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Message: [QUOTE="kcsu, post: 1901343, member: 528"] I dont bet much on sports but when i look at a game i compare opposing players by position and provide a point to each team based on who i feel the better player is. I do the same with the HC OC and DC. QB are worth 3 pts. HC 3 OC 2 DC 2 and any "difference" Maker 2 or 3 depending on my personal opinion. As example Freeney would always get 2 points but 3 if we played a pass first team. Home teams always got an extra 2 points. The bottom line is that this almost always can predict the winning team. Not the spread but the winner. When you look at Louisville SF and ND the point spreads by position are overwhelming. Our best and most dominant player is Dungey and i only had him better by position against Colgate and UCONN. I had him as a tie with SF. I think that in the LV game i didn't have one SU player on D rated better than a tie. Actually i had Slayton and i think franklin as ties. Every other position went to Louisville. Against the big three this year in total both sides of the ball we have had only 3 total players picked as winners. Cole Murphy in all three contest which was a bad call last week. Ata in the SF and ND game and Slayton vs SF and ND. Dungey tied against SF lost against LV and ND. Other than Slayton and Franklin we have not even had another tie against LV SF or ND. The O side we had a tie or two up front but other than Dungey and Ata no other ties and no other wins. I had LV as a staff over our staff in each coaching position. I had us tied with SF at HC tied at OC lost DC. I had us Tied at ND at HC lost at OC and Tied at DC even though they had made a change. The bottom line is that the talent gap between SU and the elite teams we play this year is enormous. It isnt even close. With the possible exception of Ata and Slayton i dont believe that any of our starters would replace a single LV SF or ND starter. If you go to the 2 deep it is worse. The good news is that our scheme will and has made a huge difference. It helps close the talent gap. Still we have a long ways to go talent wise before we can consistently hang with the elite teams on our schedule. [/QUOTE]

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