Ranking the SU recruiting classes | Syracusefan.com

Ranking the SU recruiting classes

SWC75

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(This is one of four projects I've bene working on primarily using the information on the wonderful Orangehoops website. I'll post one a day to give each one maximum attention.)

This is an update, (in both directions), and a simplification of a post I did a dozen years ago using my “Net Points” system to rank SU’s recruiting classes. At that time I only had information from 1986-87 through 2008-09. Now, Thanks to “Orangehoops”: Syracuse Orange Basketball Season Records I can cover the entire Boeheim Era, although information prior to 1980-81 is incomplete. The first time I did this I used several different stats for my analysis. This time I’m just going to add up the total net points for all the players in a recruiting class in their career here. The reader can figure in other considerations, (such as Carmelo Anthony won a national championship: what if he’d stayed for four years?), any way they please. For the 1976-80 period, I’ll simply use the available numbers. I don’t have minutes, steals, blocks or turnovers in that period, (although, oddly, they have them in a few cases for some players for individual years). I’m using gross numbers so the minutes don’t matter and steals, blocks and turnovers are small-ticket items that tend to approximately cancel each other out so that the total NP for a player’s career will still be relevant if not fully accurate. I’m placing players with the class of the year in which they first played for SU. If they red-shirted or, in Billy Edelin’s case, were suspended for their first year, they become part of the next year’s class: they are among the ‘new guys’ for that year. Similarly, transfers are part of the class for the first year in which they played.

The “Net Points” formula: Points + Rebounds +Assists + Steals + Blocks – Missed field goals – Missed free throws – turnovers – fouls = “Net Points” For years where we don’t have every stat or there are still active players who could add to the total, I’ll put an ‘*’ next to the number. The 2021-22 season will be added when it is over.

The Ranking:
1986-87 5,177NP
2007-08 4,961NP
1976-77 4,449NP*
2001-02 3,950NP
1988-89 3,538NP
1977-78 3,253NP*
1997-98 3,413NP
2005-06 3,326NP
2003-04 3,246NP
1991-92 3,066NP
2010-11 3,060NP
1996-97 3,012NP
2002-03 3,011NP
1982-83 2,991NP
1983-84 2,882NP
2016-17 2,777NP
1992-93 2,766NP
2009-10 2,717NP
2017-18 2,659NP*
2013-14 2,554NP
1980-81 2,529NP
1979-80 2,501NP*
1984-85 2,481NP
1989-90 2,478NP
1994-95 2,336NP
1985-86 2,198NP
1999-00 2,109NP
1998-99 2,064NP
2015-16 2,024NP
2012-13 1,906NP
2011-12 1,890NP
2018-19 1,759NP*
1990-91 1,554NP
2008-09 1,514NP
2006-07 1,437NP
1993-94 1,232NP
2019-20 1,171NP*
1981-82 948NP
1995-96 918NP
1978-79 641NP*
2020-21 631NP*
2004-05 384NP
2000-01 353NP
2014-15 347NP
1987-88 None

