SWC75
Bored Historian
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- Aug 26, 2011
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Again, I complied the stats on the quarterbacks, the top running backs and the top two pass receivers for last year’s Top 25 teams and averaged them. (Those players are most of your offense), so I could compare them to what SU’s players in the same positions are projected to do this year to see we have “the look” of a Top 25 team in these key positions. I realize that other things are relevant, too, but when we are a top 25 we should see stats similar to this, (perhaps better):
The average quarterback of a top 25 team in 2011 completed 259 of 402 passes, (64.4%) for 3,281 yards, (12.74 per completion and 8.2 per attempt) for 28 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. (Note: where players shared a position or one player replaced another during the season, I added their numbers together).
The average top running back of a Top 25 team carried the ball 253 times for 1373 yards, (5.4 per carry) and 14 touchdowns.
The average top receiver of a Top 25 team caught 64 passes for 968 yards (15.1 per catch) and 9 touchdowns. The average second best receiver caught 52 balls for 685 yards, (13.2) and 6 TDs.
Last year:
Ryan Nassib completed 259 of 415 passes (62.4%) for 2685 yards, (10.4 per completion, 6.5 per attempt) for 22 touchdown passes and 9 interceptions. Very similar to a Top 25 quarterback except he isn’t getting the ball downfield as far, which also makes his completion percentage a bit deceiving.
Antwon Bailey carried the ball 240 times for 1,051 yards (4.4) and 6TDs. He did a good job as a primary back for a guy who is more of a versatile change of pace guy but he was a yard per carry short of a Top 25 type running back and scored less than half as many times.
Alec Lemon caught an SU record 68 passes for 834 yards (12.3 per catch) and 6TDs. Nick Provo caught 51 passes for 537yards (10.5) and 7 scores. As with Nassib, the number of completions were Top 25-like but the yardage came up short, although the TD’s weren’t far off, (13-15).
This year, through 2 games:
Ryan Nassib has competed 74 of 111 passes (66.7%) for 792 yards, (10.7 per completion and 7.1 per attempt) for 6TDs and 3interceptiosn, (two on tipped passes but it counts). At this rate he’s have 444 completions in 666 attempts for 4752 yards, 36TDs and 18 interceptions. He’s basically doing the same thing but he’s doing it far more often with a slight increase in efficiency. His numbers would be SU records except for the completion percentage, (Greg Paulus 67.7% in 2009), yards per completion, (Don McPherson 18.1 in 1987) and attempt, (McPherson 10.2, also in 1987). Nassib already holds the records in the other categories, except interceptions, (Dave Warner 16 in 1980).
Jerome Smith has the most carries so far with 26 but Prince Tyson Gulley ahs the most rushing yards with 106 in 16 carries, (6.6). He’s scored twice. He’s on a pace for 96 carries, 636 yards and 12 scores. Obviously, that’s not a Top 25 running back total but the average is better and the touchdowns comparable. I think he’ll get more and more carries as the season goes on. His average will probably go down but the other numbers should look pretty good.
Marcus Sales has 19 catches for 221 yards, (11.6) and 3 scores. He’s on a pace for 114 catches, 1326 yards and 18TDs, all of which would blow away all previous SU records, again, except for the average yardage. Jarrod West is currently second with 10 receptions for 153 yards (15.3) but no scores. That projects to 60 catches for 918 yards. He’ll still see plenty of action but I think Alec Lemon will pair with Sales as our top two receivers now that he’s healthy. Sales numbers may come down with Lemon out there as an alternative. But they should make some sweet music together.
I think Nassib will continue performing at this level so long as the coaching staff realizes we are best as a pass first, run second team. Lemon and Sales will set records, as well. I’d like to see the short passes used to set up deep passes some more, (every crossing patter seemed to work vs. USC). The return of Justin Pugh and the move of Sean Hickey to the other side should allow Nassib more time for deep throws. I think Gulley will emerge as our #1 running option but I don’t think any one ball carrier will be used as much as Bailey was last year when he gained 75% of our rushing yards. We won’t be quite as balanced as Top 25 team normally is but I think we can be as productive.
