SWC75
Bored Historian
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Take all the positives: points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks and subtract the negatives: missed field goals, miss free throws, turnovers and fouls. The result is “Net Points.” (NP). M = minutes.
Michael Carter-Williams +24NP in 37M season: +571NP in 1374M per 40M: +16.6NP
CJ Fair +17NP in 40M season: +551NP in 1357M per 40M: +16.2NP
Brandon Triche +10NP in 35M season: +373NP in 1313M per 40M: +11.4NP
James Southerland +9NP in 37M season: +417NP in 966M per 40M: +17.3NP
Jerami Grant +1NP in 3M season: +138NP in 546M per 40M: +10.1NP
DaJuan Coleman 0NP in 0M season: +95NP in 305M per 40M: +12.5NP
Rakeem Christmas 0NP in 21M season: +244NP in 827M per 40M: +11.8NP
Trevor Cooney -1NP in 8M season: +63NP in 431M per 40M: +5.8NP
Baye Moussa Keita -1NP in 19M season: +187NP in 655M per 40M: +11.4NP
Comment: A key in this game was the avoidance of “negatives”. We only shot 38% from the field and 63% from the free throw line. But we committed only 11 fouls and 6 turnovers. Marquette was 16 and 14. That’s +13 in those two numbers for SU. (In the first game it was -13.) Hey! That’s a good stat. Maybe I’ll keep track of that, too. Next year.
CJ Fair and Michael Carter-Williams have led in “net points” 12 times, James Southerland 9 times, Brandon Triche 8 times, Jerami Grant, Trevor Cooney and Baye Moussa Keita once each, (including ties).
Shooting Breakdown:
SU was 14/33, (.424) from inside the arc, 5/17 from outside, (.294) and 12/19 from the line (.632). Marquette was 9/29 (.310) from inside the arc, 3/24, (.125) from outside, (our opponents are 14 for 91 in the tournament, .154) and 12/16, (.750) from the line. If you maintain the number of attempts but reverse the percentages, we score 40 points and they score 75 points. If we shot what our opponents shot in every game this year, we’d be 15-24, not 30-9. That doesn’t mean that we’ve been lucky that they missed shots. The way we play defense obviously has lot to do with it. But it means that shooting has been a big factor. It’s not all about possession of the ball, which many think of as the real key to winning basketball.
For the season we are .486/.337/.675 and our opponents are .425/.285/.677. (Last year’s team was .520 from two point range. The 2010 team was .571.) 9 of our 19 baskets were assisted, (47%), vs.10 of Marquette‘s 12, (83%). When I did a study of basketball stats as they relate to winning a few years back, I found that % of baskets assisted had the worst correlation. That was certainly true in this game.
Thanks to Blacksquirrels and Knicks411, I now understand how to compute “points per possession, (field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted) and here they are:
Syracuse: 50 FGA minus 11 offensive rebounds plus 6 turnovers plus 47.5% of 19 free throws = 54.025 possessions. The possessions can’t be more than one off so I’ll call that 54 possessions in which we scored 55 points or 1.019 points per possession. We are 1.072 on the season. Last season it was 1.126. Our offensive efficiency actually wasn’t too bad in this game. It’s just that both teams used most of the shot clock when they had the ball and so there were fewer possessions.
Marquette: 53-20+14 plus 47.5% of 16 = 54.6 possessions. Let’s call that 55 possessions, (so we won’t be more than one off) in which they scored 39 points or 0.691 points per possession. The opposition is 0.889 on the season. Last season it was 0.830.
POP: I’ll credit the Axeman for naming this. A common stat is “points in the paint”. But what about the points outside the paint? The game gets a lot harder if you have to plow through the defense to get to the basket to score. Jump shots, (and not just three pointers), are an important part of any team’s offense. You can’t rely on them too much as they are the most inconsistent part of the game but you have to have the capacity to score over the defense or else you are likely to struggle. The formula is simple: Total points minus points in the paint minus free throws.
