Oakland Thoughts | Syracusefan.com

Oakland Thoughts

General20

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There seemed to be an unusually large number of people on this board pissing their pants about the upcoming Oakland and Toledo games so I took some time to watch them play each other. I almost never watch mid-majors play and I only made it through about five minutes of that game. All I saw was two teams who had no chance at beating SU, so I turned it off.



With Oakland I saw a team that plays tough pressure D, but has no shot blocker to stop you once you beat your man off the dribble. On O, I saw a team that relies on two players shooting 3's for more than 60% of its offense … the kiss of death against Syracuse's zone is relying too much on one player, especially one who shoots a lot of 3s.



With Toledo I saw a team that just doesn't have the horses. They've got some okay basketball players, but they are not athletic enough to hang.



Oakland is missing one of their best players, and has a history of dominating their conference, so I am hopeful that they will pull together a really good season. Toledo not so much. I'd be surprised to see them in the NCAA tournament.



The game against Oakland went pretty much as expected. They played tough pressure D, we beat them off the dribble, we scored around the basket. When they had the ball we were all over the two players who average over 50 points a game combined, and the other three players looked lost against our zone. As a team, their zone offense was far worse than either Iona's (who in my opinion is the best team we've played so far) or Texas Southern's.



The one interesting wrinkle was the speed with which Oakland likes to play. Iona sped the game up against us with great success, and I predicted that SU had learned their lesson. About a minute into this game Oakland beat us down the court in transition for an easy basket causing Boeheim to call a time out. Sure enough that never happened again even though Oakland was looking to push the ball at every opportunity. The transition defense problem seems to be solved in record time.



If you want a take away from this game, I'd say its that most people were way too down on Syracuse going into this game, and its possible that many are too high on Syracuse now. Beating Oakland, even as easily as they did, was not much of an accomplishment.



I didn't get a chance to write anything after the Texas Southern game, but I thought it was a much more interesting and telling game, so I want to bring something up about our offense in that game. Imagine a situation where Syracuse can't get out and run in transition and they have to score in half court sets, against a zone with a 7'2 shot blocker who is the best combination of height, length, and vertical leap we will see all season, and Battle is on the bench with foul trouble. That was pretty much everybody's nightmare situation after the first exhibition game, but when Syracuse faced it against Texas Southern they actually flourished, and started to pull away. I've heard many people say they don't know where the points are going to come from with this year's SU team, and that opinion seems to stem from the first ten minutes of the first exhibition game, where they missed every shot they took (literally). But that clearly wasn't an accurate representation of this team, and I actually think they are pretty good offensively, or will be, once Gino Thorpe gets healthy.



Gino was a big reason SU thrived in the half court without Battle against Texas Southern. I think that when he is healthy we will see a line up of Howard, Thorpe, Battle, Brissett, and a center frequently, and that looks like a very good offensive line up to me. I've always said that college championships are won on the backs of guards who can both hit threes and get to the basket and score. This line up has 3 of them, and a fourth in Brissett who is not a guard but has all the requisite skills. I also like the idea of both Thorpe and Battle being there to take pressure off Howard. This is not a bad defensive line up either, I ultimately think Battle will prove to be a better rebounder than Dolezaj.



The one cause for worry against Oakland was that we went through a stretch early in the second half where we missed a bunch of bunnies around the basket, despite the fact that they didn't have much in the way of rim protectors. If we can find a way to convert around the basket against bigger more athletic teams, then this will be a very successful SU team.



We don't know exactly how good they are going to be, of course, but I think we can safely say they will be good. I know last year's team looked good early and completely folded against stiffer competition, but in Boeheim's 40+ years coaching that never happened in any other season (most every team he's had has been good, and the few bad teams were suppose to be bad from the get go). What we saw last year was a fluke. Chukwu, Roberson, Howard all went through worst-case-scenario seasons and Lydon wasn't far off considering he had first round NBA talent. That wont happen again this year. We've got a young team, so there are likely to be some bumps in the road, but we've got a good team. This isnt fools gold.



