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Message: [QUOTE="cliftonparksufan, post: 186428, member: 9"] I really should wait until Sunday to post this, but except for Kentucky's game vs Vandy, all of this week's games involving the top teams are in the book. Looking at this, assuming none of the top teams fall off the face of the earth, I believe that Cuse and Kentucky are almost guaranteed a number one seed. In fact, you could almost use a sharpie to pencil them in. Here are their records, their AP ranking and where they ranked in the RPI as of this morning. Also, each team has five or six regular season games left, so I am listing their toughest games (vs ranked opponents) For this exercise, I believe that there are only seven teams with a chance at a one seed right now, although depending how things fall, there is a very, very small chance that one of these three teams could sneak in if they went undefeated going forward (Duke-with four losses, Mich State-with five losses and Georgetown with five losses). The seven teams I looked at, in order of the their AP rankings were Kentucky, Cuse, OSU, Missouri, UNC, Baylor and Kansas. I did not and will not look at Murray State because even if they hadn't lost, they could be 50-0 and still not get a one seed. Here are their records thru today (not counting the Kentucky game) and their RPI ranking Kentucky 24-1, RPI #2, ranked games @ Miss State (20) and @ Florida (8). Write them down with a sharpie now. Cuse 25-1, RPI # 1, ranked games @ Louisville (24) home vs Louisville (24). See you in Pittsburgh OSU 21-4, RPI # 3, ranked games, @ Mich (22), Home Wisky (21) @ MSU (11). Loss to MSU might not kill them and their other three losses were all on the road to Kansas, Indiana and Illinois. Nothing to exclude them yet, but still need to win a few game, Have the most games vs ranked opponents, so they pretty much control their own destiny. Over 50% lock but still has lots of work to do. Missouri 23-2, RPI #4, ranked games @ Kansas (7). Has already beaten Baylor twice and Kansas once so they are in the drivers seat. Would have to decapitate themselves not to get a one seed. Almost a 50% chance. UNC 21-4, RPI #7, ranked games @ Virginia (19), @ Duke (10). Losing to Duke will hurt them when the committee compares resumes. Also losing to UNLV and FSU won't really help them either. Baylor 21-4 RPI #6, no more ranked games left. However they have lost twice to Kansas and Missouri. You could almost rule them out, but depending on what OSU and UNC do, if Baylor wins the Big 12, they could possibly sneak in there as a second Big 12 team. Kansas 20-5, RPI #8, only ranked game home vs Missouri (4). Have lost to Kentucky, Duke, Missouri, Davidson, Iowa State. Very, very slim. [/QUOTE]

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