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Syracuse Athletics
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Psychology of blowing leads in College and NBA basketball
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[QUOTE="STEVEHOLT, post: 2907974, member: 522"] This should seriously be a study by some medical institution. It amazes me how this works. As a gambling man, LIVE BETTING nearly universally favors the team who is behind...and it is right to do so. How is it that an early to mid 20 point lead in the NBA almost always gets reduced significantly during at least one run throughout the remainder of the game? Why don't teams with 20 point leads extend them to 30 points as often as the 20 point lead is cut to 10 points or less? I mean, it's not like the teams switch uniforms or players. The obvious culprit is intensity. Hard for the team up big to maintain the intensity to keep or extend the lead. But most teams and most games? But why is the team down 20 NOT equally susceptible to the threat of a let down...as they feel they may just not have it that night. May sound nerdy but i find it fascinating that it's as predictable as it is. Just this Saturday we were watching the Rocket's and Thunder. When Houston got up 26 points, I turned to my wife and said, "you can bet the house that at some point in this game, the Rocket's are fighting to maintain that lead." And of course, i was right, in fact they lost... Then tonight we have the Duke / Louisville game. and every single night more often than not. its just so weird. [/QUOTE]
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Psychology of blowing leads in College and NBA basketball
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