Interesting how college football works these days. The SEC has been a monster forever and factories always have a lot of picks but it feels like the concentration of elite talent is basically between about four or five schools. LSU and Bama combined for 10 picks (in a down year for Bama). Clemson *only* had two but that's because Ross/Etienne/Lawrence have another year in college. Ohio State had three and then Auburn, Georgia, Oklahoma and TCU each had two.
I looked at one mock draft for next year (2021) that had 7 bama players in the first round and Ross/Lawrence in the top 5.
So what's my point? We talk a lot about how we need our classes to be in the 30s instead of the 50s or 60s or whatever but I'm honestly not sure it matters that much. The idea that anyone outside of the main handful of programs (Ohio State/Alabama/Clemson/LSU/Auburn/Georgia) there are only a few select teams where if the stars align maybe -- just maybe -- could compete if everything falls into place in a year. Maybe one of the schools like Oklahoma (usually they get destroyed when they play the big boys, but they are good enough that it's possible), Florida State, Oregon, Michigan?, Notre Dame?, Baylor?, Florida, etc. could sneak in there and compete for a title.
I hope I'm wrong but I just don't know how we compete at a high level in this particular environment. I hope we scratch together some solid teams and pull off some upsets but it almost feels like it's two separate FCS levels -- the championship level which is, if we're generous, maybe 15ish teams -- and the rest of the programs. I just don't know how likely we are to see the success of the late 80s-late 90s again unless things change pretty dramatically in college football
I looked at one mock draft for next year (2021) that had 7 bama players in the first round and Ross/Lawrence in the top 5.
So what's my point? We talk a lot about how we need our classes to be in the 30s instead of the 50s or 60s or whatever but I'm honestly not sure it matters that much. The idea that anyone outside of the main handful of programs (Ohio State/Alabama/Clemson/LSU/Auburn/Georgia) there are only a few select teams where if the stars align maybe -- just maybe -- could compete if everything falls into place in a year. Maybe one of the schools like Oklahoma (usually they get destroyed when they play the big boys, but they are good enough that it's possible), Florida State, Oregon, Michigan?, Notre Dame?, Baylor?, Florida, etc. could sneak in there and compete for a title.
I hope I'm wrong but I just don't know how we compete at a high level in this particular environment. I hope we scratch together some solid teams and pull off some upsets but it almost feels like it's two separate FCS levels -- the championship level which is, if we're generous, maybe 15ish teams -- and the rest of the programs. I just don't know how likely we are to see the success of the late 80s-late 90s again unless things change pretty dramatically in college football