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Overtime

SWC75

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A few weeks back I watched West Genessee lose to Maine-Endwell in a high school playoff game when Maine-Endwell decieded to go for two when they scored in the final seconds and made it to win 36-35. The next day, TCU did the same vs. Boise State to win by the same score. Michigan State just scored in with about 20 seocnds left vs. Georgia and kicked to tie it. They are in overtime and the Spartans just threw an interception and the Bulldogs can win it with a field goal.

Isn't it better to go for it at the end of regualtion and give the other team no chance, (except for maybe a squibbed kick-off), to win than to go to overtime where each team will get their shot?
 
Then the Georgia coach plays for a field goal in the first down series, setting up a 42 yard field goal for a guy who's missed a dozen times this year- and he does it again.

Coaches :bat:
 
How'd that work for the Texans yesterday?
What's tragic is that the Texans made the right move. Again, you play to win, and if you have the chance to win you should take it. I'm baffled that so few coaches think in these terms. Even Kubiak, the guy that made the call yesterday, thinks it's a bad call. Idiot.

"You would never go for 2 there in any other situation," Kubiak said. http://scores.espn.go.com/nfl/recap?gameId=320101034

:OttoinGrotto's head explodes:
 
What's tragic is that the Texans made the right move. Again, you play to win, and if you have the chance to win you should take it. I'm baffled that so few coaches think in these terms. Even Kubiak, the guy that made the call yesterday, thinks it's a bad call. Idiot.

"You would never go for 2 there in any other situation," Kubiak said. http://scores.espn.go.com/nfl/recap?gameId=320101034

:OttoinGrotto's head explodes:

You can win or lose either way. What makes going for two thew right option is that if you make it, the other team has no, (or a very limited) chance to respond. In OT, the chances are even.
 
What makes going for two thew right option is that if you make it, the other team has no, (or a very limited) chance to respond. In OT, the chances are even.
Exactly. Which is why I can't believe Kubiak said that.
 
What are the chances of completing a successful 2 point conversion?

50%? 40%? Even worse? (I'm sure Milly or someone else can dig up the stats without too much trouble).

Seems like awfully long odds to risk everything on 1 play.

You're almost better off flipping a coin. Heads you win, tails you lose.

On the other hand, there's a 99% chance that you will make the XP and NOT LOSE in regulation.
 
Seems like awfully long odds to risk everything on 1 play.
The odds are long if you consider all 2 point conversion attempts ever at your level of play.

But you really don't need to consider that.
 
What are the chances of completing a successful 2 point conversion?

50%? 40%? Even worse? (I'm sure Milly or someone else can dig up the stats without too much trouble).

Seems like awfully long odds to risk everything on 1 play.

You're almost better off flipping a coin. Heads you win, tails you lose.

On the other hand, there's a 99% chance that you will make the XP and NOT LOSE in regulation.

But you also have to consider the odds of the other team scoring in whatever seconds are left if you do make it.
 
How'd that work for the Texans yesterday?

From the linked ESPN article: With their position secured and nothing to lose but more players to injury, coach Gary Kubiak called for a 2-point conversion to avoid overtime and win the game in regulation.

No-brainer for them to want to end the game ASAP. Other situations could lead coaches to the same or opposite conclusion, like which team has momentum at the end, any injuries (mild or severe) during the game, matchup problems that one team could exploit, etc.
 

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