Some SRS scenarios going forward

[Millhouse]

Right now we are 88th in SRS

If those ratings stay the same, we would have higher ratings in enough games in front of us to go 17-14 if the higher rated team wins the rest of the way

If we improved to 79, 18-13

68th is 19-12

61st is 20-11

54th 21-10

33rd 23-8

30th 24-7

25th 25-6

9th 27-4

These ratings will all change but as of right now the rest of the schedule may not be so hard that the season is hopeless

 

[NineOneSeven]

10 seed ACTIVATED

 

[blue&orange]

I expect this team to win 15-17 games this season all things considered.

 

[CuseFaninVT]

 

[jncuse]

Barttorvik has us projected at NET #78 as the 11 team out.
A record of 17-14 (10-10) with the following quadrants.

Barttorvik has Q1-A which I assume is top half of Q1 games (home top 15, road top 38). Haven't heard that as a metric but would not surprise me as they used to do RPI Top 25 record.

Assuming Barttorvik has reliable projection methodology (not sure yet), my quick guess is we would need two more wins to rise us from 11th team out the bubble line. Which I think is certainly possible. So 19-12 (12-8)

I like looking at these types of projected resumes as they are based on:
1) How Syracuse is playing now (or year to date)
2) Considers how the ACC and our opponents are doing year to date.

As an aside, Bartorvik has FSU as the projected 2nd last team in, as these models (like Bart + KP) still think well enough of FSU.

They have FSU at NET#48, with a record of 19-12. If we got 19 wins the resumes would be very similar. So I set that as bubble line target entering the ACC tournament, where things could go either way. Alternatively to be above the bubble line (and yet maybe not safe) entering the ACC tournament we would likely need to be 13-7 ***
*** Of course odd mix of wins, odd home/road could swing it down 1 game.


FSU Projected Resume at NET 48

 

[OttoinGrotto]

I just wonder if JB gets back to 1,000 wins this season.