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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2117714, member: 1969"]
They are not anomalies at all.   Remember when we discussed how there was a correlation between KP and opening spreads.   I told you Wichita St would have some lines that would surprise you.

[B]Based on KP[/B]

Minnesota - Margin 16.59/100
Middle Tennessee St - Margin 14.65/100
Difference = 1.94 * 66.6 / 100   (teams average 66.6 possessions)
Line = Minnesota (-1.28)

Wichita St - Margin 26.41 / 100
Dayton - Margin 15.67 / 100
Difference = 11.74 * 68.4/100
Line = Wichita (-8.03)

Creighton 19.59 vs Rhode Island 15.62
Line = Creighton (+2.7)

It seems like they discounted Wichita St which makes sense - number seems a little high, but they still gave them tonnes of credit based on the metrics.   With Rhode Island they are back to being fully healthy so I am not surprised to see they discounted the metric about a point in their favour.

They will move the lines as action comes in, but whatever system Vegas uses they are fairly committed to it.
[/QUOTE]

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