M2MPrinciples
2nd String
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ESPN's John Gasaway has an interesting stat: Shot Volume. Not simply the number of shots that go up, but the way he puts it, taking care of the ball and rebounding your misses is a good way to insulate yourself against a bad shooting night, or a hot shooting night by your opponent (to a point, of course). The formula for Shot Volume is pretty simple:
If you aren't much for formulas, just know that an average SV is around 110, a good one is 115 and a great one 120 or higher. The SV's for this season's 1-seed locks are:
Houston: 124.3
UConn: 122.4
Purdue: 121.2
Our at-large hopes are gone, but Syracuse is at 108.6; We've been good at holding onto the ball, but terrible at offensive rebounding, as we all know.
It's no coincidence that our best seasons of the last 25 years have been those where we've fared excellently in Shot Volume:
2014: 123.3
2012: 120.2
2005: 120.1
2013: 119.8
2000: 119.7
2004: 119.4
2003: 118.9
Our 2010 team was only 115.8, but we were the #2 shooting team in the country that season.
Inversely, you can suppress opponents' shot volume by turning them over and denying them offensive rebounds. As a zone team for most of the last 25 years, we never posted good defensive rebounding numbers, but the 2012-14 teams were all top 25 nationally in defensive TO%.
100 - TO% + OReb%
If you aren't much for formulas, just know that an average SV is around 110, a good one is 115 and a great one 120 or higher. The SV's for this season's 1-seed locks are:
Houston: 124.3
UConn: 122.4
Purdue: 121.2
Our at-large hopes are gone, but Syracuse is at 108.6; We've been good at holding onto the ball, but terrible at offensive rebounding, as we all know.
It's no coincidence that our best seasons of the last 25 years have been those where we've fared excellently in Shot Volume:
2014: 123.3
2012: 120.2
2005: 120.1
2013: 119.8
2000: 119.7
2004: 119.4
2003: 118.9
Our 2010 team was only 115.8, but we were the #2 shooting team in the country that season.
Inversely, you can suppress opponents' shot volume by turning them over and denying them offensive rebounds. As a zone team for most of the last 25 years, we never posted good defensive rebounding numbers, but the 2012-14 teams were all top 25 nationally in defensive TO%.
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