SWC75
Bored Historian
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- Aug 26, 2011
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Take all the positives: points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks and subtract the negatives: missed field goals, miss free throws, turnovers and fouls. The result is “Net Points.” (NP). M = minutes.
Dion Waiters +13NP in 24M season: +327NP in 758M per 40M: +17.3NP
James Southerland +10NP in 27M season: +219NP in 499M per 40M: +17.6NP
Fab Melo +10NP in 32M season: +294NP in 730M per 40M: +16.1NP
Rakeem Christmas +9NP in 8M season: +99NP in 336M per 40M: +11.8NP
Brandon Triche +6NP in 30M season: +265NP in 718M per 40M: +14.8NP
Kris Joseph +6NP in 38M season: +400NP in 1010M per 40M: +15.8NP
Michael Carter-Williams +4NP in 8M season: +107NP in 269M per 40M: +15.9NP
CJ Fair -3NP in 15M season: +328NP in 857M per 40M: +15.3NP
Scoop Jardine -4NP in 18M season: +302NP in 755M per 40M: +16.0NP
Baye Moussa Keita 0NP in 0M season: +96NP in 359M per 40M: +10.7NP
Comment: We continue to have guys having “up” games (Waiters, Southerland, Melo, Christmas), making up for guys having ‘down’ games, (Jardine, Fair, Joseph). We’ve got 10 guys who can play and the strength of the team, other than defense, is the number of options that gives us. We are at our best when JB gives everyone a chance to play and then goes with the hot hands. A narrow NCAA rotation would weaken this team.
Offensive Dude of the Game: Dion Waiters won it both on gross numbers, (18 points and 1 assists = 19), and per minutes, (24 minutes, or 31.7 over 40 minutes). Using gross numbers, Waiters has been the ODOG, Joseph 9 times, Jardine 8 times, Southerland and Triche 4 times and Fair once. If you go by per 40 minutes averages, Waiters has been the ODOG 10 times, Jardine and Triche 8 times, Joseph and Southerland 2, Keita, Christmas and Carter-Williams once each. (They don’t add up to 28 because of ties).
Shooting Breakdown: SU was 17/38 (..447: we are .524 on the season- we were .527 last year and .571 two years ago) from inside the arc, 3/14 from outside, (.214) and 15/23 from the line (.652). Connecticut was 16/41 (.390), 6/23, (.261), and 5/10, (.500) 11 of our 20 baskets were assisted, (55%), vs. 12 of Connecticut‘s 22, (55%).
POP: I’ll credit the Axeman for naming this. A common stat is “points in the paint”. But what about the points outside the paint? The game gets a lot harder if you have to plow through the defense to get to the basket to score. Jump shots, (and not just three pointers), are an important part of any team’s offense. You can’t rely on them too much as they are the most inconsistent part of the game but you have to have the capacity to score over the defense or else you are likely to struggle. The formula is simple: Total points minus points in the paint minus free throws.
We scored 58 points in this game, 24 in the paint and 12 from the line so he had 19 POP in this game. We have 839 points outside the paint in 32 games, an average of 26.2 per game. We’ve scored 2393 points, or 35.1%, have come outside the paint. We’ve had 522 POP in 19 home games, (27.5), 317 in 13 games away from the Dome, (24.4). If you count only “true” road games, it’s 244 in 10 (24.4).
Rebounding: Syracuse had 8 offensive and 26 defensive rebounds. Connecticut had 18 offensive and 28 defensive rebounds. That means that when we missed, we got the rebound 22% of the time. When they missed, they got the rebound 41% of the time. Connecticut had 10 turnovers, of which 6 were Syracuse steals, (60%). Syracuse had 4 turnovers of which 3 were Connecticut steals, (75%). We had 44 “manufactured” possessions, (our rebounds + their turnovers). They had 50. It was the 9th time this year we’ve lost that battle, 8 of them in the last 13 games. For the year we’ve manufactured 1623 possessions to 1444 for the opposition so we are up +156 in 32 games= +4.9 per game.
And, thanks to Blacksquirrels and Knicks411, I now understand how to compute “points per possession, (field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted) and here they are:
Syracuse: 52 FGA minus 8 offensive rebounds plus 4 turnovers plus 47.5% of 23 free throws = 58.925 possessions. The possessions can’t be more than one off so I’ll call that 59 possessions in which we scored 58 points or 0.983 points per possession. For the season it’s 1.127.
Connecticut: 64-18+10 plus 47.5% of 10 = 60.75 possessions. Let’s call that 60 possessions, (so we won’t be more than one off) in which they scored 55 points or 0.917 points per possession. For the season it’s 0.907.
Dry stretches were a problem last year- we’d go 8-10 minutes with the offense not functioning. I decided it should be a goal to score at least 15 points in every 10 minute “quarter” of the game, (college is the only level that doesn’t have quarters). You want to score more than that, of course, but if we can avoid falling under 15 in any ten minute period we should have a good scoring average because we’ll have 20 and 25 point quarters as well. The “quarterly” splits in this game were 13-12, 14-12, 14-18, 17-13.
