Net Points, Etc. | Syracusefan.com

Net Points, Etc.

SWC75

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Take all the positives: points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks and subtract the negatives: missed field goals, miss free throws, turnovers and fouls. The result is “Net Points.” (NP). M = minutes.
Michael Carter-Williams +18NP in 32M season: +113NP in 190M per 40M: +23.8NP
Brandon Triche +15NP in 28M season: +71NP in 188M per 40M: +15.1NP
DaJuan Coleman +14NP in 22M season: +40NP in 96M per 40M: +16.7NP
Baye Moussa Keita +12NP in 10M season: +48NP in 99M per 40M: +19.4NP
Jerami Grant +12NP in 15M season: +24NP in 59M per 40M: +16.3NP
Rakeem Christmas +12NP in 21M season: +57NP in 123M per 40M: +18.5NP
CJ Fair +6NP in 25M season: +45NP in 151M per 40M: +11.9NP
Trevor Cooney +4NP in 18M season: +15NP in 84M per 40M: +7.1NP
James Southerland +4NP in 24M season: +97NP in 156M per 40M: +24.9NP

Comment: Michael Carter- Williams has now edged past Brandon Triche in the “My Man” competition for the most minutes played. That may be back and fourth all season, especially if MCW has 6 turnover games. James Southerland went from Superstar to barely there but others, like Jerami Grant picked up the slack. CJ. Fair still seems to be playing in low gear since the opening of the SDS game. DaJuan Coleman is starting to assert himself and Trevor Cooney finally found his shot.

The following players have led the team in net points in a game this year: James Southerland (2), Michael Carter-Williams (2). , CJ Fair, (1) and Brandon Triche (1).

Shooting Breakdown: SU was 25/46 (.543) from inside the arc, 5/22 from outside, (.227) and 19/25 from the line (.760). Eastern Michigan was 14/42 (.333), 4/19, (.211), and 8/12, (.667). For the season we are .542/.295/.694 and our opponents are .382/.258/.650 Other than Southerland‘s outburst at Arkansas, we haven‘t seen a lot of three point shots go in this year. The real difference between SU and it‘s opposition is the basketball stat that most correlates to winning: two point field goal percentage. 19 of our 30 baskets were assisted, (63%), vs. 10 of Eastern Michigan‘s 18, (56%).

POP: I’ll credit the Axeman for naming this. A common stat is “points in the paint”. But what about the points outside the paint? The game gets a lot harder if you have to plow through the defense to get to the basket to score. Jump shots, (and not just three pointers), are an important part of any team’s offense. You can’t rely on them too much as they are the most inconsistent part of the game but you have to have the capacity to score over the defense or else you are likely to struggle. The formula is simple: Total points minus points in the paint minus free throws.

We scored 84 points in this game, 48 in the paint and 19 from the line so he had 17 POP in this game, or 20%. Eastern Michigan had 18 POP, or 37.5%. We averaged 26 POP last year, 36% of our points. So far this year we are again averaging 26 POP, 32% of our scoring. Our opponents have averaged 21 POP, but that’s been 37% of their scoring.

The “Offensive Dude of the Game”, (points + assists) was Michael Carter-Williams with 11 points and 11 assists for a total of 22. So far the following players have been “Offensive Dudes”: Michael Carter-Williams (3), James Southerland (2) and Brandon Triche (1).

Rebounding: Syracuse had 20 offensive and 30 defensive rebounds. Eastern Michigan had 15 offensive and 22 defensive rebounds. That means that when we missed, we got the rebound 48% of the time. When they missed, they got the rebound 33% of the time. We were actually mediocre on the offensive boards but very strong on the defensive boards. Eastern Michigan had 24 turnovers, of which 17 were Syracuse steals, (71%). Syracuse had 18 turnovers of which 13 were Eastern Michigan steals, (72%). We had 74 “manufactured” possessions, (our rebounds + their turnovers). Eastern Michigan had 55. We are an average of +13 MP for the year.

And, thanks to Blacksquirrels and Knicks411, I now understand how to compute “points per possession, (field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted) and here they are:

Syracuse: 68 FGA minus 20 offensive rebounds plus 18 turnovers plus 47.5% of 25 free throws = 77.875 possessions. The possessions can’t be more than one off so I’ll call that 77 possessions in which we scored 84 points or 1.091 points per possession. We are 1.083 on the season. Last season it was 1.126. Our offense really isn’t performing at full capacity yet.

Eastern Michigan: 61-15+24 plus 47.5% of 12 = 75.7 possessions. Let’s call that 76 possessions, (so we won’t be more than one off) in which they scored 48 points or 0.631 points per possession. They are 0.762 on the season. Last season it was 0.927.

I decided it should be a goal to score at least 15 points in every 10 minute “quarter” of the game, (college is the only level that doesn’t have quarters). You want to score more than that, of course, but if we can avoid falling under 15 in any ten minute period we should have a good scoring average because we’ll have 20 and 25 point quarters as well. The “quarterly” splits in this game were 6-10, 29-7, 22-16, 27-15.For the year, the average score per quarter is 19-13, 18-11.5, 21-14, 23-17. Last year the averages per quarter were: 22-13, 15-12, 21-13, 22-17. We’ve missed the 15 point mark 4 times in 24 quarters this year and lost 5 quarters, the first three of them by a single point. That first quarter vs. Eastern Michigan was the worst quarter we’ve had since the first quarter last year vs. South Florida, where we started 5-16 but, like this game, came on to win 56-48.
 
SWC, your net points concept is not far from the basis of PER. I wonder if PER is readily availalbe for current SU players and past?

PER tries to take all the basic statistics, and put them into one number of efficiency, and is a per minute stat as well. (only difference from your calc is that some stats are given different weights in PER I believe).
 
SWC, your net points concept is not far from the basis of PER. I wonder if PER is readily availalbe for current SU players and past?

PER tries to take all the basic statistics, and put them into one number of efficiency, and is a per minute stat as well. (only difference from your calc is that some stats are given different weights in PER I believe).


I've been urged to give each stat a "weight" rather than just adding them up. But the results I get pass the look test as it is, with a few exceptions, (mostly reserves who played well- and thus longer- vs. bad teams). I don't like to make it too complicated.
 

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