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Message: [QUOTE="Brooky03, post: 2180295"] 'guaranteed' was probably too strong of a word. The team had 9 nonconference wins this past season in what was probably the worst nonconference performance by any Syracuse team ever. So 9 is probably the 'guaranteed' floor, imo. That would mean the team beats the 6 or 7 god awful teams they'll face, win a few against just bad teams, and lose to the rest. So the team just needs to scrap for like 7 or 8 conference wins. The conference does not look stacked for the upcoming season, so that's doable. I'd put the floor for conference wins at 6. With 15 wins being the absolute worst case, apocalypse, abandon the program, scenario - and only needing 17 (I think) wins to get to .500 - I'd put the chances of finishing below .500 around the same odds as the chances of going to the Final Four. Neither is likely. [/QUOTE]