The breakdown:
1976-77 Roosevelt Bouie 1,978 + Louis Orr 1,764 + Hal Cohen 515 + Bill Drew 158 + Cliff Warwell 34 = 4,449NP*
1977-78 Danny Schayes 1,093 + Eddie Moss 1,020 + Marty Headd 825 + Chris Jerebko 235 + Mark Cubit 80 = 3,253NP*
1978-79 Ron Payton 489 + Rick Harmon 144 + Ed Gooding 8 = 641NP*
1979-80 Eric Santifer 1,587 + Tony Bruin 877 + Mike Sheehey 37 = 2,501NP*
1980-81 Leo Rautins 1,102 + Sean Kerins 711 + Gene Waldron 664 + Larry O’Neill 52 = 2,529NP
1981-82 Andre Hawkins 728 + Sonny Spera 121 + Chris Lewis 102 + Peter Wynne -3 = 948NP
1982-83 Rafael Addison 1,706 + Wendell Alexis 1,263 + John Karpis 22 = 2,991NP
1983-84 Pearl Washington 1,339 + Greg Monroe 881 + Howie Triche 610 + George Papadakos 52 = 2,882NP
1984-85 Rony Seikaly 1,764 + Derek Brower 249 + Michael Brown 242 + Herman Harried 226 = 2,481NP
1985-86 Sherman Douglas 2,077 + Rodney Walker 121 = 2,198NP
1986-87 Derrick Coleman 2,903 + Stevie Thompson 1,608 + Matt Roe 548 + Keith Hughes 64 + Erik Rogers 54 = 5,177NP
1987-88 Earl Duncan 191NP (JB actually recruited no one this year: Duncan was part of the 1986-87 class but couldn’t play as a freshman due to Prop 48. You add his total to 86-87 and get 5,368.)
1988-89 Billy Owens 2,012 + Dave Johnson 1,118 + Dave Siock 177 + Richard Manning 123 + Tony Scott 108 = 3,538NP
1989-90 Conrad McRae 892 + LeRon Ellis 612 + Michael Edwards 495 + Mike Hopkins 479 = 2,478NP
1990-91 Adrian Autry 1,214 + Scott McCorkle 340 = 1,554NP
1991-92 Lawrence Moten 1,858 + Luke Jackson 623 + JB Reafsnyder 426 + Glenn Sekunda 139 + Anthony Harris 20 = 3,066NP
1992-93 John Wallace 2,188 + Lazarus Sims 578 = 2,766NP (Otis Hill redshirted this year thus effectively joined the next year’s class. Jim Hayes came as a walk -on and got a scholarship as a sophomore: I’m counting him as a walk-on because he wasn’t recruited to come here. He had 31NP, which would have made it 4,001 if you add them in.)
1993-94 Otis Hill 1,204 + Chuckie Gelatt 28 = 1,232NP
1994-95 Todd Burgan 1,321 + Marius Janulis 617 + Michael Lloyd 318 + Bobby Lazor 80 = 2,336NP
1995-96 Jason Cipolla 500 + Elvir Ovcina 407 + David Patrick 11 = 918NP
1996-97 Etan Thomas 1,636 + Jason Hart 1,249 + LeSean Howard 75 + Ramel Lloyd 52 + Winfred Walton 0 = 3,012NP
1997-98 Ryan Blackwell 1,283 + Damone Brown 1,239 + Alan Griffin 700 + Eric Williams 145 + Malik Campbell 49 + Sam Spann -3 = 3,413NP (I had through that Malik Campbell was recruited for football and walked on in basketball but per Orangehoops, it’s the other way around.)
1998-99 Preston Shumpert 1,592 + Tony Bland 274 + Billy Celuck 198 = 2,064NP
1999-2000 Kueth Duany 852 + DeShaun Williams 704 + Jeremy McNeil 553 = 2,109NP
2000-01 James Thues 342 + Ethan Cole 14 + Greg Davis -3 = 353NP
2001-02 Hakim Warrick 1,982 + Josh Pace 1,126 + Craig Forth 844 + Mark Konecny -2 = 3,950NP
(Billy Edelin was originally part of this class. If you add him in its 4,462NP)
2002-03 Gerry McNamara 1,616 + Carmelo Anthony 730 + Billy Edelin 512 + Matt Gorman 153 = 3,011NP
2003-04 Demetris Nichols 1,064 + Terrence Roberts 974 + Darryl Watkins 898 + Louie McCroskey 310 = 3,246NP
2004-05 Josh Wright 368 + Dayshawn Weight 16 = 384NP
2005-06 Arinze Onuaku 1,332 + Eric Devendorf 1,043 + Andy Rautins 951 = 3,326NP
2006-07 Paul Harris 1,428 + Mike Jones 8 + Devin Brennan-McBride 1 = 1,437NP
2007-08 Rick Jackson 1,738 + Scoop Jardine 1,273 + Jonny Flynn 1,073 + Donte Greene 510 + Kristof Ongenaet 364 + Sean Williams 3 = 4,961NP
2008-09 Kris Joseph 1,350 + Mookie Jones 164 = 1,514NP
2009-10 Brandon Triche 1,181 + James Southerland 825 + Wes Johnson 685 + DaShonte Riley 26 = 2,717NP
2010-11 CJ Fair 1,639 + Dion Waiters 558 + Baye Moussa Keita 552 + Fab Melo 311 = 3,060NP
2011-12 Rakeem Christmas 1,218 + Michael Carter-Williams 672 = 1,890NP
2012-13 Trevor Cooney 969 + Jerami Grant 556 + DaJuan Coleman 381 = 1,906NP
2013-14 Tyler Roberson 981 + Michael Gbinije 976 + Tyler Ennis 445 + BJ Johnson 86 + Ron Patterson 66 = 2,554NP
2014-15 Chris McCullough 171 + Kaleb Joseph 152 + Chinoso Obokoh 24 = 347NP
2015-16 Tyler Lydon 1,017 + Franklin Howard 697 + Malachi Richardson 310 = 2,024NP
2016-17 Tyus Battle 1,056 + Paschal Chukwu 616 + Andrew White 488 + John Gillon 364 + Taurean Thompson 253 = 2,777NP
2017-18 Marek Dolezaj 1,169 + Oshae Brissett 871 + Bourama Sidibe 412 + Matthew Moyer 137 + Howard Washington 67 + Geno Thorpe 3 = 2,659NP (so far)
2018-19 Elijah Hughes 869 + Buddy Boeheim 732 + Robert Braswell 103 + Jalen Carey 55 = 1,759NP (so far)
2019-20 Joe Girard 535 + Quincy Guerrier 510 + Jesse Edwards 101 + Brycen Goodine 25 = 1,171NP (so far)
2020-21 Alan Griffin 372 + Kadary Richmond 222 + Woody Newton 34 + Frank Anselem 5 + Chazz Owens 0 +John Bol Ajak -2 = 631NP (so far)
 