We’ve had 27 sub 15 point quarters this year and lost 34 quarters (of 128). Here are the averages per quarter: 15.5-14, 20-12, 18-17, 21-18 .
Dion Waiters +13NP in 24M season: +327NP in 758M per 40M: +17.3NP
James Southerland +10NP in 27M season: +219NP in 499M per 40M: +17.6NP
Fab Melo +10NP in 32M season: +294NP in 730M per 40M: +16.1NP
Rakeem Christmas +9NP in 8M season: +99NP in 336M per 40M: +11.8NP
Brandon Triche +6NP in 30M season: +265NP in 718M per 40M: +14.8NP
Kris Joseph +6NP in 38M season: +400NP in 1010M per 40M: +15.8NP
Michael Carter-Williams +4NP in 8M season: +107NP in 269M per 40M: +15.9NP
CJ Fair -3NP in 15M season: +328NP in 857M per 40M: +15.3NP
Scoop Jardine -4NP in 18M season: +302NP in 755M per 40M: +16.0NP
Baye Moussa Keita 0NP in 0M season: +96NP in 359M per 40M: +10.7NP
Comment: We continue to have guys having “up” games (Waiters, Southerland, Melo, Christmas), making up for guys having ‘down’ games, (Jardine, Fair, Joseph). We’ve got 10 guys who can play and the strength of the team, other than defense, is the number of options that gives us. We are at our best when JB gives everyone a chance to play and then goes with the hot hands. A narrow NCAA rotation would weaken this team.
Offensive Dude of the Game: Dion Waiters won it both on gross numbers, (18 points and 1 assists = 19), and per minutes, (24 minutes, or 31.7 over 40 minutes). Using gross numbers, Waiters has been the ODOG, Joseph 9 times, Jardine 8 times, Southerland and Triche 4 times and Fair once. If you go by per 40 minutes averages, Waiters has been the ODOG 10 times, Jardine and Triche 8 times, Joseph and Southerland 2, Keita, Christmas and Carter-Williams once each. (They don’t add up to 28 because of ties).
Shooting Breakdown: SU was 17/38 (..447: we are .524 on the season- we were .527 last year and .571 two years ago) from inside the arc, 3/14 from outside, (.214) and 15/23 from the line (.652). Connecticut was 16/41 (.390), 6/23, (.261), and 5/10, (.500) 11 of our 20 baskets were assisted, (55%), vs. 12 of Connecticut‘s 22, (55%).
POP: I’ll credit the Axeman for naming this. A common stat is “points in the paint”. But what about the points outside the paint? The game gets a lot harder if you have to plow through the defense to get to the basket to score. Jump shots, (and not just three pointers), are an important part of any team’s offense. You can’t rely on them too much as they are the most inconsistent part of the game but you have to have the capacity to score over the defense or else you are likely to struggle. The formula is simple: Total points minus points in the paint minus free throws.
We scored 58 points in this game, 24 in the paint and 12 from the line so he had 19 POP in this game. We have 839 points outside the paint in 32 games, an average of 26.2 per game. We’ve scored 2393 points, or 35.1%, have come outside the paint. We’ve had 522 POP in 19 home games, (27.5), 317 in 13 games away from the Dome, (24.4). If you count only “true” road games, it’s 244 in 10 (24.4).
Rebounding: Syracuse had 8 offensive and 26 defensive rebounds. Connecticut had 18 offensive and 28 defensive rebounds. That means that when we missed, we got the rebound 22% of the time. When they missed, they got the rebound 41% of the time. Connecticut had 10 turnovers, of which 6 were Syracuse steals, (60%). Syracuse had 4 turnovers of which 3 were Connecticut steals, (75%). We had 44 “manufactured” possessions, (our rebounds + their turnovers). They had 50. It was the 9th time this year we’ve lost that battle, 8 of them in the last 13 games. For the year we’ve manufactured 1623 possessions to 1444 for the opposition so we are up +156 in 32 games= +4.9 per game.
And, thanks to Blacksquirrels and Knicks411, I now understand how to compute “points per possession, (field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted) and here they are:
Syracuse: 52 FGA minus 8 offensive rebounds plus 4 turnovers plus 47.5% of 23 free throws = 58.925 possessions. The possessions can’t be more than one off so I’ll call that 59 possessions in which we scored 58 points or 0.983 points per possession. For the season it’s 1.127.
Connecticut: 64-18+10 plus 47.5% of 10 = 60.75 possessions. Let’s call that 60 possessions, (so we won’t be more than one off) in which they scored 55 points or 0.917 points per possession. For the season it’s 0.907.
Dry stretches were a problem last year- we’d go 8-10 minutes with the offense not functioning. I decided it should be a goal to score at least 15 points in every 10 minute “quarter” of the game, (college is the only level that doesn’t have quarters). You want to score more than that, of course, but if we can avoid falling under 15 in any ten minute period we should have a good scoring average because we’ll have 20 and 25 point quarters as well. The “quarterly” splits in this game were 13-12, 14-12, 14-18, 17-13.
We’ve had 27 sub 15 point quarters this year and lost 34 quarters (of 128). Here are the averages per quarter: 15.5-14, 20-12, 18-17, 21-18 .
