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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 1991398, member: 1969"]
As we are 19-12 on RPI Forecast, I can see how that resume stacks against other projected resumes entering the conference tourney.    What you are going to see is the last teams that are getting in right now do not have good projected numbers.

[URL='http://www.rpiforecast.com/index2.html']RPI Forecast[/URL]

[B]59 TEAMS CLEARLY IN BASED ON RESUMES ABOVE (Projected Leader for One Big Conferences)[/B]
Big East (5) - Villanova, Butler, Xavier, Creighton, Marquette
ACC (7)  - UNC, Louisville, Duke, Virginia, Notre Dame, Florida St, Miami,
B12 (6) - Kansas, Baylor, West Virginia, Iowa St, Texas AM, TCU
SEC (4) - Kentucky, Florida, South Carolina, Arkansas
WCC (2) - Gonzaga, St. Mary's
AAC (1) - Cincinnati
B10 (7) - Indiana, Wisconsin, Purdue, Minnesota, Michigan, Michigan St, Northwestern
P12 (4) - UCLA, Arizona, Oregon, USC
Conferences With Only One Lock - 23

[B]9 of the Following Teams Get in (Maybe 6 or 7 if you consider bubble busters)[/B]
Houston, Central Florida, Temple, SMU
Dayton, VCU
Wake Forest, Virginia Tech, Syracuse
Stanford
Ohio St
Oklahoma St
Cal
Providence

How many of the resumes above are clearly better than Syracuse 19-12, with 4 top 50 wins.   I think most of the P5+BE resumes are about the same.   Will the AAC still get the same respect it got last year?   Or will it be disrespected like prior years?

The whole point is that at 19-12, with 4 top 50 wins, its hard to project a field of 68 teams where we are not in the bubble discussion.

Obviously mix of wins will matter.   And while some of the teams in the out group may step it up, some of the in teams will take a step down as well.

I stick with 20-11 being the feel fairly good number, and 21 being a clear lock.    The issue for me is if the team has what it takes to get to those numbers/
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