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[QUOTE="ImperialOrange, post: 5648101, member: 362"]
Perhaps roulette wasn't the best because of to green spaces but if black/red only it means exactly that.

In a coin flip scenario you have a 50:50 probability each coin clip. You're base probability is the same each flip so you COULD get each wrong or right. Having more 105 flips absolutely gives you a greater chance of having more correct guesses than only having 65 flips. 50% on the former nets 52.5 correct, 50% on the latter nets you 32.5.

It's an over simplification but there's no logic to dictate that we'd hit a higher total number of 50:50 flips given less chances. You would have to hit on 80% of your 65 players to net the same total as hitting 50% on 105.

The fallacy of the 65 vs 105 argument is to assume our coaches would be exponentially less successful recruiting/retaining more players vs less. I'm not sure that logic exists to make said argument solely based on numbers vs "gut feeling".

Emotional responses ie "gut feeling" could argue the opposite actually given unplanned but known potential outcomes. Poaching, injuries, grades, players quitting, etc. etc. added vs simply player good vs player bad 50:50 scenario. Spending more per player doesn't mitigate those instances but does lower the chances of having a suitable contingency plan in place as with our QB, DT and Safety play last year.
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