Isn't funny how this freshman class was probably the most complained about freshman class of all time (people are still complaining about Green) and it has turned out to be one of the better ones we've had in a while. It reminds me of the Waiters, Melo, Fair, Keita class. I remember watching those guys as freshman and thinking that Boeheim hit a home run with every single one of them. This class will not be as good as that class, but I feel much the same way where I like every player a lot.



Here are some individual player breakdowns:



Howard: On the good side, he is playing phenomenal defense right now. Better than anybody could have hoped for. He's also shooting well, and making a variety of floaters around the basket. He's got a decent amount of assists but he should have way more the way he is passing. He's getting guys great looks around the basket that they are missing too often. On the bad side he has made too many bad turnovers and seems to struggle finishing through contact. Howard is much more good than bad right now, and is a guy you've got to have on the floor, but he is still a mixture of good and bad. Lets hope the good outweighs the bad moving forward.



Battle: I'm a fan so its my right and my pleasure to get a little hyperbolic on occasion, but this guy looks like one of the best players to ever put on a Syracuse uniform. The poor guy guarding him, Nunn, is one of the best defenders Battle will see all season, and a legit P5 player who would be playing for Illinois right now if he didn't get into trouble off the court. Battle put up an easy 25 points against him, and looked like he could have scored 50 had he wanted to. Kansas and Maryland, for example, don't have a defender as good as Nunn to put on Battle. It just doesn't look like anybody is going to be able to stop him all year long. Its going to take several people which will leave others open to flourish.



Brissett: He missed a few free throws early and a few lay ups late, but that should not distract from what was a great performance. Brissett was all over the court playing great D, grabbing tough rebounds, and getting back in transition. He was everything we needed him to be, despite missing some shots. The bad shooting, I believe, is just a phase that will turn around quickly. The good play, D, hustle, and rebounding should be around for the long haul. I was very impressed with him in this game.



Moyer: The question I think everybody is asking without actually articulating it is, is Moyer a real starter who will contribute in a major way all year, or is he a token starter the way Triche, Melo, and Christmas were as freshmen? I don't know the answer, but I recommend reserving judgment until we play Kansas. Moyer is going to be a rebounder for us. That will be his job. We haven't needed a rebounder yet, but Kansas is going to have a really tough time scoring against our D, and if you were going to sculpt a player out of marble who would hurt us by pushing around our undersized bigs, that marble player would come out looking almost exactly like Kansas's center Azubukie. Moyer's ability to bang down low and grab tough rebounds may be the difference between a W and a L against Kansas. If its not, we probably won't see much of him all year. I can certainly picture an SU team where Brissett plays 30-35 minutes a game, Dolezaj plays 20-25 mpg, and Battle plays 20 mpg at forward. That wouldn't leave much room for Moyer.



Chukwu – Oakland was small and Chukwu was able to bully them. If we wanted to feed him the ball more he could have scored 20 or 30 in this game. It seems like it might be an easy thing to do, but its not. Chukwu certainly couldn't do it last year, and Christmas, Melo, Onuaku all tended to struggle against smaller quicker players. Add that to the fact that Chukwu also played very well against Texas Southern's 7'2 athletic P5 transfer big, and we've got the real thing on our hands. Maybe the best part of his performance that nobody is talking about is his stamina. That game was played at a very fast pace and he got very little rest, and he never slowed down or looked winded. Rare for a guy so big.



Thorpe – As soon as he got in the game he stole the ball and took off on a breakaway down the court. An Oakland player tripped and fell in his path causing him to jump earlier than he had intended. He came down funny, and hobbled a bit. He played for another minute or two but then sat for a LONG time, not playing again until garbage time. This guy clearly isn't healthy, and its frustrating because we need him to be the best team we can be. I'm dying to see a healthy Thorpe. Hopefully we won't have to wait long.



Washington – Looked very comfortable in the exhibitions and against Cornell, and has looked out of his depth since. He's not ready, and will not play much this year. He's a long term guy. I expect him to be very good for us his junior and senior seasons.



Dolezaj – He went into the game averaging 8.5 ppg, and got zero this game. He did a lot of little things to help us, of course, but I want to see him be more aggressive on offense and score more. I'll put this performance in the disappointing category, even though we all know he contributed in several ways.