We scored 55 points, 26 in the paint and 12 from the foul line. Thus we had 17 POP or 31% of our points. Marquette had 11POP, or 28%. The teams we have played in this tournament have averaged only 14.5POP per game. We averaged 28 POP last year, 33% of our points. So far this year we are averaging 24 POP, 33% of our scoring. We’ve averaged 26 POP at the Dome and 22 away from it. (Incidentally, we have now played more games away from the Dome than in it, 20-19.) Our opponents have averaged 23 POP, but that’s been 40% of their scoring.
The “Offensive Dude of the Game”, (points + assists) was Michael Carter-Williams, with 12 points and 6 assists for a total of 18. So far the following players have been “Offensive Dudes”: Michael Carter-Williams (15), CJ Fair (11) Brandon Triche (9) and James Southerland (6).
I decided it should be a goal to score at least 15 points in every 10 minute “quarter” of the game, (college is the only level that doesn’t have quarters). You want to score more than that, of course, but if we can avoid falling under 15 in any ten minute period we should have a good scoring average because we’ll have 20 and 25 point quarters as well. The “quarterly” splits in this game were 15-6, 9-12, 15-10, 16-11
For the year, the average score per quarter is 16-13, 18-12, 18-15, 19-18. Last year the averages per quarter were: 15-14, 19-12, 18-17, 21-18. We’ve missed the 15 point mark 45 times in 156 quarters this year, and lost 44.
For fun I’ve decided to add another stat. We picked up the tradition of standing and clapping before SU’s first basket of each half from New Mexico after one of Coach Boeheim’s favorite early victories back in the 70’s. I wondered which player had done the best job of “sitting us down”: who scored the first field goal of each half? I decided to include road games.
James Southerland sat us down in the first half, Brandon Triche in the second half, (at 14:24: we would have been standing for over 5 minutes- I’ve heard the record is 7+). CJ Fair has “sat us down” 20 times, Brandon Triche 15 times, Rakeem Christmas 14 times, Michael Carter-Williams 13 times, DaJuan Coleman 6 times, James Southerland 5 times, Jerami Grant 2 times and Baye Moussa Keita, and Trevor Cooney 1 time each.
Possession:
Syracuse had 11 offensive and 24 defensive rebounds Marquette had 20 offensive and 25 defensive rebounds. That means that when we missed, we got the rebound 31% of the time. When they missed, they got the rebound 44% of the time. For the year we have rebounded 39% of our misses and the opposition have rebounded 34% of theirs. We’ve out-rebounded 23 of 39 opponents by this measure.
Marquette had 14 turnovers, of which 10 were Syracuse steals, (71%). Syracuse had 6 turnovers of which 3 were Marquette steals, (50%). We had 50 “manufactured” possessions, (our rebounds + their turnovers). Marquette alsohad 50. We have won this battle 24 times in 38 games, with 3 games even. This was a classic example of JB’s plan: use the zone to stop them from scoring, expect to lose the rebound battle, (36-44) but make up for it in turnover margin, (6-14). We’ve averaged 7 more MP’s per game, +4 in Big East games. Gaining and retaining possession has not been a big issue, overall.
The Centers
I think our tandem of centers should get a total of at least 20 points + rebounds + blocks per game. They are averaging 26 on the season but only 18 in Big East games. In the Marquette game Rakeem Christmas had 4 points, 4 rebounds and 1 blocks while Baye Moussa Keita had 0 points, 3 rebounds and 2 blocks, DaJuan Coleman had 0 points, 0 rebounds and 0 blocks for a total of 14, We’ve failed to reach 20 14 times, 13 in the 23 conference games. Christmas has contributed the most 21 times, Keita 14 times and Coleman 6 with 2 ties.
“My Man”
Casey Stengel was once asked the secret of his success with the Yankees. He said “I never play a game without my man.” He didn’t explain but the reporter noticed that Yogi Berra was always in the line up somewhere, even when he wasn’t catching. Casey didn’t want to play a game without him. I decided to keep track of which players played the most minutes in each game to see which player, (or players) were Jim Boeheim’s “man”.
CJ Fair played 40 minutes in this game. Michael Carter-Williams has led in minutes played 19 times, CJ Fair 16 times, Brandon Triche 13 times Jerami Grant twice and James Southerland , (this includes ties).
