Czar
All Conference
- Joined
- Aug 27, 2011
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I'm going to try to do this weekly, it's a rundown of where Syracuse stands in terms of Team stats, as well as some projections.
Offense:
Plays Per Game: 92.5, #6 in the country (trailing UL-Monroe, Marshall, LA Tech, Houston, Oregon)
PPG: 35.0, #24
YPG: 525.5, #19
Yards Per Play: 5.7, #45
3D Conv%: 54.05%, #13
RZ Scoring%: 100%, #1
Rush Play %: 38.38%, #105
YPC: 3.6, #76
Rushes/Game: 35.5, #68
Rush Yards/Game: 129.5, #78
Pass Play%: 61.62%, #18
Completion%: 66.67, #32
Yards/Pass: 7.1, #56
Passes/Game: 55.5, #6
Pass Yards/Game: 396.0, #6
Int Thrown%: 2.70%, #78
QB Sacked%: 2.63%, #49
TO Margin/Game: -1.5, #93
TOP%: 51.58%, #46
Defense:
PPG: 42.0, #102
YPG: 391.0, #58
Yards Per Play: 5.5, #68
3D Conv%: 42.31%, #73
4D Conv%: 20.00%, #26
YPC: 5.2, #92
Rush Yards/Game: 191.0, #79
Completion%: 72.58%, #112
Yards/Pass: 6.5, #44
Pass Yards/Game: 200.0, #39
Int Thrown%: 1.61%, #63
Sack %: 10.14%, #14
Some interesting numbers here. First off, on offense. Right now, our passing game is deadly. Just deadly. We're putting up a LOT of numbers, and while yards per pass play aren't very high, with our high volume it's not quite the issue it used to be. Nassib is in the Top Third for completions, which is good because that means the low yards per pass play stat isn't an issue. However, our running game is not efficient at all. While we're low, like bottom 10% low on run balance, due to our plays per game we're middle of the road in terms of our rushes per game. Thing is, our average yards per carry is atrocious. Most of the blame here goes to Jerome Smith, who has the most carries by far and the worst YPC stat (worse than Ashton, better than Nassib but Nassib is a QB so that's not a consolation. Going on, we have a very high number of interceptions per attempt (2.7 per 100 attempts) but our line is decent so far (only 2.63 sacks per 100 drop backs). That means that only 5% of our pass plays have a negative result. So, no surprise we pass so much more than we run.
Now, on defense, things get interesting. We have some awful stats, and some great stats, and stats that make no sense. First off, our PPG and YPG are bad. PPG blame lays at the feet of special teams more than defense, but it still can be better. YPG is right on the cusp of poor, and could be better. Yards per play is in the same area as YPG, and we need to stop more 3rd Down conversions. However, we are EXCELLENT at stopping 4th down conversions. The defense steps up when it has to in that case. We're poor against rushing though, very poor. Too many yards per carry, and too many yards per game. Moving on, is pass defense, which is weird. We're AWFUL at stopping completions. Just awful, we're almost in the bottom 10 in teams for that stat. However, IN SPITE of that, we're good at allowing very few yards per pass completion, and we're very good at now allowing a lot of passing yards per game. So, very weird with the pass defense. We could stand to pick off more throws, we're middle of the road there. And finally, while most people here have been down on the DL a little bit, statistically we're one of the best pass rushing teams in the country, and we get a sack on 10% of passing drop backs.
Now, on to some projections:
Right now, we're projected to go 4.6-7.4. Projections aren't kind to us at the moment (it cares way too much about W-L in projecting the future), though the site I use doesn't have a good projection formula anyways. We have a 33% chance of bowl eligibility, and we're projected to go 3-4 in conference right now. We have a 4.9% chance of winning the conference. Here's a breakdown of our remaining games. See you next week.
