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[QUOTE="TinyManInside, post: 2111280, member: 1251"]
The problem is that the 10 seed to FF was a complete and total anomaly. It is unrealistic to use that as an expectation because in the 31 years of 64 teams in the tourney, only ONE out of 124 10 seeds have made it (us, last year). Let's say you make the tourney as a 10 seed for a decade straight, you're much more likely  to end up posting something like a 4-10 record than making a final four run.

Seeding matters.

58% of all FF teams since the expansion to a 64 team tournament have come from 1 and 2 seeds. You're 74% more likely to make the Final Four as a 1 seed than you are as a 2 seed. 83% of FF teams since 1985 have come from the 1-4 slots. So if you're not one of the 16 best teams in the country, then realistically your chances take a nosedive.

NCAAT is a battle of attrition. There are no guarantees. Your best bet to making a FF run is to have an extraordinary regular season.

I feel like way too many people are trivializing what we did last year as a 10 seed, like it's a completely reasonable and viable path to making a final four. It's not.

I'm not taking anything away from last year's team, they earned it 100%. I went to the UNC/SU FF game and cherished the fact that we made it that far, and enjoyed the fanfare and overall experience because the team really came together to make it that far. But that doesn't change that it was the exception rather than the rule.

Mason
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