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Message: [QUOTE="qdawgg, post: 4026831, member: 52"] Both times I posted them on here. The last one was around the time that TCU/Boise were making waves and a logical thing to look at with those schools was recruiting and recruiting ranking. So that was quite a few years of. Beginning of Shafer as HC or thereabouts. Don’t have the post anymore and if I saved the data I used for the post I don’t have it anymore. But basics were what I said above. For the top teams and lowest teams, the rankings are extremely reliable predicting success or lack of success. Even between different services. I compared 3 different services. As I said and you pointed out, it’s the middle 50% (probably - maybe closer to 60-70%) of the rest of CFB where rankings can swing a bit. But here’s a good example. A team that consistently has a national recruiting ranking in the 60-80 range, may end up in the top 25 on occasion. But if you take that team over a 6 year period of time for example. Their overall record is going to reflect being lower in national recruiting and that ranking is probably lower within their conference as well. Again, SU is a perfect example of all this. Our recruiting is near the bottom of the conference every year. Every year we argue our recruits are better than that. In the last 10 years in conference play, our record directly correlates with our recruiting rankings. Even if you’re not happy with how those grades are determined, all the services still arrive at the same consensus, even using different metrics. Again, I’m not arguing the system is perfect but it is a great barometer for the expected success of a program. Even when colleges have outperformed their rankings, I found no colleges that are able to consistently outperform their rankings year in and year out. Of course it will happen some years but it’s not sustainable. The reality is, if you are perceived to recruit poorly in relation to your conference, your record over a decent period of time will reflect that. [/QUOTE]

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