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Syracuse Athletics
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Rak's pro chances?
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[QUOTE="moqui, post: 1257760, member: 214"] I don't think you really understand how the draft works. there are two key facts at work here; [LIST=1] [*]the vast majority of players in the draft are going to wash out quickly. there are only a handful of sure things in any given draft - at most; sometimes only one or two [*]you have to pick somebody, you cannot pass. sure you can trade your pick but there are still 30 picks in every draft and every one of them has to be used and every one of them has a guaranteed salary attached to it. [/LIST] NBA GMs have no choice in the matter; they have to dole out those millions and most of them will be like throwing dollars into a bonfire. now, since there are few sure things (indeed, the surest thing is that you are going to draft a bust far more often than a hit), and since the odds are that your money is going to be wasted anyway, it's a reasonable approach to put your bet on something with a high payoff at the other end if it does happen to hit. Why draft a senior who has already demonstrated that his top end is a replacement level journeyman when you can take a freshman who has the potential to blossom into so much more? [/QUOTE]
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