SWC, I am a stats and avid basketball recruiting addict but you have proceed to exceed any expectations on my part with this information. Thank you.

I still need to assess all this data..


tl/dr - we used to get more better players, who stayed in college longer.

Now we don’t.

/fin.
 
(This is one of four projects I've bene working on primarily using the information on the wonderful Orangehoops website. I'll post one a day to give each one maximum attention.)

This is an update, (in both directions), and a simplification of a post I did a dozen years ago using my “Net Points” system to rank SU’s recruiting classes. At that time I only had information from 1986-87 through 2008-09. Now, Thanks to “Orangehoops”: Syracuse Orange Basketball Season Records I can cover the entire Boeheim Era, although information prior to 1980-81 is incomplete. The first time I did this I used several different stats for my analysis. This time I’m just going to add up the total net points for all the players in a recruiting class in their career here. The reader can figure in other considerations, (such as Carmelo Anthony won a national championship: what if he’d stayed for four years?), any way they please. For the 1976-80 period, I’ll simply use the available numbers. I don’t have minutes, steals, blocks or turnovers in that period, (although, oddly, they have them in a few cases for some players for individual years). I’m using gross numbers so the minutes don’t matter and steals, blocks and turnovers are small-ticket items that tend to approximately cancel each other out so that the total NP for a player’s career will still be relevant if not fully accurate. I’m placing players with the class of the year in which they first played for SU. If they red-shirted or, in Billy Edelin’s case, were suspended for their first year, they become part of the next year’s class: they are among the ‘new guys’ for that year. Similarly, transfers are part of the class for the first year in which they played.

The “Net Points” formula: Points + Rebounds +Assists + Steals + Blocks – Missed field goals – Missed free throws – turnovers – fouls = “Net Points” For years where we don’t have every stat or there are still active players who could add to the total, I’ll put an ‘*’ next to the number. The 2021-22 season will be added when it is over.

The Ranking:
1986-87 5,177NP
2007-08 4,961NP
1976-77 4,449NP*
2001-02 3,950NP
1988-89 3,538NP
1977-78 3,253NP*
1997-98 3,413NP
2005-06 3,326NP
2003-04 3,246NP
1991-92 3,066NP
2010-11 3,060NP
1996-97 3,012NP
2002-03 3,011NP
1982-83 2,991NP
1983-84 2,882NP
2016-17 2,777NP
1992-93 2,766NP
2009-10 2,717NP
2017-18 2,659NP*
2013-14 2,554NP
1980-81 2,529NP
1979-80 2,501NP*
1984-85 2,481NP
1989-90 2,478NP
1994-95 2,336NP
1985-86 2,198NP
1999-00 2,109NP
1998-99 2,064NP
2015-16 2,024NP
2012-13 1,906NP
2011-12 1,890NP
2018-19 1,759NP*
1990-91 1,554NP
2008-09 1,514NP
2006-07 1,437NP
1993-94 1,232NP
2019-20 1,171NP*
1981-82 948NP
1995-96 918NP
1978-79 641NP*
2020-21 631NP*
2004-05 384NP
2000-01 353NP
2014-15 347NP
1987-88 None