Sidibe – This was the perfect game for him to get hurt because it allowed Chukwu to showcase his talents and build some confidence. It must be said that Sidibe was also playing quite well before the injury. Hopefully its nothing serious. We are going to need him soon.
 
only quibble, General, is that I really think Toledo is better than you're acknowledging - I'll be really surprised if tomorrow's game isn't a tight one
 
Good write up. A couple of thoughts.

I think had we seen more pressure D from them using that small guy then it would’ve been interesting. The times he was on Frank hounding him I felt Frank wasn’t that comfortable. Same at the end of the game when Howard W was in there. He did not look comfortable at ALL dribbling against them. Of course it didn’t matter much since Oakland took their little guy out for much of the main portion of the game since he couldn’t see on offense. But, Frank generally played very well.

I thought Pascal was just OK against the other 7’2” guy from Texas Southern. That guy definitely scored on Paschal a few times with ease. He’s been a bright spot for sure though.

I think we will struggle when opposing teams will key in on Tyus to deny him the ball AND if they have a player who can hound Frank or Geno at the same time. That will be something to watch. I think Kansas and Maryland will try that.
 
only quibble, General, is that I really think Toledo is better than you're acknowledging - I'll be really surprised if tomorrow's game isn't a tight one
I have heard from a former college d-1 coach that Toledo is a real threat.
 
I have heard from a former college d-1 coach that Toledo is a real threat.
yeah I came away pretty impressed w them after watching their vs Oakland game - they got a transfer from Colorado, forget his name, but he's a sort of do-it-all 6'7 kid who could really give our guys fits - plus some real size they have inside
 
At this point, we might stop wondering about the good/bad mixture with Howard, and appreciate that he has improved and JB seems to trust him. Good on defense, good as a #2 scorer.

I am skeptical about how much we see a 3 guard line-up. Likely we will need Moyer's rebounding against some teams, and in other situations Dolezaj is the better wing defender than Battle and better at snagging offensive rebounds. Also helps to keep Battle up top on the zone so he can use his ability in the open court if we get a run-out. Dolezaj won't be a consistent scorer, but against a zone he will be the best we have at the high post, using his ability to make a good, quick pass.
 
Brissett: He missed a few free throws early and a few lay ups late, but that should not distract from what was a great performance. Brissett was all over the court playing great D, grabbing tough rebounds, and getting back in transition. He was everything we needed him to be, despite missing some shots. The bad shooting, I believe, is just a phase that will turn around quickly. The good play, D, hustle, and rebounding should be around for the long haul. I was very impressed with him in this game.

I had a similar impression of Brissett's game against Oakland. He had some ferocious rebounds and drives to the hoop that really stood out. If he can get some of these bunnies and jump shots to start falling he could end up having some big games offensively.

I really think he is our x-factor regarding the extent of our success this season. IMO, at season's end, everything else will be roughly equal to how it stands currently, if he can keep growing and become consistent rather than flash sporadically we could be REALLY good.
 
I really enjoy watching this team continue to grow and improve. That said, I think there is a ceiling with what this team is capable of. I am still worried about the offensive out-put once we hit the upper echelon out-of-conference games (Maryland, Kansas, G-town, UConn) as well as during the ACC schedule. Defensively I could see some issues materializing on Chukwu getting out on the high post shooter as well as the baseline corner. He has improved some there but we need him to effective against teams with peer level talent. I also am worried a bit about rebounding against those teams, which is probably stating the obvious. That said, I have been surprised so far, more so with the continued development one game after the next (which is very enjoyable to watch IMO). I think Jimmy looks reinvigorated and it is showing on the court and through his players, he seems to really enjoy coaching this team which is awsome
 
I had a similar impression of Brissett's game against Oakland. He had some ferocious rebounds and drives to the hoop that really stood out. If he can get some of these bunnies and jump shots to start falling he could end up having some big games offensively.

I really think he is our x-factor regarding the extent of our success this season. IMO, at season's end, everything else will be roughly equal to how it stands currently, if he can keep growing and become consistent rather than flash sporadically we could be REALLY good.
If teams want to take away Battle and hound Howard, that leaves Brissett with one on ones all game. IF he can get his jumper to fall (big if, but his shot looks good), I don't see anyone who can play up on him and not get taken to the hoop by OB.
 
