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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 5262969, member: 1969"]
A few points for consideration.

#1) You would still be expected to beat up those 150-240 schools under NET by a decent amount, which I have seen nothing to suggest we could.
I have tracked P5 teams margins vs expected quadrants (using KP).   I bolded the bracket that is the closest to your suggestion   Here is the average margin in these games
Q3 (76-160) = 13.4points.
[B]Q4Top (161-260)[/B] = 19.9 points
Q4Bottom (261-364) = 27.6 points

#2)  I think your point is based on us being good enough to win, but not good at the margin game.    Do you think we win all 4 games if we play teams between 150-240 this year? That's a pretty big assumption.   On the bright side, we haven't been good but on the bright side we haven't loss either.

#3) Looking at schedules this year and last year vs the end of the RPI era, it certainly seems power conference schools are targeting the 261-365 group much more than ever.    A higher % of those games are booked now than the RPI Era. (and that is due to the formulaic differences)   I think the general notion is that teams can control the narrative margin wise much easier in a Bottom level Q4 game vs a Q3 game or a better Q4 team.
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