The average quarterback of a top 25 team in 2011 completed 259 of 402 passes, (64.4%) for 3,281 yards, (12.74 per completion and 8.2 per attempt) for 28 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. (Note: where players shared a position or one player replaced another during the season, I added their numbers together).
The average top running back of a Top 25 team carried the ball 253 times for 1373 yards, (5.4 per carry) and 14 touchdowns.
The average top receiver of a Top 25 team caught 64 passes for 968 yards (15.1 per catch) and 9 touchdowns. The average second best receiver caught 52 balls for 685 yards, (13.2) and 6 TDs.
Last year:
Ryan Nassib completed 259 of 415 passes (62.4%) for 2685 yards, (10.4 per completion, 6.5 per attempt) for 22 touchdown passes and 9 interceptions. Very similar to a Top 25 quarterback except he isn’t getting the ball downfield as far, which also makes his completion percentage a bit deceiving.
Antwon Bailey carried the ball 240 times for 1,051 yards (4.4) and 6TDs. He did a good job as a primary back for a guy who is more of a versatile change of pace guy but he was a yard per carry short of a Top 25 type running back and scored less than half as many times.
Alec Lemon caught an SU record 68 passes for 834 yards (12.3 per catch) and 6TDs. Nick Provo caught 51 passes for 537yards (10.5) and 7 scores. As with Nassib, the number of completions were Top 25-like but the yardage came up short, although the TD’s weren’t far off, (13-15).
This year, through 2 games:
Ryan Nassib has competed 74 of 111 passes (66.7%) for 792 yards, (10.7 per completion and 7.1 per attempt) for 6TDs and 3interceptiosn, (two on tipped passes but it counts). At this rate he’s have 444 completions in 666 attempts for 4752 yards, 36TDs and 18 interceptions. He’s basically doing the same thing but he’s doing it far more often with a slight increase in efficiency. His numbers would be SU records except for the completion percentage, (Greg Paulus 67.7% in 2009), yards per completion, (Don McPherson 18.1 in 1987) and attempt, (McPherson 10.2, also in 1987). Nassib already holds the records in the other categories, except interceptions, (Dave Warner 16 in 1980).
Jerome Smith has the most carries so far with 26 but Prince Tyson Gulley ahs the most rushing yards with 106 in 16 carries, (6.6). He’s scored twice. He’s on a pace for 96 carries, 636 yards and 12 scores. Obviously, that’s not a Top 25 running back total but the average is better and the touchdowns comparable. I think he’ll get more and more carries as the season goes on. His average will probably go down but the other numbers should look pretty good.
Marcus Sales has 19 catches for 221 yards, (11.6) and 3 scores. He’s on a pace for 114 catches, 1326 yards and 18TDs, all of which would blow away all previous SU records, again, except for the average yardage. Jarrod West is currently second with 10 receptions for 153 yards (15.3) but no scores. That projects to 60 catches for 918 yards. He’ll still see plenty of action but I think Alec Lemon will pair with Sales as our top two receivers now that he’s healthy. Sales numbers may come down with Lemon out there as an alternative. But they should make some sweet music together.
I think Nassib will continue performing at this level so long as the coaching staff realizes we are best as a pass first, run second team. Lemon and Sales will set records, as well. I’d like to see the short passes used to set up deep passes some more, (every crossing patter seemed to work vs. USC). The return of Justin Pugh and the move of Sean Hickey to the other side should allow Nassib more time for deep throws. I think Gulley will emerge as our #1 running option but I don’t think any one ball carrier will be used as much as Bailey was last year when he gained 75% of our rushing yards. We won’t be quite as balanced as Top 25 team normally is but I think we can be as productive.