If teams want to take away Battle and hound Howard, that leaves Brissett with one on ones all game. IF he can get his jumper to fall (big if, but his shot looks good), I don't see anyone who can play up on him and not get taken to the hoop by OB.

True but if the hounding gets to Frank and we start initiating offense so far from the basket late in the shot clock/picking up dribbles, then Brissett is sort of a non-factor in this scenario. We’ll see moving forward. We shouldn’t be having so many shot clock violations or close to them thus far against this schedule, IMO.

But, the team is ahead of schedule I think generally from where most of us thought they would be. The defense looks really good and they seem to enjoy it and play hard at that end.
 
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If you want a take away from this game, I'd say its that most people were way too down on Syracuse going into this game, and its possible that many are too high on Syracuse now. Beating Oakland, even as easily as they did, was not much of an accomplishment.

I didn't get a chance to write anything after the Texas Southern game, but I thought it was a much more interesting and telling game, so I want to bring something up about our offense in that game. Imagine a situation where Syracuse can't get out and run in transition and they have to score in half court sets, against a zone with a 7'2 shot blocker who is the best combination of height, length, and vertical leap we will see all season, and Battle is on the bench with foul trouble. That was pretty much everybody's nightmare situation after the first exhibition game, but when Syracuse faced it against Texas Southern they actually flourished, and started to pull away. I've heard many people say they don't know where the points are going to come from with this year's SU team, and that opinion seems to stem from the first ten minutes of the first exhibition game, where they missed every shot they took (literally). But that clearly wasn't an accurate representation of this team, and I actually think they are pretty good offensively, or will be, once Gino Thorpe gets healthy.

Gino was a big reason SU thrived in the half court without Battle against Texas Southern. I think that when he is healthy we will see a line up of Howard, Thorpe, Battle, Brissett, and a center frequently, and that looks like a very good offensive line up to me. I've always said that college championships are won on the backs of guards who can both hit threes and get to the basket and score. This line up has 3 of them, and a fourth in Brissett who is not a guard but has all the requisite skills. I also like the idea of both Thorpe and Battle being there to take pressure off Howard. This is not a bad defensive line up either, I ultimately think Battle will prove to be a better rebounder than Dolezaj.

We don't know exactly how good they are going to be, of course, but I think we can safely say they will be good. I know last year's team looked good early and completely folded against stiffer competition, but in Boeheim's 40+ years coaching that never happened in any other season (most every team he's had has been good, and the few bad teams were suppose to be bad from the get go). What we saw last year was a fluke. Chukwu, Roberson, Howard all went through worst-case-scenario seasons and Lydon wasn't far off considering he had first round NBA talent. That wont happen again this year. We've got a young team, so there are likely to be some bumps in the road, but we've got a good team. This isnt fools gold.
Interesting post and always enjoy the perspective and I agree with your assessment on most of the players, though I'd suggest that Dolezaj having a significant impact despite shooting just once and tallying zero points, is pretty impressive. Also agree on your thoughts about the freshman class as well as the theory that last year's team was a bit of an anomaly.

Having said that, I disagree a bit on what we should have expected from this team as well as a bit on what we currently really know about them. For one thing, it's been quite a while since since SU has put together a really solid OOC performance. We all know about last year, the previous year we had the disturbing loss against an absolutely terrible SJU team and a bad loss to G'town. In '14-'15, the losses were against OK teams but we had four of them. So you're really going back to the ridiculous run that the Ennis team went on to start the '13-'14 season for the last time we had a really solid OOC performance (not that we should be undefeated each year or that we haven't had some good OOC wins in that time).

And, I would suggest, a big part of the struggles early has been the difficulty of having a lot of unproven pieces trying to figure our roles. Obviously, we are in that spot again this year.

