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NFL Thread - 2020
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[QUOTE="Eric15, post: 3714491, member: 676"] [HEADING=2]Methodology[/HEADING] To assess the quality of the starting quarterbacks, we converted Pro Football Reference’s [URL='https://www.pro-football-reference.com/hof/hofm_QB.htm']Hall of Fame Monitor[/URL] — a metric designed to estimate a player’s chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using Doug Drinen’s [URL='https://www.pro-football-reference.com/blog/index37a8.html']approximate value[/URL], Pro Bowls, all-pros, championships and various numerical milestones — to a scale of 0 to 100. The higher the number, the better the starting quarterback. To gauge the performance of those quarterbacks in the season leading up to and including the Super Bowl we turned to Richie Wohlers’s [URL='http://www.footballperspective.com/guest-post-qb-game-scores/']quarterback game score[/URL], another modification to a James formula used for pitchers. Once we had those three numbers for each of the starting Super Bowl quarterbacks, we averaged them together using the harmonic mean rather than a simple average. This method prioritizes Super Bowl matchups of two quality passers over games featuring one dominating quarterback who propped up an inferior foe. This is perhaps best illustrated by our worst-rated matchup: Peyton Manning vs. Rex Grossman in 2007. While Manning had a terrific season and was in the prime of his career, Grossman was the league’s 24th-rated passer that year and didn’t have much individual success before or after his only Super Bowl appearance. 1. Super Bowl XLIV: Drew Brees vs. Peyton Manning (2010) 2. Super Bowl LI: Tom Brady vs. Matt Ryan (2017) 3. Super Bowl LV: Tom Brady vs. Patrick Mahomes (2021) 4. Super Bowl XIX: Dan Marino vs. Joe Montana (1985) 5. Super Bowl XLVI: Tom Brady vs. Eli Manning (2012) 6. Super Bowl XXXII: John Elway vs. Brett Favre (1998) 7. Super Bowl XLIX: Tom Brady vs. Russell Wilson (2015) 8. Super Bowl XXIV: John Elway vs. Joe Montana (1990) 9. Super Bowl XLV: Aaron Rodgers vs. Ben Roethlisberger (2011) 10. Super Bowl XXXVI: Tom Brady vs. Kurt Warner (2002) 11. Super Bowl XLVIII: Peyton Manning vs. Russell Wilson (2014) 12. Super Bowl XLII: Tom Brady vs. Eli Manning (2008) 13. Super Bowl XVI: Ken Anderson vs. Joe Montana (1982) 14. Super Bowl XXXIX: Tom Brady vs. Donovan McNabb (2005) 15. Super Bowl XIII: Terry Bradshaw vs. Roger Staubach (1979) 16. Super Bowl XLIII: Ben Roethlisberger vs. Kurt Warner (2009) 17. Super Bowl XI: Ken Stabler vs. Fran Tarkenton (1976) 18. Super Bowl 50: Peyton Manning vs. Cam Newton (2016) 19. Super Bowl X: Terry Bradshaw vs. Roger Staubach (1976) 20. Super Bowl XXIII: Boomer Esiason vs. Joe Montana (1989) 21. Super Bowl XXXI: Drew Bledsoe vs. Brett Favre (1997) 22. Super Bowl XXI: John Elway vs. Phil Simms (1987) 23. Super Bowl I: Len Dawson vs. Bart Starr (1967) 24. Super Bowl VIII: Bob Griese vs. Fran Tarkenton (1974) 25. Super Bowl IX: Terry Bradshaw vs. Fran Tarkenton (1975) 26. Super Bowl XXXIV: Steve McNair vs. Kurt Warner (2000) 27. Super Bowl VI: Bob Griese vs. Roger Staubach (1972) 28. Super Bowl XXVII: Troy Aikman vs. Jim Kelly (1993) 29. Super Bowl II: Daryle Lamonica vs. Bart Starr (1968) 30. Super Bowl XXVIII: Troy Aikman vs. Jim Kelly (1994) 31. Super Bowl XXXIII: Chris Chandler vs. John Elway (1999) 32. Super Bowl XL: Matt Hasselbeck vs. Ben Roethlisberger (2006) 33. Super Bowl XVIII: Jim Plunkett vs. Joe Theismann (1984) 34. Super Bowl V: Craig Morton vs. Johnny Unitas (1971) 35. Super Bowl III: Earl Morrall vs. Joe Namath (1969) 36. Super Bowl XXXVII: Rich Gannon vs. Brad Johnson (2003) 37. Super Bowl XXII: John Elway vs. Doug Williams (1988) 38. Super Bowl XXXVIII: Tom Brady vs. Jake Delhomme (2004) 39. Super Bowl LIV: Jimmy Garoppolo vs. Patrick Mahomes (2020) 40. Super Bowl XII: Craig Morton vs. Roger Staubach (1978) 41. Super Bowl XV: Ron Jaworski vs. Jim Plunkett (1981) 42. Super Bowl XXVI: Jim Kelly vs. Mark Rypien (1992) 43. Super Bowl LII: Tom Brady vs. Nick Foles (2018) 44. Super Bowl LIII: Tom Brady vs. Jared Goff (2019) 45. Super Bowl VII: Bob Griese vs. Billy Kilmer (1973) 46. Super Bowl XXX: Troy Aikman vs. Neil O’Donnell (1996) 47. Super Bowl XXIX: Stan Humphries vs. Steve Young (1995) 48. Super Bowl XXV: Jeff Hostetler vs. Jim Kelly (1991) 49. Super Bowl XXXV: Kerry Collins vs. Trent Dilfer (2001) 50. Super Bowl XLVII: Joe Flacco vs. Colin Kaepernick (2013) 51. Super Bowl XIV: Terry Bradshaw vs. Vince Ferragamo (1980) 52. Super Bowl XVII: Joe Theismann vs. David Woodley (1983) 53. Super Bowl XX: Tony Eason vs. Jim McMahon (1986) 54. Super Bowl IV: Len Dawson vs. Joe Kapp (1970) 55. Super Bowl XLI: Rex Grossman vs. Peyton Manning (2007) [/QUOTE]
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