NIL/Transfer portal in 5 years-Predictions?

[orangepassion]

My very first Poll-Be part of History

 

[OrangeXtreme]

Salary cap.

 

[cusefan88]

My opinion is less players will transfer because over time it will show a vast majority of players don't have a chair when the music stops.

 

[AngryOtto]

A Netflix documentary series on how so many players gave up free college educations.

 

[djcon57]

Will be same.

Same teams will make the playoffs as they did 10 years ago.
Some teams will have their one great year every 5 years or so.
Some teams will be the bottom feeders.

 

[djcon57]

Salary cap.

If serious...How would that be implemented and by who?

 

[SgtCuse]

You'll be starting to hear stories of some 4 and 5 star guys who never panned out (thus not having agents, accountants, etc) being brought up on tax evasion charges for not claiming their income.

 

[crv1728]

I voted Crazier Than Ever for two reasons:

1) The money to players isn't going away, it will only increase.
2) The NCAA is always slow to react.

 

[BlazeOrange]

By then, you'll see players opting out of the expanded playoff games for the portal.

 

[elimunelson]

I think the NIL will ultimately bring about the divorce of the Big 10/SEC from the rest of rational actors. At some point the BIG/SEC will eat the remaining ACC teams that want to be part of the ultra violence and the remainder of teams will play a watered down/less NIL centric football.

It'll be fascinating what way Syracuse, BC, Duke, WF, Pitt go in this. I could see those types of schools just playing a less intense college football.

 

[Entropic]

5 years from now every team will start with a Madden style fantasy draft. Every player is in the portal. Lol

 

[JustPherU]

By then, you'll see players opting out of the expanded playoff games for the portal.

By then schools will have to pay players to play in playoff games.

 

[Dinkyspond]

I voted Crazier Than Ever for two reasons:

1) The money to players isn't going away, it will only increase.
2) The NCAA is always slow to react.

The NCAA might be non-existent in 5 years.

 

[PhatOrange]

Salary cap.

This is going to happen. When Ohio State gets out bid at 1.8 million by Georgia and complains about it people notice. So as soon as the big boys want an even playing field things will get changed. There will be an NIL cap.

 

[SURules]

This is going to happen. When Ohio State gets out bid at 1.8 million by Georgia and complains about it people notice. So as soon as the big boys want an even playing field things will get changed. There will be an NIL cap.

The NIL just exposed the dark side. Once they go to a Cap, it will go back to the dark side of recruiting and OSU will still be out bid by SEC schools LOL.

 

[PhatOrange]

The NIL just exposed the dark side. Once they go to a Cap, it will go back to the dark side of recruiting and OSU will still be out bid by SEC schools LOL.

I'm fine with the dark side of recruiting but at least there's a line in the sand. If you break the rules you get punished ( ) but right now it's the wild west and a cap is better than what's happening right now. If they want to form unions and have collective bargaining and all that then fine, at least it evens the playing field; somewhat. The pro model seems to be where it's headed.

 

[Admiral Koga]

I think the NIL will ultimately bring about the divorce of the Big 10/SEC from the rest of rational actors. At some point the BIG/SEC will eat the remaining ACC teams that want to be part of the ultra violence and the remainder of teams will play a watered down/less NIL centric football.

It'll be fascinating what way Syracuse, BC, Duke, WF, Pitt go in this. I could see those types of schools just playing a less intense college football.

I used to think that would happen but I'm not sure anymore. TA&M had this great class last year...sucked this year...how many will transfer within the next few years? I bet that most of those schools will wait and see what the expanded playoffs bring. Even in the ACC. With the switch away from divisions it isn't unrealistic that the ACC could get two teams into the expanded playoffs. Would Clemson/FSU want to try and run an SEC gauntlet to get in the playoffs or take their chances in the 'easier' ACC? Essentially trading about 25-40 million dollars for a better chance at getting in? USC/UCLA couldn't do squat in a down PAC12 but they are going to qualify in the Big10 (when half their conference games will be a four hour flight away?)