The breakdown:
1976-77 Roosevelt Bouie 1,978 + Louis Orr 1,764 + Hal Cohen 515 + Bill Drew 158 + Cliff Warwell 34 = 4,449NP*
1977-78 Danny Schayes 1,093 + Eddie Moss 1,020 + Marty Headd 825 + Chris Jerebko 235 + Mark Cubit 80 = 3,253NP*
1978-79 Ron Payton 489 + Rick Harmon 144 + Ed Gooding 8 = 641NP*
1979-80 Eric Santifer 1,587 + Tony Bruin 877 + Mike Sheehey 37 = 2,501NP*
1980-81 Leo Rautins 1,102 + Sean Kerins 711 + Gene Waldron 664 + Larry O’Neill 52 = 2,529NP
1981-82 Andre Hawkins 728 + Sonny Spera 121 + Chris Lewis 102 + Peter Wynne -3 = 948NP
1982-83 Rafael Addison 1,706 + Wendell Alexis 1,263 + John Karpis 22 = 2,991NP
1983-84 Pearl Washington 1,339 + Greg Monroe 881 + Howie Triche 610 + George Papadakos 52 = 2,882NP
1984-85 Rony Seikaly 1,764 + Derek Brower 249 + Michael Brown 242 + Herman Harried 226 = 2,481NP
1985-86 Sherman Douglas 2,077 + Rodney Walker 121 = 2,198NP
1986-87 Derrick Coleman 2,903 + Stevie Thompson 1,608 + Matt Roe 548 + Keith Hughes 64 + Erik Rogers 54 = 5,177NP
1987-88 Earl Duncan 191NP (JB actually recruited no one this year: Duncan was part of the 1986-87 class but couldn’t play as a freshman due to Prop 48. You add his total to 86-87 and get 5,368.)
1988-89 Billy Owens 2,012 + Dave Johnson 1,118 + Dave Siock 177 + Richard Manning 123 + Tony Scott 108 = 3,538NP
1989-90 Conrad McRae 892 + LeRon Ellis 612 + Michael Edwards 495 + Mike Hopkins 479 = 2,478NP
1990-91 Adrian Autry 1,214 + Scott McCorkle 340 = 1,554NP
1991-92 Lawrence Moten 1,858 + Luke Jackson 623 + JB Reafsnyder 426 + Glenn Sekunda 139 + Anthony Harris 20 = 3,066NP
1992-93 John Wallace 2,188 + Lazarus Sims 578 = 2,766NP (Otis Hill redshirted this year thus effectively joined the next year’s class. Jim Hayes came as a walk -on and got a scholarship as a sophomore: I’m counting him as a walk-on because he wasn’t recruited to come here. He had 31NP, which would have made it 4,001 if you add them in.)
1993-94 Otis Hill 1,204 + Chuckie Gelatt 28 = 1,232NP
1994-95 Todd Burgan 1,321 + Marius Janulis 617 + Michael Lloyd 318 + Bobby Lazor 80 = 2,336NP
1995-96 Jason Cipolla 500 + Elvir Ovcina 407 + David Patrick 11 = 918NP
1996-97 Etan Thomas 1,636 + Jason Hart 1,249 + LeSean Howard 75 + Ramel Lloyd 52 + Winfred Walton 0 = 3,012NP
1997-98 Ryan Blackwell 1,283 + Damone Brown 1,239 + Alan Griffin 700 + Eric Williams 145 + Malik Campbell 49 + Sam Spann -3 = 3,413NP (I had through that Malik Campbell was recruited for football and walked on in basketball but per Orangehoops, it’s the other way around.)
1998-99 Preston Shumpert 1,592 + Tony Bland 274 + Billy Celuck 198 = 2,064NP
1999-2000 Kueth Duany 852 + DeShaun Williams 704 + Jeremy McNeil 553 = 2,109NP
2000-01 James Thues 342 + Ethan Cole 14 + Greg Davis -3 = 353NP
2001-02 Hakim Warrick 1,982 + Josh Pace 1,126 + Craig Forth 844 + Mark Konecny -2 = 3,950NP
(Billy Edelin was originally part of this class. If you add him in its 4,462NP)
2002-03 Gerry McNamara 1,616 + Carmelo Anthony 730 + Billy Edelin 512 + Matt Gorman 153 = 3,011NP
