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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 5262750, member: 1969"]
I was sort of surprised to see our NET was 177.     When going down the list and getting to 150, I turned around and went back to find us.   I was expecting something around 130 as a guess, compared to our KP of 100, knowing that KP is a very similar margin based algorithm.   But I also know KP has some early season guardrails that still uses your preseason ranking and discounts some one offs I believe. The NET is purely 2024/2025 margin data so one game anomalies really impact things.
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So I decided to "math" the 177 to see if it makes sense.  I calculated what a #177 team should beat an other team by.   Used KP to help with that part.

Lemoyne # 283 - Expected win by the #177 team at home is 9 points 
Colgate #270 - Expected win is 8 points,
Youngstown #305 - Expected win is 10 points
Texas - Expected loss is 11 points
Texas Tech - Expected loss is 13 points
Cornell - Expected win is 5 points

So based on our schedule the NET #177 team should have won our games this year by a total of 8 points total.     We have won them by 6 points (note Youngstown St only is counted as a 1 point win).   So the ranking unfortunately checks out.
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