Also, as far as offense goes, I still don't know that I know exactly where our offense comes from outside of Battle. Having him on the bench for that run vs. Tex. Southern and seeing Geno go for 13 was really, really encouraging. But I'd say right now Geno is still very much figuring things out, or getting healthy ... or more likely a little bit of both. Outside of that spurt, he's 7 for 22 for 18 total points in three games, and the numbers look even worse if you add in the second half of the Tex. Southern game.

So I too hope Geno gets healthy and we get another solid scoring option from him, but I'm not entirely sold that's exactly what we have.

Frank is interesting too. Career high last night and the passing seems to have returned as well with 14 assists in his last two games. But he's also a guy who reached double-figures in five of our first 11 games last year and had 9+ assists in five of those games as well. So I feel like it's ok to stay in wait-and-see mode a little bit with him at least until we get toward the conference slate.

So I really still our offense against good competition as Battle (complete stud), Brissett (been really impressed with the energy and aggressiveness even if the results haven't been entirely pretty), and then a few possibilities (Geno and Frank most notably, but maybe some contributions from Sidibe and Marek). That still feels shaky to me.

Overall, I've been impressed with this team's athleticism, effort and hustle. That translates to really solid defense and the rebounding has been great. But I just feel like each solid performance is huge for this team. I'm not taking anything for granted: Toledo, UB, St. Bonaventure ... just feel like they all are tough contests. G'town and UConn will be tests as well and UMD and KU feel like tall tasks.

But with every good performance, the confidence should grow, Geno should get healthier and more comfortable and guys like Moyer and Dolezaj should grow into their roles. The potential for a very, very interesting team is there, but I guess I'm more in cautiously optimistic mode vs. being sold just yet.
 
...

And, I would suggest, a big part of the struggles early has been the difficulty of having a lot of unproven pieces trying to figure our roles. Obviously, we are in that spot again this year.

Also, as far as offense goes, I still don't know that I know exactly where our offense comes from outside of Battle. ...

So I too hope Geno gets healthy and we get another solid scoring option from him ...

Frank is interesting too. Career high last night and the passing seems to have returned as well with 14 assists in his last two games. But he's also a guy who reached double-figures in five of our first 11 games last year and had 9+ assists in five of those games as well. So I feel like it's ok to stay in wait-and-see mode ...

Agree with a lot of your post -- we are all in wait and see mode until this team plays good teams. And that is not far away.

A good share of the offense has come and will come from Frank Howard. Forget last season and watch what he is doing on defense and how he is scoring. He and Battle are forcing turnovers, preventing easy penetration, using their size to bother shooters. On offense, he is shooting much better and getting into the lane and scoring. Right there is our #2 scorer.

Chukwu -- so how good can he be? Opposing teams can't ignore him at the offensive end.

Does this team have issues about figuring out roles? I don't see that. Seems entirely different from last season where we had a PG controversy, swinging White between 2G and SF, Lydon attempting to play SF.
 
If teams want to take away Battle and hound Howard, that leaves Brissett with one on ones all game. IF he can get his jumper to fall (big if, but his shot looks good), I don't see anyone who can play up on him and not get taken to the hoop by OB.
I think teams in the ACC are going to make Frank make plays rather than OB.
 
Agree with a lot of your post -- we are all in wait and see mode until this team plays good teams. And that is not far away.

A good share of the offense has come and will come from Frank Howard. Forget last season and watch what he is doing on defense and how he is scoring. He and Battle are forcing turnovers, preventing easy penetration, using their size to bother shooters. On offense, he is shooting much better and getting into the lane and scoring. Right there is our #2 scorer.

Chukwu -- so how good can he be? Opposing teams can't ignore him at the offensive end.

Does this team have issues about figuring out roles? I don't see that. Seems entirely different from last season where we had a PG controversy, swinging White between 2G and SF, Lydon attempting to play SF.

Frank’s defense on Monday was phenomenal. That shouldn’t be a fluke. I too think he’s much improved. Just want to see him sustain it a bit more over the next few games before Im entirely comfortable saying he’s a legit no. 2.

And I’m with you on roles — this team fits together much better. I just meant you’ve still got a bunch of new faces and adjustments to the game at this level. You’ve also got guys like frank going from a benches backup guard to the no. 2 scoring option. Still takes a bit of time, imo
 

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