 

[orangepassion]

To me, the 2 big wildcards can be if they abolish the 85 scholarship limit (Like the SEC wants) and the new president of the ACC who was the Governor of Massachusetts. With the government being the ones who stepped in to change the status quo, I don't think it's a coincidence that the NCAA brought in a politician to try to help regain a little control.

 

[All4SU]

The Portal will simply work to increase the strength of the top teams, and institutionalize the process of “giving players the talk” to open up roster spots. Hence, more players wash out down to FCS, D2, D3, or out of school/football.

 

[HtownOrange]

The "wild west" phase of the NIL period will slow down. People, the real money bags in NIL, will begin realizing paying too much money for flops is bad business. The money bags will be run more in line with general business practices, NIL deals will be annual renewals with annual re-negotiations. It won't be pay for performance per se, but in effect, a player's next NIL deal will be based on his past performance and expected next performance.

Additionally, the money bags will realize that paying one player the big bucks and neglecting other players will be bad business. Player NIL deals will reflect more of the average NFL contracts.

Finally, if the money bags don't receive a return on their investments, they are likely to reduce or quit paying the big sums of money for overrated players.

There will remain an element of egomaniacs who think they can play Steinbrenner in CFB, and they may for a short period, but it isn't sustainable long term. As noted above, the biggest of the big boys won't take it well when they lose key recruits. The ADs a nd HCs will work towards some form of regulation. Quite possibly academics (there goes the SEC!).

 

[All4SU]

The only comment I will make on the post above is: Any time you introduce money into a corrupt system, the money will always increase and always favor those in power.

 

[djcon57]

This is going to happen. When Ohio State gets out bid at 1.8 million by Georgia and complains about it people notice. So as soon as the big boys want an even playing field things will get changed. There will be an NIL cap.

People keep saying this.

Whom will implement and how.

The NCAA? Based on what authority? They will be dragged back to the courts immediately

 

[cliftonparksufan]

The "wild west" phase of the NIL period will slow down. People, the real money bags in NIL, will begin realizing paying too much money for flops is bad business. The money bags will be run more in line with general business practices, NIL deals will be annual renewals with annual re-negotiations. It won't be pay for performance per se, but in effect, a player's next NIL deal will be based on his past performance and expected next performance.

Additionally, the money bags will realize that paying one player the big bucks and neglecting other players will be bad business. Player NIL deals will reflect more of the average NFL contracts.

Finally, if the money bags don't receive a return on their investments, they are likely to reduce or quit paying the big sums of money for overrated players.

There will remain an element of egomaniacs who think they can play Steinbrenner in CFB, and they may for a short period, but it isn't sustainable long term. As noted above, the biggest of the big boys won't take it well when they lose key recruits. The ADs a nd HCs will work towards some form of regulation. Quite possibly academics (there goes the SEC!).

I don't think anyone really knows, but one thing for sure, is that Mr. Money Bags in most instances have huge egos. They love to throw their money around, and if they reduce their payments, there will always be someone else stepping up to replace them. Assuming, the economy is the same, or better, money will be flow freely and part of that will flow to the recruits at State U. Smaller schools might suffer, but the Big Boys will always be the big boys.

Now, if the economy tanks, that's a different story. But I don't see that happening as long as the USA stays in the money printing business.

 

[cliftonparksufan]

People keep saying this.

Whom will implement and how.

The NCAA? Based on what authority? They will be dragged back to the courts immediately

And it will never be able to be enforced or monitored. Bags will be given out regardless.

 

[PhatOrange]

People keep saying this.

Whom will implement and how.

The NCAA? Based on what authority? They will be dragged back to the courts immediately

I'm not designing the system but it would likely have to be agreed upon by the schools and obviously enforced by whatever governing body there is. Nobody wants to drag anybody into court because the fallout from that could be much worse than anyone wants.