New Assessment - 7 of 13 get in. | Syracusefan.com

New Assessment - 7 of 13 get in.

jncuse

jncuse

I brought the Cocaine to the White House
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Assuming UConn wins tomorrow, I now have it to 7 of 13.

Earlier in the day I had posted a thread saying that it was down to 5 of 7. I added 2 spots to the 5 spots available, as South Carolina and Wichita St are far from full consensus. South Carolina is all the way down to 62% on the Matrix today.

I also added 4 teams that are on the outside that are getting mentions (more than 10%) to be all inclusive 2 loser's today (Temple and San Diego St) who may be behind us on the matrix tomorrow, and Florida and Valpo who are well behind is

So Pick 7 of 13 (as I guess they will be ranked on the matrix tomorrow morning)

Oregon St
Wichita St
St Mary's
St Bonaventure
Michigan
South Carolina
Vanderbilt
Monmouth
Syracuse
Temple
San Diego St
Florida
Valparaiso

To be clear I don't think our odds went down today. I just decided to be a little more inclusive of teams on the bottom that I don't think are quite in our class, but are getting some appreciation.



 
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I imagine the best wins belong to us and Michigan? Granted I haven't looked at any of the schedules really
 
Note there over 120 final brackets each year below on the matrix

In 2015, 2 people predicted all 37 at larges. (Colorado St and Temple were picked by over 85% each, and they did not get in.

In 2014, 1 person predicted all 37 at larges (in part because NC St was a head scratcher predicted by only 3 people)

In 2013, 40 people predicted all 37 at larges (it was an easy bubble to assess, and I am sure many padded their own resume with a fairly empty accomplishment)

In 2016, I predict that there will be less than 3 people (and possibly zero) who predict the 37 at larges correctly. It is very difficult to pick. If Oregon St fails to make it, I am sure it will be zero. I have no clue how they are close to 100%.
 
wichita
oregon state
----
south carolina
syracuse
st bona
michigan
--------
temple/monmouth
 
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Here is my seven who I think will get in (not the same as deserve):

Oregon St
Wichita St
Michigan
South Carolina
Vanderbilt
Monmouth
Syracuse
 
jncuse said:
Note there over 120 final brackets each year below on the matrix

In 2015, 2 people predicted all 37 at larges. (Colorado St and Temple were picked by over 85% each, and they did not get in.

In 2014, 1 person predicted all 37 at larges (in part because NC St was a head scratcher predicted by only 3 people)

In 2013, 40 people predicted all 37 at larges (it was an easy bubble to assess, and I am sure many padded their own resume with a fairly empty accomplishment)

In 2016, I predict that there will be less than 3 people (and possibly zero) who predict the 37 at larges correctly. It is very difficult to pick. If Oregon St fails to make it, I am sure it will be zero. I have no clue how they are close to 100%.
Expand...

That's one thing to remember about Temple. A lot of people felt they got jobbed last year. Dunphy handled it with complete class and didn't b*tch and moan about it. Maybe the Owls get a break this year after what happened in 2015.
 
jncuse said:
Here is my seven who I think will get in (not the same as deserve):

Oregon St
Wichita St
Michigan
South Carolina
Vanderbilt
Monmouth
Syracuse
Expand...
:)
 
And lunardi had dropped is down 1 more spot. At least from when I last saw it this afternoon.
 
pearl31 said:
:)
Expand...

We have chatted together on this topic for so many posts, that it should have been somewhat expected.

I really, really wanted to exclude Oregon St. I thought hard about Temple and St. Bonaventure over Monmouth and South Carolina

I don't have St. Mary's in for the reason that they simply did not try in the OOC. It was unacceptable.
 
pearl31 said:
:)
Expand...

We have chatted together on this topic for so many posts, that it should have been somewhat expected.

I really, really wanted to exclude Oregon St. I thought hard about Temple and St. Bonaventure over Monmouth and South Carolina

I don't have St. Mary's in for the reason that they simply did not try in the OOC. It was unacceptable.
 
Oregon st
Cuse
Temple
Mich
SBU
South Carolina
Vandy

Last 4 out
St Marys
Wichita St
Monmouth
San Diego st
 
jncuse said:
Note there over 120 final brackets each year below on the matrix

In 2015, 2 people predicted all 37 at larges. (Colorado St and Temple were picked by over 85% each, and they did not get in.

In 2014, 1 person predicted all 37 at larges (in part because NC St was a head scratcher predicted by only 3 people)

In 2013, 40 people predicted all 37 at larges (it was an easy bubble to assess, and I am sure many padded their own resume with a fairly empty accomplishment)

In 2016, I predict that there will be less than 3 people (and possibly zero) who predict the 37 at larges correctly. It is very difficult to pick. If Oregon St fails to make it, I am sure it will be zero. I have no clue how they are close to 100%.
Expand...
ok, jn, how about 3-4 teams that could come from out of left field and "shock" people a la nc st a couple years ago...
I'll say: George Washington, Georgia, Creighton, LSU
 
rrlbees said:
And lunardi had dropped is down 1 more spot. At least from when I last saw it this afternoon.
Expand...
He did. We were third out and now we are fourth out.
 
pearl31 said:
ok, jn, how about 3-4 teams that could come from out of left field and "shock" people a la nc st a couple years ago...
I'll say: George Washington, Georgia, Creighton, LSU
Expand...
If LSU got in over us Pearl, I would legit have a breakdown. They didn't even belong on the court with A&M today, it was embarrassing.
 
Was St. Mary's invited to a pre-season tourney? They only played 31 games.
 
I am a little worried since Lunardi is at the same hotel as the committee. Does he have a mole within the committee room? Some of his movements have been so significant (Oregon St from out to clearly safe), that it suggests this might the case.

Several years ago when Bilas was playing the analyst role in the studio on the final weekend, he accused Lunardi of using an insider for his assessments that year, because he all of a sudden made a sudden change to his picks on a Saturday morning.

Certainly he is not getting fed info every year, but his picks seem so strange maybe he is this year.
 
pearl31 said:
ok, jn, how about 3-4 teams that could come from out of left field and "shock" people a la nc st a couple years ago...
I'll say: George Washington, Georgia, Creighton, LSU
Expand...

Not totally out if Left Field -- but I see Florida as potentially being that team everybody is upset with. They played a very tough OOC which the committee seems to sometimes use as a tiebreaker --- of course it would be like a double boost because its the only reason they are in contention in the first place.
 
jncuse said:
I am a little worried since Lunardi is at the same hotel as the committee. Does he have a mole within the committee room? Some of his movements have been so significant (Oregon St from out to clearly safe), that it suggests this might the case.

Several years ago when Bilas was playing the analyst role in the studio on the final weekend, he accused Lunardi of using an insider for his assessments that year, because he all of a sudden made a sudden change to his picks on a Saturday morning.

Certainly he is not getting fed info every year, but his picks seem so strange maybe he is this year.
Expand...
I (mostly facetiously) floated this in another thread... a few of his moves have been awfully strange
 
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