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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 1671212, member: 1969"] First off sorry for deflecting this thread from your original thread which was great info. Yes it will probably be a few spots. It doesn't really change my conclusion. IMO. the last 4 out (or the 2nd last in) is not going to improve over the next few weeks. The bubble line is fluid. It will move over the next couple of weeks based on 2 things #1. Teams in moving downwards. #2. Temas creating upward pressure that are currently on the otuside #3. A few bubble buster. But the pool for #2 is really weak and small right now, which is why I am saying the final bubble line is not going to get any better then what we have now. There are very few legit bubble teams on the outside beyond the last 4, and the P5 schools are not even really present on that line. And teams in group #1 are just not all going to magically keep winning. Even if you move the bubble line up 2 spots to account for bubble busters we are talking about these teams as the last teams out right now: Cincy or Butler Gonzaga Tulsa Alabama St Bonaventure George Washington If you notice one thing about these teams is that they are not in major conferences. A few will make some moves, although it is harder in a non P5 tourney at thist iem of year.. And if there is any P5 bias there is a lack of P5 teams ready to replace those that are falling.. In terms of P5 teams that are not in as of now, you only have the following that could possibly get in and they all have a lot of work to do. B1o - [I]Ohio St[/I] needs a couple top 50 wins ACC - [I]Georgia Tech[/I] needs to win at Louisville and then finish it off. [I]Florida St[/I] needs to beat Syracuse and do damage in the ACC. SEC - [I]LSU [/I]need to win at Kentucky, and follow that up in the SEC Tournament. P12 - I see nobody that has a chance to get in. Big East - [I]Creighton[/I] would need to win out until the BE final. B12 - All settled. So the above analysis of the teams below the line is why I am fairly confident with an even modest resume for us. [/QUOTE]

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