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[QUOTE="FloridaCuse, post: 5430595, member: 8912"] From Today's [B]Lacrosse Reference[/B]'s Expected Goals Newsletter: [TABLE] [TR] [TD][TABLE] [TR] [TD][HEADING=2]Game Preview: Syracuse vs Princeton[/HEADING][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE] [TR] [TD]As we look ahead to the NCAA quarterfinal matchup between [URL='https://na01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fb7m80g8p.r.us-east-1.awstrack.me%2FL0%2Fhttps%3A%252F%252Fpro.lacrossereference.com%252Fsyracusem-4813%253Ft%3Degq05dlepswmcis%2F1%2F01000196d9446abe-f6e364b0-d8f9-4fe4-b28a-50936fbefc61-000000%2FKKMSAr5ujjQ4ExJcOMPreajfkD8%3D426&data=05%7C02%7C%7Cad186089296e4b74d14408dd947cf888%7C84df9e7fe9f640afb435aaaaaaaaaaaa%7C1%7C0%7C638829986655876931%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=XHMKhkkCyYgR4MnFq8b9j93KO2Bkfq4wimw6Ze7wgmg%3D&reserved=0']Syracuse[/URL] and [URL='https://na01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fb7m80g8p.r.us-east-1.awstrack.me%2FL0%2Fhttps%3A%252F%252Fpro.lacrossereference.com%252Fprincetonm-4577%253Ft%3Degq05dlepswmcis%2F1%2F01000196d9446abe-f6e364b0-d8f9-4fe4-b28a-50936fbefc61-000000%2FNkOz2Hdfn7oqBIjZ9_D_NP3WE9k%3D426&data=05%7C02%7C%7Cad186089296e4b74d14408dd947cf888%7C84df9e7fe9f640afb435aaaaaaaaaaaa%7C1%7C0%7C638829986655893848%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=wEDVFs5LDSnsiR0Ht5kh74uzd2HyuUvq%2BEe9n5lu3As%3D&reserved=0']Princeton[/URL] on May 17th, the stage is set for an intriguing battle with a trip to Championship Weekend on the line. According to the LaxElo model, this game should tilt slightly in favor of Syracuse, but Princeton certainly has the capability to secure a win. If these two teams faced off 100 times, we'd expect Syracuse to come out on top in 57 of those contests, indicating a competitive clash. Syracuse has a bit of an advantage on offense when facing Princeton's defense. With their offensive efficiency ranked 5th in the nation, Syracuse knows how to score against tough teams. On the other hand, Princeton's defense is strong too, sitting at 10th place, but this means Syracuse might still manage to break through. On the flip side, Princeton's offense also presents a challenge for the Syracuse defense. Princeton is 3rd in opponent-adjusted offensive efficiency, indicating a robust attacking unit. In contrast, Syracuse's defense ranks 9th, which means Princeton might exploit certain opportunities to score. The possession game could be a decisive factor, with Syracuse having a significant advantage. Syracuse is currently averaging +8.2 more offensive possessions than their opponents after adjusting for their schedule, placing them 3rd nationally. Conversely, Princeton struggles in this area, with a -2.1 possession margin, ranking 54th. This disparity suggests Syracuse could control the tempo and create more scoring chances. Faceoffs play a crucial role in determining possession margins, and Syracuse holds the advantage here. With John Mullen ranked 6th in the Faceoff Elo rankings, Syracuse is likely to gain more possessions from the faceoff X compared to Princeton, whose specialist Andrew McMeekin is ranked 34th. To sum it up, Syracuse has a bit of an advantage, especially in possession and faceoffs. But with Princeton's strong offense and solid defense, this game could really go either way. Both teams are ready to play to their strengths, making this quarterfinal a thrilling and tight battle to watch.[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [/QUOTE]
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