I can only speak for myself -- I like a lot of what GMac and the staff have done, bringing in players. I think guys like Tobiason, Wilson, Doty [and maybe Dual] are going to surprise.
BUT I think there are still some question marks. Namely, outside shooting and point guard.
I understand where Mike is coming from above -- when I squint, I can see this being a solid team. But you can't disregard that we've added a bunch of lower conference guys, and we're expecting them to excel in the ACC.
The might be able to. Or maybe some of their production might not translate. And we're rolling the dice at PG with Dual / Moesch, no matter how people want to spin it. Maybe they'll surprise, or maybe they'll struggle.
Maybe GMac will be able to "coach" this group up, or maybe the lack of outside shooting will sink us even if the team plays hard and can defend.
Lots of question marks. Pointing that out doesn't seem like pessimism to me.
And for the record, I've waxed ecstacic about Tobiason and Wilson. I've repeatedly stated that I believe that Goodrick might surprise, and prove to be a starting caliber player for us down the road. I like Dual's potential, surrounded by other versatile wings. I think that Siby might prove to be an immediate contributor.
But none of that is guaranteed to actualize.
Yeah, this is probably better than I've said it.
I love the staff GMac put together. Truly.
I love Tobiason and Wilson. I love he got Sadiq to come back. And, to an extent, even tho it was probably going to happen, keeping Kiyan for what he could be is important with the obvious ties to Melo as well. That is a great start.
I think Doty can be in our rotation. I'm wary of him being a starter, especially with the questions on shooting.
If Dual was coming off the bench for change of pace, unleash a defensive wrinkle, etc... I would love him. I just do not see it with him as our starting lead guard with the way basketball is played nowadays in terms of doing it for a lot of minutes game in and game out.
Here is where I will say in terms of potential if I'm having a good faith argument:
1) The guys GMac got and how GMac plays and what he has said publicly point to a guy that knows that if you aren't going to have an outstanding level of offensive fire power, have an efficient system with guys that have enough awareness to know what a good shot is and how to get it. That absolutely matters. And I've been harping on this for years.
2) There are combinations of our roster that should be above average on defense and I would assume give GMac flexibility in what defense he wants to run (not man vs zone, but more what types of man he wants, when he presses, etc).
3) GMac should be able to depend on Sadiq and Kiyan making sophomore jumps. If they put in the work, there should be a next level attained by each of them. Frosh to Soph is the biggest jump and they should know what is needed now at this point. If they put in the work, they should both be good.
4) Realistically we need 8.5 guys that can play. Sadiq and Tobiason should be locks. Wilson should be lock-adjacent. That is 3. One of MMM and Kiyan have to be a threat on the offensive end and try on D. One of those two is 4. If it's both, it's 5. Let's give Dual the benefit of the doubt and say I'm wrong about him. That's 6. Doty, I think can be rotation, that is 7. One of the other bigs has to functionally give us 8-10 mins a game without being a spaz. Let's pray Goodrick or Siby can do that. That is .5 (even though I don't have faith in either). That leaves one more spot we need to be able to fill.
One note, if Kiyan and MMM are both offensive weapons, than I think Dual's role because MUCH more acceptable as a starter.