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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2426124, member: 1969"]
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"As of now", analytically the 3 biggest toss up games of the entire ACC season will be our first 3 games.  Quite the anomaly.  (As an aside this is pulled from RPIForecast which uses Sagarin)

Needless to say those first 3 games are very important.

[ATTACH=full]117810[/ATTACH]

While they have us favoured to win 12 more games (22), they only predict 21 overall wins.   That is because of 52%, 54%, 58%, and 59% games, which could go either way.

The get in line for us will probably be to win 20 games, which currently projects as follows.  In that scenario our RPI projects in the mid 30's, due to our strong record against what RPI perceives as an outstandingOOC schedule.   I think the "weaknesses" in the RPI SOS metric are helping us.  While the RPI will not kill anybody, something in the 30's also makes it hard for a P5 to be killed.
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In reality, this team is still a mystery to me.  We are young, and lack depth.   In my mind we win somewhere between 6 and 11 games in the ACC.
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