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[QUOTE="bevosu, post: 2960433, member: 46"]
2019 NCAA tournament: The most likely upsets for the first round

[URL]https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2019/03/17/ncaa-tournament-most-likely-upsets-first-round/?utm_term=.bb8825d3012c&wpisrc=nl_most&wpmm=1[/URL]

Upsets-Cincinnati

No. 7 Cincinnati vs. No. 10 Iowa

Chance at upset: 52 percent, DAViD score: 128

[I]The Hawkeyes enter the tournament with the 15th best adjusted offensive efficiency in the country (117.2 points per 100 possessions) per Pomeroy’s rankings and are adept at getting themselves to the free throw line — free[/I] [I]throw attempts accounted for 42 percent of all Iowa’s field goals, the 14th highest share in the nation. Cincinnati’s defense, by comparison, ranks 114th (31 percent) for putting opponents on the free throw line.

The Bearcats also struggle to slow down spot-up shooters, a strength of Iowa’s. This season, Iowa scored 1.1 points per possession on spot-up attempts, placing them in the 95th percentile on these plays. Cincinnati’s defense against these plays put them in the 78th percentile.

Apparently using his approach he was 1 for 4 last year.[/I]
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