were Syracuse steals and 3 were their fault. Syracuse has had fewer turnovers in all but this game, (99-165) and are also ahead in unforced errors, (54-63). That’s very impressive for a team with a young backcourt.
If you add our 33 rebounds to their 9 turnovers, we had 42 “manufactured possessions”. They had 33 + 11 = 44, so we were -2. We’ve won that battle every time this season, except this game, with an average margin of +11.4, It’s the main reason we are 10-0.
Shooting:
It’s still what the game is all about. We were 23 for 36, (.639), inside the arc, 1 for 8, (.125), outside it and 19 for 28 (.679) from the line. They were 20/41, (.488), 1/15 (.067) and 20 for 26, (.769). On the season, Syracuse is shooting .510/.352/.685, the opposition .495/.338/.703. Here are our two point percentages for every year of this decade: 2009-10: .571-.462 (+109), 2010-11: .562-.444 (+118), 2011-12: .519-.425 (+94), 2012-13: .485-.425 (+60). So far this year: .510-.495 = +15.
We had 68 points, 38 in the paint, 3 from the arc and 19 from the line so we scored 8 points from what I’ll call the “Twilight Zone”: that area between the paint and the arc that is the land of the pull-up jump shot, a lost art but a great weapon. They had 63-34-3-20 =6 points in the Twilight Zone. Overall, we had 11 POP: Points Outside the Paint to 9 for them. So far this year Syracuse is averaging 25 POP, 8 from the TZ, the opposition 26/5.
12 of our 24 baskets were assisted (.500) and 10 of their 21 (.476). For the year we are assisting on 52.2% of our baskets to 60.0% for the opposition, who have had more assists and a higher percentage in 7 of 10 games, all of which we’ve won. .
You compute “Offensive Efficiency” by taking field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted and dividing that into the number of points. We were 44 FGA -5 OREBs + 11TOs + (.475 x 28) = 63.3 possessions. They were 56 – 11 + 9 + (.475 x 26) = 66.35 possessions. Since possessions shouldn’t be more than one off, I’ll count that as 64 possessions in which we scored 68 points, (1.063) and 65 possessions in which they scored 63 points, (0.969). For the year we are 1.182 vs. 0.969. We’ve been more efficient than our opposition in every game so far, which is also why we are 10-0.
Every other level of basketball plays quarters. To check the consistency of our performance, I look at what the score was at the 10 minute mark of each half to see what the quarterly scores would be. At a minimum, I think we want to score at least 15 points in each quarter and try to hold the opposition to less than that. The quarterly breakdown for this game: 17-13, 22-14, 14-23, 15-13. The average for the season is: 17-13, 21-17, 19-16, 19-17, (it takes a while for both teams to get warmed up, apparently). We’ve won 27 quarters, lost 11 and tied 2. We’ve scored at least 15 in 34 of 40 quarters and held the opposition under that 17 times.
Hubert Davis once told us to “Get an offensive dude”. I decided to name an “Offensive Dude Of the Game, or an O-Dog. and use the hockey concept of points + assists. In this game, Tyler Ennis scored 21 points and had 6 assists for 27 “hockey points” to lead the team. So far C.J. Fair’s done it 5 times, Tyler Ennis 4 times, Trevor Cooney twice and Jerami Grant has done it once.
I also like to keep track who sits us down in each half. Besides being fun it gives an indication of who Coach B likes to design plays for since opening possessions are more likely to be scripted that those later in the game, (although sometimes we don’t score until later in the game). DaJuan Coleman sat us down in the first half with a lay-up 41 seconds in. Rakeem Christmas did it with a dunk 2:10 into the second half. CJ Fair has now sat us down 6 times, Coleman 5 times Trevor Cooney, Tyler Ennis 4 times each and Christmas this one time.