Toughest Remaining Games
DateOpponentLoc
Easiest Remaining Games
DateOpponentLoc
Offense:
Plays Per Game: 92.5, #6 in the country (trailing UL-Monroe, Marshall, LA Tech, Houston, Oregon)
PPG: 35.0, #24
YPG: 525.5, #19
Yards Per Play: 5.7, #45
3D Conv%: 54.05%, #13
RZ Scoring%: 100%, #1
Rush Play %: 38.38%, #105
YPC: 3.6, #76
Rushes/Game: 35.5, #68
Rush Yards/Game: 129.5, #78
Pass Play%: 61.62%, #18
Completion%: 66.67, #32
Yards/Pass: 7.1, #56
Passes/Game: 55.5, #6
Pass Yards/Game: 396.0, #6
Int Thrown%: 2.70%, #78
QB Sacked%: 2.63%, #49
TO Margin/Game: -1.5, #93
TOP%: 51.58%, #46
Defense:
PPG: 42.0, #102
YPG: 391.0, #58
Yards Per Play: 5.5, #68
3D Conv%: 42.31%, #73
4D Conv%: 20.00%, #26
YPC: 5.2, #92
Rush Yards/Game: 191.0, #79
Completion%: 72.58%, #112
Yards/Pass: 6.5, #44
Pass Yards/Game: 200.0, #39
Int Thrown%: 1.61%, #63
Sack %: 10.14%, #14
Some interesting numbers here. First off, on offense. Right now, our passing game is deadly. Just deadly. We're putting up a LOT of numbers, and while yards per pass play aren't very high, with our high volume it's not quite the issue it used to be. Nassib is in the Top Third for completions, which is good because that means the low yards per pass play stat isn't an issue. However, our running game is not efficient at all. While we're low, like bottom 10% low on run balance, due to our plays per game we're middle of the road in terms of our rushes per game. Thing is, our average yards per carry is atrocious. Most of the blame here goes to Jerome Smith, who has the most carries by far and the worst YPC stat (worse than Ashton, better than Nassib but Nassib is a QB so that's not a consolation. Going on, we have a very high number of interceptions per attempt (2.7 per 100 attempts) but our line is decent so far (only 2.63 sacks per 100 drop backs). That means that only 5% of our pass plays have a negative result. So, no surprise we pass so much more than we run.
Now, on defense, things get interesting. We have some awful stats, and some great stats, and stats that make no sense. First off, our PPG and YPG are bad. PPG blame lays at the feet of special teams more than defense, but it still can be better. YPG is right on the cusp of poor, and could be better. Yards per play is in the same area as YPG, and we need to stop more 3rd Down conversions. However, we are EXCELLENT at stopping 4th down conversions. The defense steps up when it has to in that case. We're poor against rushing though, very poor. Too many yards per carry, and too many yards per game. Moving on, is pass defense, which is weird. We're AWFUL at stopping completions. Just awful, we're almost in the bottom 10 in teams for that stat. However, IN SPITE of that, we're good at allowing very few yards per pass completion, and we're very good at now allowing a lot of passing yards per game. So, very weird with the pass defense. We could stand to pick off more throws, we're middle of the road there. And finally, while most people here have been down on the DL a little bit, statistically we're one of the best pass rushing teams in the country, and we get a sack on 10% of passing drop backs.
Now, on to some projections:
Right now, we're projected to go 4.6-7.4. Projections aren't kind to us at the moment (it cares way too much about W-L in projecting the future), though the site I use doesn't have a good projection formula anyways. We have a 33% chance of bowl eligibility, and we're projected to go 3-4 in conference right now. We have a 4.9% chance of winning the conference. Here's a breakdown of our remaining games. See you next week.
Toughest Remaining Games
DateOpponentLoc
Win Odds
11/3 Cincinnati Away 16.7%
11/17 Missouri Away 17.1%
10/27 S Florida Away 23.0%
10/13 Rutgers Away 33.1%
11/10 Louisville Home 45.5%
Easiest Remaining Games
DateOpponentLoc
Win Odds
9/15 Stony Brook Home 99.1%
10/5 Pittsburgh Home 77.1%
9/22 Minnesota Away 52.2%
10/19 Connecticut Home 49.3%
11/23 Temple Away 45.9%