Michael Carter-Williams +24NP in 37M season: +571NP in 1374M per 40M: +16.6NP
CJ Fair +17NP in 40M season: +551NP in 1357M per 40M: +16.2NP
Brandon Triche +10NP in 35M season: +373NP in 1313M per 40M: +11.4NP
James Southerland +9NP in 37M season: +417NP in 966M per 40M: +17.3NP
Jerami Grant +1NP in 3M season: +138NP in 546M per 40M: +10.1NP
DaJuan Coleman 0NP in 0M season: +95NP in 305M per 40M: +12.5NP
Rakeem Christmas 0NP in 21M season: +244NP in 827M per 40M: +11.8NP
Trevor Cooney -1NP in 8M season: +63NP in 431M per 40M: +5.8NP
Baye Moussa Keita -1NP in 19M season: +187NP in 655M per 40M: +11.4NP
Comment: A key in this game was the avoidance of “negatives”. We only shot 38% from the field and 63% from the free throw line. But we committed only 11 fouls and 6 turnovers. Marquette was 16 and 14. That’s +13 in those two numbers for SU. (In the first game it was -13.) Hey! That’s a good stat. Maybe I’ll keep track of that, too. Next year.
CJ Fair and Michael Carter-Williams have led in “net points” 12 times, James Southerland 9 times, Brandon Triche 8 times, Jerami Grant, Trevor Cooney and Baye Moussa Keita once each, (including ties).
Shooting Breakdown:
SU was 14/33, (.424) from inside the arc, 5/17 from outside, (.294) and 12/19 from the line (.632). Marquette was 9/29 (.310) from inside the arc, 3/24, (.125) from outside, (our opponents are 14 for 91 in the tournament, .154) and 12/16, (.750) from the line. If you maintain the number of attempts but reverse the percentages, we score 40 points and they score 75 points. If we shot what our opponents shot in every game this year, we’d be 15-24, not 30-9. That doesn’t mean that we’ve been lucky that they missed shots. The way we play defense obviously has lot to do with it. But it means that shooting has been a big factor. It’s not all about possession of the ball, which many think of as the real key to winning basketball.
For the season we are .486/.337/.675 and our opponents are .425/.285/.677. (Last year’s team was .520 from two point range. The 2010 team was .571.) 9 of our 19 baskets were assisted, (47%), vs.10 of Marquette‘s 12, (83%). When I did a study of basketball stats as they relate to winning a few years back, I found that % of baskets assisted had the worst correlation. That was certainly true in this game.
Thanks to Blacksquirrels and Knicks411, I now understand how to compute “points per possession, (field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers plus 47.5% of free throws attempted) and here they are:
Syracuse: 50 FGA minus 11 offensive rebounds plus 6 turnovers plus 47.5% of 19 free throws = 54.025 possessions. The possessions can’t be more than one off so I’ll call that 54 possessions in which we scored 55 points or 1.019 points per possession. We are 1.072 on the season. Last season it was 1.126. Our offensive efficiency actually wasn’t too bad in this game. It’s just that both teams used most of the shot clock when they had the ball and so there were fewer possessions.
Marquette: 53-20+14 plus 47.5% of 16 = 54.6 possessions. Let’s call that 55 possessions, (so we won’t be more than one off) in which they scored 39 points or 0.691 points per possession. The opposition is 0.889 on the season. Last season it was 0.830.
POP: I’ll credit the Axeman for naming this. A common stat is “points in the paint”. But what about the points outside the paint? The game gets a lot harder if you have to plow through the defense to get to the basket to score. Jump shots, (and not just three pointers), are an important part of any team’s offense. You can’t rely on them too much as they are the most inconsistent part of the game but you have to have the capacity to score over the defense or else you are likely to struggle. The formula is simple: Total points minus points in the paint minus free throws.
