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Message: [QUOTE="Niastri, post: 5754159, member: 722"] Tobiason looks like a great pickup. Temple was an average team, at best, with a 167 NET, 139th in SRS, playing against the 153rd SOS. They finished 16-16 in the American, the 9th or 10th highest rated conference. It is a weird conference, with the top schools (this year South Florida and Tulsa) being contenders for at large bids, and with bottom feeder schools competing for worst teams in the country. Conference realignment will do that to you. The former best AAC schools are playing in other conferences now. That said, playing for a bad school, Tobiason looked really good. He averaged 15.3 ppg, on 10.4 shots per game on .604 TS%. He averaged 4.8 free throws a game, shooting .800. Tobiason is a very efficient scorer, especially considering his 3pt percentage dipped dramatically from his freshman season's excellent .412 to only .338 on fairly high volume 4.3 three pointers attempted. When I first started looking into his scoring, I thought he was a volume shooter that fired his way to scoring numbers, but I was wrong. Tobiason is a versatile offensive player, with the ability to get to the rim and finish, including some highlight reel dunks in traffic or in the act of being fouled. He follows two things GMAC seems to look for in players, he protects the ball, only 1.4 TO per game, in 35 minutes played, a low 9.8 TO%. Tobiason moves the ball effectively, with 2 assists per game and a solid 11.9 Assist% GMAC also seems to value steals, and Tobiason is a 2.1 Steal% player last year, using his long arms to disrupt dribble penetration both on and off the ball and intercept passes. 1.2 steals per game is a healthy total that only George topped last season among Orange. That said, both the eye test and advanced metrics like him but don't love him on defense. His DRtg was 110.8, 8th on what appeared to be a defensively challenged Temple team. His DBPM was positive, at least, at .4, but he is not a plus defender. He has long arms and is fairly athletic, which he puts to good use on offense, but on defense, he just isn't quite there. In full game highlights, he was repeatedly "almost there" on defense. Perhaps with a few more reps and continued coaching, he can improve more than incrementally, and GMAC seems to be building a hard nosed defensive team, so Tobiason has that going for him as well. Tobiason doesn't rebound well. Somehow 3.7 fell into his hands every game, but I attribute that to lots of minutes and lots of missed shots more than any particular skill. His rebound% was 6.2, which was 9th on Temple. Ironically, watching game tape, Tobiason is a committed practitioner of the box out. He always found somebody to put a body on... Maybe the guys who don't box out then get the rebound? Overall, I expect Tobiason to be a team leader in scoring, and hopefully he can continue to improve incrementally in scoring and defense while keeping his efficiency and continuing to get steals. A really nice pickup, with a lot of skill and plenty of room to grow from a solid scoring role player to a star. [/QUOTE]

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