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[QUOTE="TheCusian, post: 4005821, member: 2585"] This will prob be lost to the Clemson game day stuff, but I think this is interesting. [B]Preseason[/B] (SP+ uses previous years numbers mixed with a bit from the year before, roster churn to determine numbers, recruiting) vs [B]Now[/B] (after week 6 - lots more 2021 data mixed in - [I]actual trends shown[/I]) Reminder for winning percentag-istas: [I]SP+ is simply a measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football. If you're lucky or unimpressive in a win, your rating probably will fall. If you're strong and unlucky in a loss, it probably will rise.[/I] [TABLE] [TR] [TH]Team[/TH] [TH]SP+ O (preseason / now)[/TH] [TH]SP+ D (preseason / now)[/TH] [TH]Overall (preseason / now) [/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD][COLOR=rgb(243, 121, 52)]Syracuse[/COLOR][/TD] [TD](108 / 59) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+49[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](72 / 41) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+31[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](102 / 52) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+50[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ohio[/TD] [TD](57 / 93) [B][COLOR=rgb(184, 49, 47)]-36[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](104 / 114) [COLOR=rgb(184, 49, 47)][B]-10[/B][/COLOR][/TD] [TD](85 / 108) [COLOR=rgb(184, 49, 47)][B]-23[/B][/COLOR][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Rutgers[/TD] [TD](90 / 89) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+1[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](63 / 34) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+29[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](83 / 67) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+16[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Liberty[/TD] [TD](37 / 16) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+21[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](81 / 30) [COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)][B]+51[/B][/COLOR][/TD] [TD](54 / 20) [COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)][B]+34[/B][/COLOR][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FSU[/TD] [TD](41 / 36) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+5[/COLOR][/B] [/TD] [TD](69 / 71) [COLOR=rgb(184, 49, 47)][B]-2[/B][/COLOR][/TD] [TD](50 / 55) [B][COLOR=rgb(184, 49, 47)]-5[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Wake Forest[/TD] [TD](67 / 27) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+40[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](73 / 75) [B][COLOR=rgb(184, 49, 47)]-2[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](74 / 48) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+26[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Clemson[/TD] [TD](5 / 32) [B][COLOR=rgb(184, 49, 47)]-27[/COLOR] [/B][/TD] [TD](4 / 3) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+1[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](2 / 5) [B][COLOR=rgb(184, 49, 47)]-3[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]VaTech[/TD] [TD](26 / 50) [B][COLOR=rgb(184, 49, 47)]-24[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](51 / 46) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+5[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](33 / 49) [B][COLOR=rgb(184, 49, 47)]-16[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BC[/TD] [TD](25 / 18) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+7[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](103 / 60) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+43[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](60 / 35) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+25[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Louisville[/TD] [TD](18 / 13) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+5[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](95 / 98) [B][COLOR=rgb(184, 49, 47)]-3[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](42 / 60) [B][COLOR=rgb(184, 49, 47)]-18[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]NC State[/TD] [TD](64 / 62) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+2[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](40 / 20) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+20[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](46 / 37) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+9[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Pitt[/TD] [TD](72 / 9) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+63[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](28 / 27) [B][COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)]+1[/COLOR][/B][/TD] [TD](40 / 10) [COLOR=rgb(65, 168, 95)][B]+30[/B][/COLOR][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] One weird takeaway is that all of the Northeast teams are way better this year. His numbers indicate what we've been seeing: we're an average offense with a slightly better than average defense and way improved over last year. Our division are all better, except Louisville (bad D), Clemson (a bit of movement, but still very good), FSU (kind of similar to last year, maybe a slight step back defensively). [/QUOTE]
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