2003-04 Demetris Nichols 1,064 + Terrence Roberts 974 + Darryl Watkins 898 + Louie McCroskey 310 = 3,246NP
2004-05 Josh Wright 368 + Dayshawn Weight 16 = 384NP
2005-06 Arinze Onuaku 1,332 + Eric Devendorf 1,043 + Andy Rautins 951 = 3,326NP
2006-07 Paul Harris 1,428 + Mike Jones 8 + Devin Brennan-McBride 1 = 1,437NP
2007-08 Rick Jackson 1,738 + Scoop Jardine 1,273 + Jonny Flynn 1,073 + Donte Greene 510 + Kristof Ongenaet 364 + Sean Williams 3 = 4,961NP
2008-09 Kris Joseph 1,350 + Mookie Jones 164 = 1,514NP
2009-10 Brandon Triche 1,181 + James Southerland 825 + Wes Johnson 685 + DaShonte Riley 26 = 2,717NP
2010-11 CJ Fair 1,639 + Dion Waiters 558 + Baye Moussa Keita 552 + Fab Melo 311 = 3,060NP
2011-12 Rakeem Christmas 1,218 + Michael Carter-Williams 672 = 1,890NP
2012-13 Trevor Cooney 969 + Jerami Grant 556 + DaJuan Coleman 381 = 1,906NP
2013-14 Tyler Roberson 981 + Michael Gbinije 976 + Tyler Ennis 445 + BJ Johnson 86 + Ron Patterson 66 = 2,554NP
2014-15 Chris McCullough 171 + Kaleb Joseph 152 + Chinoso Obokoh 24 = 347NP
2015-16 Tyler Lydon 1,017 + Franklin Howard 697 + Malachi Richardson 310 = 2,024NP
2016-17 Tyus Battle 1,056 + Paschal Chukwu 616 + Andrew White 488 + John Gillon 364 + Taurean Thompson 253 = 2,777NP
2017-18 Marek Dolezaj 1,169 + Oshae Brissett 871 + Bourama Sidibe 412 + Matthew Moyer 137 + Howard Washington 67 + Geno Thorpe 3 = 2,659NP (so far)
2018-19 Elijah Hughes 869 + Buddy Boeheim 732 + Robert Braswell 103 + Jalen Carey 55 = 1,759NP (so far)
2019-20 Joe Girard 535 + Quincy Guerrier 510 + Jesse Edwards 101 + Brycen Goodine 25 = 1,171NP (so far)
2020-21 Alan Griffin 372 + Kadary Richmond 222 + Woody Newton 34 + Frank Anselem 5 + Chazz Owens 0 +John Bol Ajak -2 = 631NP (so far)

Are you sure about your Wes Johnson score for 2010? It seems awfully low to me.
 
Are you sure about your Wes Johnson score for 2010? It seems awfully low to me.

"This time I’m just going to add up the total net points for all the players in a recruiting class in their career here."

Wes was here for one year.
 
"This time I’m just going to add up the total net points for all the players in a recruiting class in their career here."

Wes was here for one year.

Yeah, but he only had 600 net points when other guys are getting 1500-2000 NP? Are you sure you didn't leave off a "1" at the beginning of that rating?
 
Yeah, but he only had 600 net points when other guys are getting 1500-2000 NP? Are you sure you didn't leave off a "1" at the beginning of that rating?

Triche's total is for his four years here. So is Southerland's. Riley was here a couple of years. Johnson's total is for the only year he was here.
 
Triche's total is for his four years here. So is Southerland's. Riley was here a couple of years. Johnson's total is for the only year he was here.

Gotcha. I misunderstood. I thought those were their one season impacts.
 

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