We scored 55 points, 26 in the paint and 12 from the foul line. Thus we had 17 POP or 31% of our points. Marquette had 11POP, or 28%. The teams we have played in this tournament have averaged only 14.5POP per game. We averaged 28 POP last year, 33% of our points. So far this year we are averaging 24 POP, 33% of our scoring. We’ve averaged 26 POP at the Dome and 22 away from it. (Incidentally, we have now played more games away from the Dome than in it, 20-19.) Our opponents have averaged 23 POP, but that’s been 40% of their scoring.
The “Offensive Dude of the Game”, (points + assists) was Michael Carter-Williams, with 12 points and 6 assists for a total of 18. So far the following players have been “Offensive Dudes”: Michael Carter-Williams (15), CJ Fair (11) Brandon Triche (9) and James Southerland (6).
I decided it should be a goal to score at least 15 points in every 10 minute “quarter” of the game, (college is the only level that doesn’t have quarters). You want to score more than that, of course, but if we can avoid falling under 15 in any ten minute period we should have a good scoring average because we’ll have 20 and 25 point quarters as well. The “quarterly” splits in this game were 15-6, 9-12, 15-10, 16-11
For the year, the average score per quarter is 16-13, 18-12, 18-15, 19-18. Last year the averages per quarter were: 15-14, 19-12, 18-17, 21-18. We’ve missed the 15 point mark 45 times in 156 quarters this year, and lost 44.
For fun I’ve decided to add another stat. We picked up the tradition of standing and clapping before SU’s first basket of each half from New Mexico after one of Coach Boeheim’s favorite early victories back in the 70’s. I wondered which player had done the best job of “sitting us down”: who scored the first field goal of each half? I decided to include road games.
James Southerland sat us down in the first half, Brandon Triche in the second half, (at 14:24: we would have been standing for over 5 minutes- I’ve heard the record is 7+). CJ Fair has “sat us down” 20 times, Brandon Triche 15 times, Rakeem Christmas 14 times, Michael Carter-Williams 13 times, DaJuan Coleman 6 times, James Southerland 5 times, Jerami Grant 2 times and Baye Moussa Keita, and Trevor Cooney 1 time each.
Possession:
Syracuse had 11 offensive and 24 defensive rebounds Marquette had 20 offensive and 25 defensive rebounds. That means that when we missed, we got the rebound 31% of the time. When they missed, they got the rebound 44% of the time. For the year we have rebounded 39% of our misses and the opposition have rebounded 34% of theirs. We’ve out-rebounded 23 of 39 opponents by this measure.
Marquette had 14 turnovers, of which 10 were Syracuse steals, (71%). Syracuse had 6 turnovers of which 3 were Marquette steals, (50%). We had 50 “manufactured” possessions, (our rebounds + their turnovers). Marquette alsohad 50. We have won this battle 24 times in 38 games, with 3 games even. This was a classic example of JB’s plan: use the zone to stop them from scoring, expect to lose the rebound battle, (36-44) but make up for it in turnover margin, (6-14). We’ve averaged 7 more MP’s per game, +4 in Big East games. Gaining and retaining possession has not been a big issue, overall.
The Centers
I think our tandem of centers should get a total of at least 20 points + rebounds + blocks per game. They are averaging 26 on the season but only 18 in Big East games. In the Marquette game Rakeem Christmas had 4 points, 4 rebounds and 1 blocks while Baye Moussa Keita had 0 points, 3 rebounds and 2 blocks, DaJuan Coleman had 0 points, 0 rebounds and 0 blocks for a total of 14, We’ve failed to reach 20 14 times, 13 in the 23 conference games. Christmas has contributed the most 21 times, Keita 14 times and Coleman 6 with 2 ties.
“My Man”
Casey Stengel was once asked the secret of his success with the Yankees. He said “I never play a game without my man.” He didn’t explain but the reporter noticed that Yogi Berra was always in the line up somewhere, even when he wasn’t catching. Casey didn’t want to play a game without him. I decided to keep track of which players played the most minutes in each game to see which player, (or players) were Jim Boeheim’s “man”.
CJ Fair played 40 minutes in this game. Michael Carter-Williams has led in minutes played 19 times, CJ Fair 16 times, Brandon Triche 13 times Jerami Grant twice and James Southerland , (this includes ties).