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[QUOTE="Knicks411, post: 2457360, member: 767"]
Yeah the last 2 games of the year look to be pushes right now, with us currently on the wrong side.  The Ga Tech game is the other way, KP has us a 1 point fave.  UNC at home right now we'd be about +3, 39% win probability, that's kinda just outside the range I usually look at as a toss-up, but obviously these percentages are just estimates so it's dumb to draw the line at any one specific #, but here we are.

I remember breaking down the acc schedule before the year into should wins, toss-ups, and probably will lose.  I'm bored, so with 12 games left, here's how I see it:

Should wins: BC home, @ Pitt, Wake home, NC State home
probably lose: UVA home, @Lville, @Miami, @Duke
Toss up: @Ga Tech, UNC Home, @BC, Clemson home

Nice that it works out that we have 4 in each category, admitting I fudged it a little to get UNC as a toss up.  So if we win the 4 we should, lose the 4 we should, and split the 4 tossups, we're sitting at 8-10, which is meh.  Gotta do some work in Brooklyn.

tl;dr.  We are probably going to be sitting here in March and really regretting the loss to Notre Dame
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