SWC75
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FCS SEMI-FINALS
#1 New Hampshire seemed on their way to the finals much of the evening as they went into the final quarter leading #7 ILLINOIS STATE 18-6. The game looked a lot like the Division II final with not a lot happening but most of what did favoring New Hampshire, including recovering a fumble on their 4 yard line and driving 96 yards for a touchdown. Then it all fell apart in the final quarter. The Red Birds, who won last week at Eastern Washington, 3,000 miles away, drove 84 yards in 10 plays to score on Marshaun Coprich’s 2-yard run. On their next possession tre Robertson raced 47 yards for the go-ahead score. A two point conversion made it 21-18. And that was it. Robertson passed for 278 yards and ran for 95 more. The Red Birds outgained the Wildcats 457-355, the difference being that foruth quarter.
#3 NORTH DAKOTA STATE, after looking vulnerable last week against Coastal Carolina, made short work of Sam Houston State, easily downing the Bearkats, 35-3. They may, indeed be poised to win a fourth straight national championship, something that’s been done only once: by Augustana of Illinois in Division III from 1983-86. The Bison seniors could actually have careers where they won the national championship each year. The Bearcats have certainly gotten the message: they lost in the finals in both 2011 and 2012 to the Bison. This one was only 7-3 at halftime but a 28-0 second half ended any drama. The yardage difference was only 398-336. Turnovers were only 1-0 and return yards were only 71-36 so this game demonstrated that it doesn’t just matter what you do but when you do it. The Bison “bunched their hits”, driving 90 yards in four plays to score on a 33 yard run by King Frazier, 55 yards in one play, a run by John Crocket, (who led everyone with 166 yards rushing and 3 touchdowns), 80 on 15 plays, ending in a 10 yard run by Crocket and 47 yards in 6 plays after a 35 yard interception return.
Illinois State is in the same conference with North Dakota State. But the Missouri Valley is a 10 team conference. They have no title game and teams don’t play every team in the conference. They have to skip one of them for an 8 game schedule. Guess who Illinois State and North Dakota State skipped this year? Now they’ll meet in the title game. Obviously, they have plenty of common opponents:
Western Illinois: The Bison beat them 17-10, the Red Birds 37-34 Advantage Bison +4
Southern Illinois: The Bison beat them 38-10, the Red Birds 44-29 Advantage Bison +13
Indiana State: The Bison beat them 34-17, the Red Birds 20-18 Advantage Bison +15
South Dakota: The Bison beat them 47-7, the Red Birds 46-26 Advantage Bison +20
South Dakota State: The Bison beat them 37-17 and 27-24 in the playoffs, the Red Birds 45-10 Advantage Red Birds +12
Northern Iowa beat the Bison 3-23 and the red Birds 28-42 but then lost to the Red Birds in the playoffs, 41-21 Advantage Red Birds +14
Missouri State: The Bison beat them 45-10, the Red Birds 21-7 Advantage Bison +31
Youngstown State: The Bison beat them 38-14, the Red Birds 35-21 Advantage Bison + 10
Net Advantage to the Bison +67 vs. 8 opponents so I’ll favor the Bison by 8.
Let’s see if that means anything. The match-up:
ILLINOIS STATE 13-1 (547-293), Northern Iowa 28-42, ranked #7, post season record: 7-5 (0 titles)
Vs.
NORTH DAKOTA STATE 13-1 (498-198), lost to Northern Iowa 3-23 ranked #3, post season record: 48-13 (11 titles)
The game will be played Saturday January 10 at 1PM on ESPN, (two days before the FBS championship game.)
#1 New Hampshire seemed on their way to the finals much of the evening as they went into the final quarter leading #7 ILLINOIS STATE 18-6. The game looked a lot like the Division II final with not a lot happening but most of what did favoring New Hampshire, including recovering a fumble on their 4 yard line and driving 96 yards for a touchdown. Then it all fell apart in the final quarter. The Red Birds, who won last week at Eastern Washington, 3,000 miles away, drove 84 yards in 10 plays to score on Marshaun Coprich’s 2-yard run. On their next possession tre Robertson raced 47 yards for the go-ahead score. A two point conversion made it 21-18. And that was it. Robertson passed for 278 yards and ran for 95 more. The Red Birds outgained the Wildcats 457-355, the difference being that foruth quarter.
#3 NORTH DAKOTA STATE, after looking vulnerable last week against Coastal Carolina, made short work of Sam Houston State, easily downing the Bearkats, 35-3. They may, indeed be poised to win a fourth straight national championship, something that’s been done only once: by Augustana of Illinois in Division III from 1983-86. The Bison seniors could actually have careers where they won the national championship each year. The Bearcats have certainly gotten the message: they lost in the finals in both 2011 and 2012 to the Bison. This one was only 7-3 at halftime but a 28-0 second half ended any drama. The yardage difference was only 398-336. Turnovers were only 1-0 and return yards were only 71-36 so this game demonstrated that it doesn’t just matter what you do but when you do it. The Bison “bunched their hits”, driving 90 yards in four plays to score on a 33 yard run by King Frazier, 55 yards in one play, a run by John Crocket, (who led everyone with 166 yards rushing and 3 touchdowns), 80 on 15 plays, ending in a 10 yard run by Crocket and 47 yards in 6 plays after a 35 yard interception return.
Illinois State is in the same conference with North Dakota State. But the Missouri Valley is a 10 team conference. They have no title game and teams don’t play every team in the conference. They have to skip one of them for an 8 game schedule. Guess who Illinois State and North Dakota State skipped this year? Now they’ll meet in the title game. Obviously, they have plenty of common opponents:
Western Illinois: The Bison beat them 17-10, the Red Birds 37-34 Advantage Bison +4
Southern Illinois: The Bison beat them 38-10, the Red Birds 44-29 Advantage Bison +13
Indiana State: The Bison beat them 34-17, the Red Birds 20-18 Advantage Bison +15
South Dakota: The Bison beat them 47-7, the Red Birds 46-26 Advantage Bison +20
South Dakota State: The Bison beat them 37-17 and 27-24 in the playoffs, the Red Birds 45-10 Advantage Red Birds +12
Northern Iowa beat the Bison 3-23 and the red Birds 28-42 but then lost to the Red Birds in the playoffs, 41-21 Advantage Red Birds +14
Missouri State: The Bison beat them 45-10, the Red Birds 21-7 Advantage Bison +31
Youngstown State: The Bison beat them 38-14, the Red Birds 35-21 Advantage Bison + 10
Net Advantage to the Bison +67 vs. 8 opponents so I’ll favor the Bison by 8.
Let’s see if that means anything. The match-up:
ILLINOIS STATE 13-1 (547-293), Northern Iowa 28-42, ranked #7, post season record: 7-5 (0 titles)
Vs.
NORTH DAKOTA STATE 13-1 (498-198), lost to Northern Iowa 3-23 ranked #3, post season record: 48-13 (11 titles)
The game will be played Saturday January 10 at 1PM on ESPN, (two days before the FBS championship game.)