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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 4087268, member: 1969"]
Barttorvik has us projected at NET #78 as the 11 team out.
A record of 17-14 (10-10) with the following quadrants.

Barttorvik has Q1-A which I assume is top half of Q1 games (home top 15, road top 38).   Haven't heard that as a metric but would not surprise me as they used to do RPI Top 25 record.

Assuming Barttorvik has reliable projection methodology (not sure yet), my quick guess is we would need two more wins to rise us from 11th team out the bubble line.   Which I think is certainly possible.  So 19-12 (12-8)

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I like looking at these types of projected resumes as they are based on:
1) How Syracuse is playing now (or year to date)
2) Considers how the ACC and our opponents are doing year to date.

As an aside, Bartorvik has FSU as the projected 2nd last team in, as these models (like Bart + KP) still think well enough of FSU.

They have FSU at NET#48, with a record of 19-12.  If we got 19 wins the resumes would be very similar.   So I set that as bubble line target entering the ACC tournament, where things could go either way.   Alternatively to be above the bubble line (and yet maybe not safe) entering the ACC tournament we would likely need to be 13-7 ***
*** Of course odd mix of wins, odd home/road could swing it down 1 game.

FSU Projected Resume at NET 48
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[/QUOTE]

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