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Realignment: Would You Be Happy With This?
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[QUOTE="sutomcat, post: 5098531, member: 27"] Let's see what happens with the lawsuits the ACC has with FSU and Clemson. I think the ACC wins both. Maybe those schools get the GOR buyout value reduced from $580 to $300 million. Then add on the exit fee of $150 million (or whatever it is when they exit). That seems best case for those schools. Don't see them able to raise that kind of money. The buyout gets smaller over time and maybe around 2030 it becomes feasible for them. I wonder how well the public is going to take to all this roster turnover, massive upheaval, NIL, insta-transfers, etc. My guess is that a significant percentage of fans will or already have become disillusioned by many of the changes. As the focus for college football focuses primarily on the SEC and B1G, and conferences like the B12 and ACC become increasingly irrelevant, is it going to affect nationwide interest in football? My guess is that it will. Fans of the SEC and B1G will still watch and some fans of all the other schools might switch to following SEC and B1G games. But I think a significant number will still follow their schools or just stop following college sports period. Cord cutting will continue and cable companies will continue to offer more options that allow customers to have cable and not pay for sports channels they do not want. The number of people who buy cable companies for ESPN and Fox sports channels and SECN, B1GN (and ACCN) will continue to decrease. So I think it is inevitable that the money the SEC and B1G get from TV will decrease. I think the musical chairs will stop right around the same time FSU and Clemson can finally get out of the ACC GOR. Maybe they finally get to another conference. Maybe not. Really don't care. Also think it is inevitable that the conferences end the madness with geography we see today for all sports except football. Clearly a significant amount of the revenue schools are getting is going to go to the athletes starting really soon. Schools are going to make significantly less money than they thought. And then there is the big bill to pay the athletes who never got paid (but apparently should have)/ The most obvious way to keep profits as high as possible is to continue to ignore geography for football only and realign all the other sports back to pretty much the way they used to be, before the chase for TV money screwed everything up. So the original ACC schools will end up back in a conference that looks very much like the original ACC. I think Syracuse, Pitt and BC will probably end up back in the Big East for everything except football. The Pac12 will be reformed (except for football and except for the members now in the B1G). Some things probably will change. Miami will probably stay in the ACC for ASEF (all sports except football). Maybe VT. I would expect that the football schools that do not make the cut with the SEC and B1G are going to play football in a different configuration that they do today as well, one that makes more sense geographically. So Stanford and Cal return to a new west coast conference for football only, with Washington St, Oregon St, Utah, Colorado, Arizona, Arizona State, filled out with the best programs from other conferences out West (schools like San Diego State, Fresno State, maybe Boise State, Colorado State and Utah State). All this would dramatically reduce travel costs and make it a lot easier on the student athletes, who suddenly have much more power (they will surely be unionized shortly) and presumably would be very much on board with a dramatic reduction in travel. And all of this would be much easier on fans, at least the ones that like to travel to away games. We might even see a period of stability for college sports. Maybe. I expect things will be done in a logical way, The past does not indicate this is going to be the case but maybe all the financial considerations coming will finally drive the decision makers to restore some order to the awful mess that is college athletics today. [/QUOTE]
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