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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 897116, member: 1969"]
No way they are getting 3 or 4.    Its a 5 or 6 bid conference.

1)   The bubble is weak as usual in the 68 team format,
a) There appears to be a lack of any potential bubble busters this year. 
b)  The "strongest" conference, the Big Ten is top heavy and will likely only get 6.
c)    The old ACC is only good for 4 seeds.
d) The teams in the old Big East would not get more than 7 seeds.
e) The MWC which has been a 4 team conference out west for a few years, is now looking at 2 (3 if lucky).   Its down to the benefit of the Pac-12

Everything is helping a conference like the PAC-12 who has good conference RPI heading into January.

2) [B]The biggest determinant of the # of seeds a conference gets is not what happens during the conference, but what happens before the conference. [/B]  Your pre-conference RPI helps out everybody, and essentially generates a pool of top 50 wins.

The Pac-12 may be losing pod level teams, but those teams by losing are giving top 50 wins to somebody else.

Right now off the rpiforecast resume projectionsI actually have 7 in, but I expect it to settle at 6 or 5 if bottom 4 of conference play havoc.

3) I agree zonal has had things open up for them.    Sort of like us in Acc this year.

But that doesn't mean it's a 3 or 4 bid league.
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