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Message: [QUOTE="K Otto XLIV, post: 1464449"] Vegas does set the line to predict the outcome but to predict how people will bet. Where do you think more bets are being placed right now the over or under? It is their job to take public betting perception into account. That public perception is that SU stinks. That line tells me that Vegas thinks SU is a 5 to 6 win team this year. 4-8 would be underachieving and 7-5 overachieving. They aren't going to set the line at 5.5 even if they think that is a fair prediction. By doing so they would end up with a ton of people taking the over and they would be exposed. They aren't predicting wins and losses but trying to make people pause on taking one side of the bet. [/QUOTE]