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[QUOTE="HRE Otto IV, post: 4778754, member: 5685"]
With Shrader as a starter we haven't lost to a team that finished outside the Top 65 of the Sagarin, and only 2 teams outside the Top 35. We have zero home losses outside of the Top 20. We only have two Top 50 Ws, although one is Top 25 and the other is Top 20. Our best road W prior to this season is outside the Top 75, although Purdue could end up higher than Top 75 this year.

I do not think Purdue is a good team this year. Yet IMO they are likely the 4th best team on our schedule. It is very possible that we end up with 9 games outside the Top 75. It seems pretty certain that we will have 9 outside of the Top 60.

For SU to end up at 7-5 means we will have two of our worst three losses with Shrader as a starting QB. IMO we are more likely to lose 0.0 of those games than to lose 2.

Based on the above it would be a big upset for SU to beat UNC or FSU. It would be an even bigger upset to lose to BC or Wake. The other 3 games would all be upsets. So how do we not go at least 2-1 in those games?
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